Short Trade on BTC 12 Apr 2026 at 20:54:04
Take profit at 70769.3491 (0.57 %) and Stop Loss at 71381.1254 (0.29 %)
Short Trade on BTC 12 Apr 2026 at 20:54:04
Take profit at 70769.3491 (0.57 %) and Stop Loss at 71381.1254 (0.29 %)
Position size of 2792.2832 $
Take profit at 70769.3491 (0.57 %) and Stop Loss at 71381.1254 (0.29 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.63 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.44 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.999987 15m : 1 |
1 |
Indicators:
70935.6
0.00333815
71172.4
0.999987
71410.3
-0.00429373
71103.7
1
71888.5
-0.00996135
71172.4
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-09 19:00:00
[1] => 71533.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-10 03:00:00
[1] => 71391.9
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-10 16:00:00
[1] => 73415.9
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-11 02:00:00
[1] => 72568
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-11 09:00:00
[1] => 72477.7
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-11 15:00:00
[1] => 73777.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-11 21:00:00
[1] => 71270
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 11:00:00
[1] => 70575
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 17:00:00
[1] => 71433.4
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 18:00:00
[1] => 70455.8
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35865575487097
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0239043485419
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3875365832195
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 01:45:00
[1] => 71750.6
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 03:00:00
[1] => 71551.7
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 04:30:00
[1] => 71769.4
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 11:30:00
[1] => 70575
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 13:45:00
[1] => 71196
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 15:00:00
[1] => 71196
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 16:15:00
[1] => 70922.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 17:00:00
[1] => 71433.4
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 18:30:00
[1] => 70455.8
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 20:45:00
[1] => 71125.2
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.030228386001024
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91958362547866
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.95009921113662
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 13:50:00
[1] => 71196
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 15:10:00
[1] => 71196
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 16:15:00
[1] => 70922.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 17:00:00
[1] => 71433.4
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 17:10:00
[1] => 71133
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 17:55:00
[1] => 71349.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 18:30:00
[1] => 70455.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 18:55:00
[1] => 70910
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 19:30:00
[1] => 70540
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-04-12 20:50:00
[1] => 71180
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0039336892385542
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.90331726679898
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.90728664587468
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
70455.8
197
0.2851
0.6696
0.3061
0.2107
0.3842
1
0.532
0.3294
0.3499
0.5802
0.7014
0.2236
-0.0752
-0.0731
0
-0.3112
-1.4059
0.55
0.45
-1
2
1
0.5785
0.8206
2.6954
0.55
1.1389
3.0356
-1.4059
0.8474
0.2802
0.82
-0.1677
0.4345
0.4611
0.7861
0.2236
-6.4226
1.8501
1
0
0
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 13:50:00 | 71196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 15:10:00 | 71196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 16:15:00 | 70922.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 17:00:00 | 71433.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 17:10:00 | 71133 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 17:55:00 | 71349.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 18:30:00 | 70455.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 18:55:00 | 70910 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 19:30:00 | 70540 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 20:50:00 | 71180 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 01:45:00 | 71750.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 03:00:00 | 71551.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 04:30:00 | 71769.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 11:30:00 | 70575 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 13:45:00 | 71196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 15:00:00 | 71196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 16:15:00 | 70922.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 17:00:00 | 71433.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 18:30:00 | 70455.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 20:45:00 | 71125.2 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 19:00:00 | 71533.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-10 03:00:00 | 71391.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-10 16:00:00 | 73415.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-11 02:00:00 | 72568 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-11 09:00:00 | 72477.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-11 15:00:00 | 73777.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-11 21:00:00 | 71270 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 11:00:00 | 70575 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-04-12 17:00:00 | 71433.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-04-12 18:00:00 | 70455.8 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 20:54:04 |
13 Apr 2026 01:10:00 |
4 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71177.2 | 71381.1254 | 70769.3491 | 2 | 70770.1 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 71381.1254 - 71177.2 = 203.92540000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 71177.2 - 70769.3491 = 407.85089999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 407.85089999999 / 203.92540000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2792.2832 | 100 | 0.03923 | 27.92 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 203.92540000001 = 0.04
Taille de position USD = 0.04 x 71177.2 = 2847.09
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.04 avec un stoploss a 71381.1254
Avec un position size USD de 2847.09$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.04 x 203.92540000001 = 8.16
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.16$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.04 x 407.85089999999 = 16.31
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.31$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1179 % | 41.15 % | 9 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70769.3492
[stop_loss] => 71381.1254
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-04-13 01:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 70667.3865
[stop_loss] => 71381.1254
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-04-13 01:35:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
)