Long Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 12.61 MSTR at 189.23$ per unit. Take profit: 190.4988 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 188.5956 (0.34 %)
Long Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 12.61 MSTR at 189.23$ per unit. Take profit: 190.4988 (0.67 %) & Stop Loss: 188.5956 (0.34 %)
Position size of 2386.1728 $
Take profit at 190.4988 (0.67 %)
and Stop Loss at 188.5956 (0.34 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.86 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.76 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.83 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bull_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed tf_aligned : 10/05 23:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.836636 15m : 0.876006 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Indicators:
81360.6
-0.00907131
80622.6
0.836636
81131.5
-0.00633871
80617.3
0.876006
80719.4
-0.00119974
80622.6
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[detected_trend] => uptrend
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
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195.14
195
0.6339
0.691
0.369
0.2507
0.4658
1
0.0914
0.6011
0.8004
0.952
0.7443
0.6949
0.0249
0.0448
0.3333
-0.8119
-0.053
0.7
0.3
1
4
1
0.4987
0.6244
5.2608
0.6
1.76
6.8014
-0.053
0.1008
0.1859
0.92
3.6273
0.8057
0.5915
0.8529
0.6949
-3.1397
7.1508
1
0
0
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:26 | 189.23000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:38 | 189.25000000 | +0.011% |
| 3 | 00:12 | 189.00000000 | -0.122% |
| 4 | 00:20 | 189.14000000 | -0.048% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 17:25:00 | 189.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 18:00:00 | 189.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 19:15:00 | 195.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 20:00:00 | 195.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 20:20:00 | 191.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 21:00:00 | 190.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 21:25:00 | 192.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 22:10:00 | 191.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 22:30:00 | 190.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 23:20:00 | 188.96 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 05:00:00 | 189.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 06:15:00 | 189.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 07:00:00 | 189.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 10:45:00 | 189.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 12:00:00 | 191.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 13:45:00 | 192.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 16:45:00 | 188.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 19:15:00 | 195.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 21:00:00 | 190.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 23:15:00 | 189.4 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 09:00:00 | 177.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-08 16:00:00 | 189.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 00:00:00 | 189.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 03:00:00 | 188.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-09 11:00:00 | 188.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-09 14:00:00 | 189.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 21:00:00 | 188.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 16:00:00 | 188.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 19:00:00 | 195.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 23:00:00 | 188.96 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 23:26:31 |
11 May 2026 03:15:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 189.23 | 188.5956 | 190.4988 | 2 | 111.85 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 188.5956 - 189.23 = -0.6344
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 189.23 - 190.4988 = -1.2688
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.2688 / -0.6344 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2386.1728 | 100 | 12.6099 | 23.86 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.6344 = -12.61
Taille de position USD = -12.61 x 189.23 = -2386.19
Donc, tu peux acheter -12.61 avec un stoploss a 188.5956
Avec un position size USD de -2386.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -12.61 x -0.6344 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -12.61 x -1.2688 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.34 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3488 % | 104.03 % | 11 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?