Short Trade on MSTR (WedgePullback)
With 1.69 MSTR at 185.98$ per unit. Take profit: 171.7773 (7.64 %) & Stop Loss: 190.7142 (2.55 %)
Short Trade on MSTR (WedgePullback)
With 1.69 MSTR at 185.98$ per unit. Take profit: 171.7773 (7.64 %) & Stop Loss: 190.7142 (2.55 %)
Position size of 314.2717 $
Take profit at 171.7773 (7.64 %)
and Stop Loss at 190.7142 (2.55 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 11/05 10:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bull_high 1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
Indicators:
182.51
148
0.432
0.727
0.3603
0.2161
0.4783
1
0.3553
0.4412
0.4474
0.988
0.7472
0.5271
-0.0653
-0.0182
0.3333
-1.3143
-1.2635
0.7
0.3
-1
1
1
0.5678
0.7557
4.423
0.6
2.9338
5.7838
-1.2635
0.4586
0.2452
0.98
1.9625
0.612
0.397
0.8897
0.5271
-3.7464
4.1759
1
0
0
0.617
0.617
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182.51
190.49
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8.5086
1
1
0
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 10:35:07 |
11 May 2026 12:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185.98 | 190.7142 | 171.7773 | 3 | 111.85 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 190.7142 - 185.98 = 4.7342
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 185.98 - 171.7773 = 14.2027
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 14.2027 / 4.7342 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 314.2717 | 100 | 1.6898 | 3.14 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.7342 = 1.69
Taille de position USD = 1.69 x 185.98 = 314.31
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.69 avec un stoploss a 190.7142
Avec un position size USD de 314.31$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.69 x 4.7342 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.69 x 14.2027 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.64 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.55 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8336 % | 111.32 % | 0 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?