Long Trade on XAG (CatchTheWave)
With 18.41 XAG at 84.46$ per unit. Take profit: 85.329 (1.03 %) & Stop Loss: 84.0255 (0.51 %)
12 May 2026 at 02:43:44
Duration: 6 minutes
Long CatchTheWave on XAG (12 May 2026 at 02:43:44 to 02:50:00 - 6 minutes )
With 18.4117 XAG at 84.46$ per unit.
Position size of 1555.0529 $
Take profit at 85.329 (1.03 %)
and Stop Loss at 84.0255 (0.51 %)
Duration: 6 minutes
Results
Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.56
Prediction Score: 0
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.76 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 12/05 02:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.372123 15m : 0.348064 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Signal
CatchTheWave Signal - buy
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.4286
- reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(-0.08) | regime:bull_high
- stop_price: 84.02549387
- tp_price: 85.32901226
- atr: 0.28967075420552
- score: 2.1542
Details
- 1H
- timeframe : 1H
- ema9 : 85.6032
- ema21 : 84.9313
- ema50 : 83.2973
- ema100 : 81.7198
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0133548
- ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00791019
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0196166
- price_ema100_diff : 0.0335308
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.120922
- ema_slope_21 : 0.208869
- ema_slope_50 : 0.16909
- ema_slope_100 : 0.12049
- rsi : 0.496109
- adx : 0.452482
- kc_percentage : 0.356898
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0450577
- volume_ema_diff : 0.235555
- rvol_20 : 0.730047
- rvol_50 : 1.23734
- volume_zscore_50 : 0.209962
- volume_vol_ratio : 150227
- chop : 54.3877
- regime : bull_high ¸
- 15m
- timeframe : 15m
- ema9 : 85.2728
- ema21 : 85.672
- ema50 : 85.574
- ema100 : 84.5423
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00953192
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00465994
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0011451
- price_ema100_diff : -0.000974249
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : -0.086596
- ema_slope_21 : -0.0509492
- ema_slope_50 : -0.00280182
- ema_slope_100 : 0.027404
- rsi : 0.293481
- adx : 0.186086
- kc_percentage : -0.146741
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0218546
- volume_ema_diff : -0.0814334
- rvol_20 : 0.484735
- rvol_50 : 0.471401
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.785134
- volume_vol_ratio : 34071.7
- chop : 45.9769
- regime : range_medium ¸
- 5m
- timeframe : 5m
- ema9 : 84.7908
- ema21 : 85.1661
- ema50 : 85.6063
- ema100 : 85.9137
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00390202
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00440664
- ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00514261
- price_ema100_diff : -0.0169206
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
- ema_slope_9 : -0.092941
- ema_slope_21 : -0.0701083
- ema_slope_50 : -0.0430983
- ema_slope_100 : -0.0264497
- rsi : 0.260631
- adx : 0.25231
- kc_percentage : -0.077075
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0139845
- volume_ema_diff : -0.0977726
- rvol_20 : 0.38595
- rvol_50 : 0.500065
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.891175
- volume_vol_ratio : 19768.2
- chop : 37.5381
- regime : bear_low ¸
- btc_indicators
- btc_indicators
- 5m_ema100:
81300.6
- 5m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.00252687
- 5m_price:
81095.2
- 5m_correlation_with_coin:
0.372123
- btc_indicators
- 15m_ema100:
81270.6
- 15m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.00195352
- 15m_price:
81111.9
- 15m_correlation_with_coin:
0.348064
- btc_indicators
- 1H_ema100:
80792.5
- 1H_price_ema100_diff:
0.00374623
- 1H_price:
81095.2
- 1H_correlation_with_coin: ¸
- market_structures
- market_structures
- 1H_version: 1.1
- 1H_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-08 22:00:00 [1] => 80.61 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00 [1] => 80.66 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-09 10:00:00 [1] => 80.32 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-09 17:00:00 [1] => 80.67 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-09 23:00:00 [1] => 80.66 [2] => H ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-10 09:00:00 [1] => 81.7 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-10 18:00:00 [1] => 79.02 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-10 22:00:00 [1] => 81.59 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 19:00:00 [1] => 87.21 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 02:00:00 [1] => 84.31 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => uptrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.1533081068685 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17791483809749 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 7 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4396868698849 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 1 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 15m_version: 1.1
- 15m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 05:30:00 [1] => 80 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 09:30:00 [1] => 85.91 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 10:30:00 [1] => 84.16 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 11:45:00 [1] => 86 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 12:45:00 [1] => 84.95 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 16:00:00 [1] => 85.6 [2] => L ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 19:30:00 [1] => 87.21 [2] => H ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 21:30:00 [1] => 85.45 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 00:15:00 [1] => 86.48 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 02:30:00 [1] => 84.51 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => downtrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => -1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.104532839963 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17749378771742 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3310850786889 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 5m_version: 1.1
- 5m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 21:25:00 [1] => 87.02 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 21:40:00 [1] => 85.45 [2] => L ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 22:10:00 [1] => 86.44 [2] => H ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 22:40:00 [1] => 85.48 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 22:50:00 [1] => 86.39 [2] => H ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 23:25:00 [1] => 85.88 [2] => L ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 23:40:00 [1] => 86.39 [2] => H ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 23:55:00 [1] => 85.86 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 00:15:00 [1] => 86.48 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 02:40:00 [1] => 84.31 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.3358001850139 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.17791483809749 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 29 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5738346578105 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) )
¸
- market_structure_v2
- timeframe : 1h
- state : pullback_up
- confidence : 1
- trend_strength : 0.0931
- trend_persistence : 0.5
- high_delta_atr : 1.4291
- low_delta_atr : 4.8698
- current_swing_amp_atr : 3.6044
- current_swing_speed : 0.40049
- current_swing_efficiency : 0.3478
- retracement_ratio : 1.7429
- extension_ratio : 0.4935
- compression_score : 0.7677
- swing_entropy : 1
- breakout_strength : -1.5939
- distance_to_last_high_atr : -3.023
- distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3298
- pivot_count : 26
- swing_count : 25
- market_structure_v2
- last_pivot_kind: high
- last_pivot_price:
87.21
- last_pivot_index:
192
¸
- trend_analyzer_1h
- direction : up
- phase : transition
- structure : bullish_transition
- breakout_state : none
- quality : volatile
- strength : moderate
- exhaustion : medium
- momentum_type : grind
- volatility_regime : volatile_reversal
- htf_context : unknown
- risk_state : premium
- confidence : 0.557
- state : up_bullish_transition_grind
- trend_analyzer_1h
- scores_direction_score:
0.6668
- scores_strength_score:
0.4932
- scores_quality_score:
0.3889
- scores_cleanliness_score:
0.2735
- scores_structural_quality:
0.4833
- scores_pullback_score:
1
- scores_exhaustion_score:
0.4566
- scores_continuation_score:
0.5047
- scores_structure_score:
0.7413
- scores_volatility_expansion:
0.892
- scores_momentum_type_score:
0.6419
- scores_risk_score:
0.6941
- trend_analyzer_1h
- features_ema20_slope:
0.0747
- features_ema50_slope:
0.1061
- features_ema_alignment_score:
0.6667
- features_price_vs_ema20:
-0.5634
- features_price_vs_ema50:
1.2027
- features_recent_hh_hl_score:
0.75
- features_recent_lh_ll_score:
0.25
- features_last_bos_direction:
1
- features_bars_since_last_bos:
7
- features_candle_overlap_ratio:
1
- features_wick_ratio:
0.4529
- features_trend_efficiency:
0.3478
- features_impulse_strength:
3.6044
- features_directional_candle_ratio:
0.55
- features_pullback_depth_ratio:
1.7429
- features_pullback_depth_atr:
3.4856
- features_extension_from_mean:
1.2027
- features_impulse_decay_score:
0.7532
- features_opposing_wick_pressure:
0.2005
- features_volatility_percentile:
0.82
- features_volatility_delta:
0.6623
- features_body_ratio:
0.6804
- features_closes_position_ratio:
0.5883
- features_slope_consistency:
0.8209
- features_range_position:
0.6941
- features_distance_to_recent_high:
-2.8449
- features_distance_to_recent_low:
6.4553
- features_had_recent_range:
1
- features_had_recent_compression:
0
- features_post_break_hl_count:
0
- features_htf_trend_strength:
- features_htf_compression_score:
- features_htf_entropy_score:
- features_htf_hh_hl_score:
- features_htf_state_str: ¸
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 1
5M -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.18%
Bars Since Swing High
29 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.57%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
0.2845
0.34%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6910
1.98%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 21:25:00 | 87.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 21:40:00 | 85.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 22:10:00 | 86.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 22:40:00 | 85.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 22:50:00 | 86.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 23:25:00 | 85.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 23:40:00 | 86.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 23:55:00 | 85.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 00:15:00 | 86.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 02:40:00 | 84.31 | ↓ Low |
15M -
downtrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.18%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.33%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
4.0255
4.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8810
2.20%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 05:30:00 | 80 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 09:30:00 | 85.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 10:30:00 | 84.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 11:45:00 | 86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 12:45:00 | 84.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 16:00:00 | 85.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 19:30:00 | 87.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 21:30:00 | 85.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 00:15:00 | 86.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 02:30:00 | 84.51 | ↓ Low |
1H -
uptrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.18%
Bars Since Swing High
7 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.44%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
5.0055
5.96%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8810
2.20%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 22:00:00 | 80.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 08:00:00 | 80.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 10:00:00 | 80.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-09 17:00:00 | 80.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 23:00:00 | 80.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 09:00:00 | 81.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-10 18:00:00 | 79.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 22:00:00 | 81.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 19:00:00 | 87.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 02:00:00 | 84.31 | ↓ Low |
Market Structure V2
1H
↑ pullback_up
Confidence
100%
Trend
Trend Strength
0.093
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
1.429
Low Δ ATR
4.870
Current Swing
Amp ATR
3.604
Speed
0.400
Efficiency
0.348
Structure
Retracement
1.743
Extension
0.494
Compression
0.768
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.594
Dist High ATR
-3.023
Dist Low ATR
0.330
26 pivots
·
25 swings
·
Last pivot:
↑ 87.2100
@ bar 192
Trend Analyzer 1H
1H
↑ up
up_bullish_transition_grind
Confidence
56%
Context
phase
transition
structure
bullish_transition
breakout
none
quality
volatile
strength
moderate
exhaustion
medium
momentum
grind
volatility
volatile_reversal
risk
premium
htf
unknown
Scores
Direction Score
0.667
Strength Score
0.493
Quality Score
0.389
Cleanliness Score
0.274
Structural Quality
0.483
Pullback Score
1.000
Exhaustion Score
0.457
Continuation Score
0.505
Structure Score
0.741
Volatility Expansion
0.892
Momentum Type Score
0.642
Risk Score
0.694
Features
Ema20 Slope
0.075
Ema50 Slope
0.106
Ema Alignment Score
0.667
Price Vs Ema20
-0.563
Price Vs Ema50
1.203
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.750
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.250
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
7.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.453
Trend Efficiency
0.348
Impulse Strength
3.604
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.743
Pullback Depth Atr
3.486
Extension From Mean
1.203
Impulse Decay Score
0.753
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.201
Volatility Percentile
0.820
Volatility Delta
0.662
Body Ratio
0.680
Closes Position Ratio
0.588
Slope Consistency
0.821
Range Position
0.694
Distance To Recent High
-2.845
Distance To Recent Low
6.455
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000
📌 Time Data
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 02:43:44 |
12 May 2026 02:50:00 |
6 minutes |
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84.46 | 84.0255 | 85.329 | 2 | 64.83 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 84.46
- Stop Loss: 84.0255
- Take Profit: 85.329
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 84.0255 - 84.46 = -0.4345
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 84.46 - 85.329 = -0.869
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.869 / -0.4345 = 2
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1555.0529 | 100 | 18.4117 | 15.55 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.4345
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4345 = -18.41
Taille de position USD = -18.41 x 84.46 = -1554.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -18.41 avec un stoploss a 84.0255
Avec un position size USD de -1554.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -18.41 x -0.4345 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -18.41 x -0.869 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
- Taille de position -18.41
- Taille de position USD -1554.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.03 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8762 % | 170.33 % | 1 |
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 85.329
[entry_price] => 84.46
[stop_loss] => 83.98205
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 02:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 85.329
[entry_price] => 84.46
[stop_loss] => 83.9386
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 02:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 85.329
[entry_price] => 84.46
[stop_loss] => 83.89515
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 02:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 85.329
[entry_price] => 84.46
[stop_loss] => 83.80825
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 02:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Extra Pullback data
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.24000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 1.01
[rr_ratio] => 0.24
[high] => 84.70000000
[low] => 83.45000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.28
[mae_pct] => 1.2
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T02:43:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T04:43:44-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.83000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 1.34
[rr_ratio] => 0.62
[high] => 85.29000000
[low] => 83.12000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.98
[mae_pct] => 1.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.62
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T02:43:44-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T09:43:44-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 86.48000000
[high_after] => 84.70000000
[low_before] => 84.31000000
[low_after] => 83.12000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank
#14 / n/a
OK
seuil : top 15
· score du 12/05/2026 02:00
Signal Confidence
43 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime