Long Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 16.86 MSTR at 191.6$ per unit. Take profit: 192.549 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 191.1255 (0.25 %)
Long Trade on MSTR (CatchTheWave)
With 16.86 MSTR at 191.6$ per unit. Take profit: 192.549 (0.5 %) & Stop Loss: 191.1255 (0.25 %)
Position size of 3230.5045 $
Take profit at 192.549 (0.5 %)
and Stop Loss at 191.1255 (0.25 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.47 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 12/05 02:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.791884 15m : 0.668581 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Indicators:
81296.3
-0.00332113
81026.4
0.791884
81274.8
-0.00247416
81073.8
0.668581
80791.1
0.00291158
81026.4
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189.62
194
0.6332
0.5167
0.4081
0.2306
0.5533
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0.3276
0.755
0.7091
0.736
0.5639
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0.6667
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0.3183
0.7
0.3
1
11
1
0.5388
0.4776
3.1702
0.5
0.5052
3.1149
0.3183
0.5451
0.3267
0.56
0.347
0.4736
0.4798
0.5296
0.7499
-2.8464
8.5339
1
0
1
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 21:40:00 | 189.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 22:10:00 | 192.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 22:35:00 | 191.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 23:05:00 | 192.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 23:40:00 | 192.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 23:55:00 | 191.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 00:45:00 | 192.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 01:00:00 | 191.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 01:35:00 | 192.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 02:50:00 | 191.32 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 07:00:00 | 188.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 07:30:00 | 190.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 09:30:00 | 182.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 15:15:00 | 196.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 17:15:00 | 193.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 18:00:00 | 195.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 20:00:00 | 195.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 21:30:00 | 189.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 01:30:00 | 192.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 02:30:00 | 191.65 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 00:00:00 | 189.22 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 03:00:00 | 188.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-09 11:00:00 | 188.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-09 14:00:00 | 189.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 21:00:00 | 188.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 16:00:00 | 188.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 19:00:00 | 195.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 09:00:00 | 182.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 15:00:00 | 196.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 21:00:00 | 189.62 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 02:54:47 |
12 May 2026 03:00:00 |
5 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 191.6 | 191.1255 | 192.549 | 2 | 111.85 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 191.1255 - 191.6 = -0.47450000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 191.6 - 192.549 = -0.94900000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.94900000000001 / -0.47450000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3230.5045 | 100 | 16.8607 | 32.31 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.47450000000001 = -16.86
Taille de position USD = -16.86 x 191.6 = -3230.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.86 avec un stoploss a 191.1255
Avec un position size USD de -3230.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.86 x -0.47450000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.86 x -0.94900000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5428 % | 219.14 % | 1 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?