Long Trade on VVV (CatchTheWave)
With 19.43 VVV at 17.228$ per unit. Take profit: 18.0515 (4.78 %) & Stop Loss: 16.8163 (2.39 %)
12 May 2026 at 03:34:57
Duration: 35 minutes
Long CatchTheWave on VVV (12 May 2026 at 03:34:57 to 04:10:00 - 35 minutes )
With 19.4302 VVV at 17.228$ per unit.
Position size of 334.744 $
Take profit at 18.0515 (4.78 %)
and Stop Loss at 16.8163 (2.39 %)
Duration: 35 minutes
Results
Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.34
Prediction Score: 0
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 12/05 03:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.115144 15m : 0.165834 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Signal
CatchTheWave Signal - buy
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7143
- reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(0.04) | regime:bull_high
- stop_price: 16.81627047
- tp_price: 18.05145906
- atr: 0.27448635188296
- score: 1.9252
Details
- 1H
- timeframe : 1H
- ema9 : 17.5256
- ema21 : 17.2748
- ema50 : 16.5338
- ema100 : 15.4528
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0169817
- ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0145159
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0448169
- price_ema100_diff : 0.114873
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.0877863
- ema_slope_21 : 0.248766
- ema_slope_50 : 0.307272
- ema_slope_100 : 0.307415
- rsi : 0.514185
- adx : 0.293586
- kc_percentage : 0.476666
- kc_width_percentage : 0.182279
- volume_ema_diff : 0.859841
- rvol_20 : 1.59079
- rvol_50 : 2.0487
- volume_zscore_50 : 0.955669
- volume_vol_ratio : 88268.4
- chop : 49.7564
- regime : bull_high ¸
- 15m
- timeframe : 15m
- ema9 : 17.6548
- ema21 : 17.6678
- ema50 : 17.5557
- ema100 : 17.4103
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0241753
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000737353
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00638517
- price_ema100_diff : -0.0104756
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.0401583
- ema_slope_21 : 0.0610361
- ema_slope_50 : 0.0579441
- ema_slope_100 : 0.0456748
- rsi : 0.431267
- adx : 0.27109
- kc_percentage : 0.259483
- kc_width_percentage : 0.106901
- volume_ema_diff : 0.119059
- rvol_20 : 0.535003
- rvol_50 : 0.91632
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.0553206
- volume_vol_ratio : 23811.1
- chop : 34.4036
- regime : bear_high ¸
- 5m
- timeframe : 5m
- ema9 : 17.6767
- ema21 : 17.7594
- ema50 : 17.735
- ema100 : 17.6163
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0253889
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00465566
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00137784
- price_ema100_diff : -0.0220438
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : -0.0828541
- ema_slope_21 : -0.0326845
- ema_slope_50 : 0.00409371
- ema_slope_100 : 0.0179972
- rsi : 0.343654
- adx : 0.186494
- kc_percentage : 0.0374044
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0664027
- volume_ema_diff : 0.319587
- rvol_20 : 2.1838
- rvol_50 : 1.42567
- volume_zscore_50 : 0.237182
- volume_vol_ratio : 37723.5
- chop : 42.1237
- regime : bear_high_confirmed ¸
- btc_indicators
- btc_indicators
- 5m_ema100:
81235.8
- 5m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.00304324
- 5m_price:
80988.6
- 5m_correlation_with_coin:
0.115144
- btc_indicators
- 15m_ema100:
81246
- 15m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.00316839
- 15m_price:
80988.6
- 15m_correlation_with_coin:
0.165834
- btc_indicators
- 1H_ema100:
80805.4
- 1H_price_ema100_diff:
0.00226707
- 1H_price:
80988.6
- 1H_correlation_with_coin: ¸
- market_structures
- market_structures
- 1H_version: 1.1
- 1H_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-09 09:00:00 [1] => 14.809 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-09 18:00:00 [1] => 16.693 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-09 23:00:00 [1] => 14.95 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-10 06:00:00 [1] => 14.896 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-10 15:00:00 [1] => 14.345 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 04:00:00 [1] => 18.329 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 12:00:00 [1] => 16.428 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00 [1] => 18.56 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 21:00:00 [1] => 16.927 [2] => L ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00 [1] => 19.286 [2] => H ) ) [detected_trend] => uptrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.670953022918 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7782241389496 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.936314763396 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 15m_version: 1.1
- 15m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 17:15:00 [1] => 17.116 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 17:45:00 [1] => 17.557 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 19:00:00 [1] => 17.067 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 20:15:00 [1] => 17.579 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 21:30:00 [1] => 16.927 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 23:30:00 [1] => 18.392 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 00:45:00 [1] => 16.944 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00 [1] => 19.286 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00 [1] => 18.272 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 03:30:00 [1] => 17.172 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.7136602451839 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.32611227579782 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4057768460284 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 5m_version: 1.1
- 5m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 21:30:00 [1] => 16.927 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 21:50:00 [1] => 17.502 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 22:55:00 [1] => 18.085 [2] => H ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 23:35:00 [1] => 18.392 [2] => H ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-11 23:45:00 [1] => 17.519 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 00:50:00 [1] => 16.944 [2] => L ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00 [1] => 19.286 [2] => H ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 02:05:00 [1] => 17.601 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 03:05:00 [1] => 18.272 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-05-12 03:30:00 [1] => 17.172 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => downtrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => -1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.7136602451839 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.32611227579782 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4057768460284 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 1 ) )
¸
- market_structure_v2
- timeframe : 1h
- state : range
- confidence : 0.989
- trend_strength : -0.0057
- trend_persistence : 0.5
- high_delta_atr : -0.2296
- low_delta_atr : 0.0232
- current_swing_amp_atr : 2.3065
- current_swing_speed : 2.30645
- current_swing_efficiency : 0.808
- retracement_ratio : 0.9884
- extension_ratio : 0.8867
- compression_score : 0.8992
- swing_entropy : 1
- breakout_strength : -0.4114
- distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.591
- distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3882
- pivot_count : 48
- swing_count : 47
- market_structure_v2
- last_pivot_kind: low
- last_pivot_price:
16.944
- last_pivot_index:
196
¸
- trend_analyzer_1h
- direction : up
- phase : range
- structure : range
- breakout_state : none
- quality : volatile
- strength : strong
- exhaustion : low
- momentum_type : explosive
- volatility_regime : expansion_after_compression
- htf_context : unknown
- risk_state : premium
- confidence : 0.582
- state : up_range_explosive
- trend_analyzer_1h
- scores_direction_score:
0.6276
- scores_strength_score:
0.6659
- scores_quality_score:
0.4088
- scores_cleanliness_score:
0.1924
- scores_structural_quality:
0.5858
- scores_pullback_score:
0.9884
- scores_exhaustion_score:
0.3619
- scores_continuation_score:
0.5175
- scores_structure_score:
0.684
- scores_volatility_expansion:
0.9605
- scores_momentum_type_score:
0.7061
- scores_risk_score:
0.7308
- trend_analyzer_1h
- features_ema20_slope:
0.0455
- features_ema50_slope:
0.0568
- features_ema_alignment_score:
0.6667
- features_price_vs_ema20:
-0.0881
- features_price_vs_ema50:
0.8349
- features_recent_hh_hl_score:
0.65
- features_recent_lh_ll_score:
0.35
- features_last_bos_direction:
1
- features_bars_since_last_bos:
12
- features_candle_overlap_ratio:
1
- features_wick_ratio:
0.6152
- features_trend_efficiency:
0.808
- features_impulse_strength:
2.3065
- features_directional_candle_ratio:
0.6
- features_pullback_depth_ratio:
0.9884
- features_pullback_depth_atr:
2.3918
- features_extension_from_mean:
0.8349
- features_impulse_decay_score:
0.5566
- features_opposing_wick_pressure:
0.265
- features_volatility_percentile:
0.96
- features_volatility_delta:
0.2767
- features_body_ratio:
0.4478
- features_closes_position_ratio:
0.4279
- features_slope_consistency:
0.8649
- features_range_position:
0.7308
- features_distance_to_recent_high:
-2.4754
- features_distance_to_recent_low:
6.719
- features_had_recent_range:
1
- features_had_recent_compression:
1
- features_post_break_hl_count:
2
- features_htf_trend_strength:
- features_htf_compression_score:
- features_htf_entropy_score:
- features_htf_hh_hl_score:
- features_htf_state_str: ¸
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 1
5M -
downtrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.33%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.41%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
0.1107
0.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2345
6.84%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 21:30:00 | 16.927 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 21:50:00 | 17.502 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 22:55:00 | 18.085 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 23:35:00 | 18.392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 23:45:00 | 17.519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 00:50:00 | 16.944 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 01:00:00 | 19.286 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 02:05:00 | 17.601 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 03:05:00 | 18.272 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 03:30:00 | 17.172 | ↓ Low |
15M -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.33%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.41%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
0.1107
0.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2345
6.84%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 17:15:00 | 17.116 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 17:45:00 | 17.557 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 19:00:00 | 17.067 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 20:15:00 | 17.579 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 21:30:00 | 16.927 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 23:30:00 | 18.392 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 00:45:00 | 16.944 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 01:00:00 | 19.286 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 03:00:00 | 18.272 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 03:30:00 | 17.172 | ↓ Low |
1H -
uptrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-10.67%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.78%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
13.94%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
2.4713
14.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2345
6.84%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 09:00:00 | 14.809 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-09 18:00:00 | 16.693 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-09 23:00:00 | 14.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 06:00:00 | 14.896 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-10 15:00:00 | 14.345 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 04:00:00 | 18.329 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 12:00:00 | 16.428 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 15:00:00 | 18.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-11 21:00:00 | 16.927 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 01:00:00 | 19.286 | ↑ High |
Market Structure V2
1H
↔ range
Confidence
99%
Trend
Trend Strength
-0.006
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.230
Low Δ ATR
0.023
Current Swing
Amp ATR
2.307
Speed
2.306
Efficiency
0.808
Structure
Retracement
0.988
Extension
0.887
Compression
0.899
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.411
Dist High ATR
-1.591
Dist Low ATR
0.388
48 pivots
·
47 swings
·
Last pivot:
↓ 16.9440
@ bar 196
Trend Analyzer 1H
1H
↑ up
up_range_explosive
Confidence
58%
Context
phase
range
structure
range
breakout
none
quality
volatile
strength
strong
exhaustion
low
momentum
explosive
volatility
expansion_after_compression
risk
premium
htf
unknown
Scores
Direction Score
0.628
Strength Score
0.666
Quality Score
0.409
Cleanliness Score
0.192
Structural Quality
0.586
Pullback Score
0.988
Exhaustion Score
0.362
Continuation Score
0.518
Structure Score
0.684
Volatility Expansion
0.961
Momentum Type Score
0.706
Risk Score
0.731
Features
Ema20 Slope
0.046
Ema50 Slope
0.057
Ema Alignment Score
0.667
Price Vs Ema20
-0.088
Price Vs Ema50
0.835
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.650
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.350
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
12.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.615
Trend Efficiency
0.808
Impulse Strength
2.307
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.988
Pullback Depth Atr
2.392
Extension From Mean
0.835
Impulse Decay Score
0.557
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.265
Volatility Percentile
0.960
Volatility Delta
0.277
Body Ratio
0.448
Closes Position Ratio
0.428
Slope Consistency
0.865
Range Position
0.731
Distance To Recent High
-2.475
Distance To Recent Low
6.719
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
2.000
📌 Time Data
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 03:34:57 |
12 May 2026 04:10:00 |
35 minutes |
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.228 | 16.8163 | 18.0515 | 2 | 14.49 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 17.228
- Stop Loss: 16.8163
- Take Profit: 18.0515
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 16.8163 - 17.228 = -0.4117
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 17.228 - 18.0515 = -0.8235
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.8235 / -0.4117 = 2.0002
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 334.744 | 100 | 19.4302 | 3.35 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.4117
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4117 = -19.43
Taille de position USD = -19.43 x 17.228 = -334.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -19.43 avec un stoploss a 16.8163
Avec un position size USD de -334.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -19.43 x -0.4117 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -19.43 x -0.8235 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
- Taille de position -19.43
- Taille de position USD -334.74
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 16
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.78 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.39 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.8177 % | 201.6 % | 4 |
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 18.0515
[entry_price] => 17.228
[stop_loss] => 16.77513
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 18.0515
[entry_price] => 17.228
[stop_loss] => 16.73396
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 18.0515
[entry_price] => 17.228
[stop_loss] => 16.69279
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 18.0515
[entry_price] => 17.228
[stop_loss] => 16.61045
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-12 04:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Extra Pullback data
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.198
[max_drawdown] => 0.83
[rr_ratio] => 0.24
[high] => 17.42600000
[low] => 16.39800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.15
[mae_pct] => 4.82
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T03:34:57-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T05:34:57-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.198
[max_drawdown] => 0.83
[rr_ratio] => 0.24
[high] => 17.42600000
[low] => 16.39800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.15
[mae_pct] => 4.82
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T03:34:57-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T10:34:57-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 19.28600000
[high_after] => 17.42600000
[low_before] => 16.94400000
[low_after] => 16.39800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank
#9 / n/a
OK
seuil : top 15
· score du 12/05/2026 03:00
Signal Confidence
71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime