12 May 2026 at 06:39:32

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 14.22 HYPE at 40.847$ per unit. Take profit: 39.1594 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 41.4095 (1.38 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (12 May 2026 at 06:39:32 to 08:10:00 - 1 day )

With 14.2212 HYPE at 40.847$ per unit.

Position size of 580.8919 $
Take profit at 39.1594 (4.13 %) and Stop Loss at 41.4095 (1.38 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.94
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

12/05 06:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 41.4095418
  5. tp_price: 39.15937459
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 0.801
  12. trend_strength : -0.2817
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.5777
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.0613
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.7378
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.43445
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.4675
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.4094
  20. extension_ratio : 0.4152
  21. compression_score : 0.7413
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.9692
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3915
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3954
  26. pivot_count : 25
  27. swing_count : 24
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    41.389
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : high
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.47
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2536
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4549
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.351
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2545
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.43
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.4094
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6643
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5022
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3057
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1435
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6131
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0366
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1274
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1136
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.6619
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.2701
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.45
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.55
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    20
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.491
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.4675
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    1.7378
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.5
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.4094
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5698
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.2701
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.7924
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2447
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.18
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.2467
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.483
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4799
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8551
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0366
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -11.5067
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.4373
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    2
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
  107. wedge_4h_upper_line:
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        [66] => Array
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    )
    
  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
    Array
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            (
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        [1] => Array
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        [2] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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                [time] => 1777622400
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        [8] => Array
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    )
    
  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 1778356800
        [price] => 42.85
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  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 06:00:00
        [price] => 42.479
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.217
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 42.747
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.032
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
        [price] => 42.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
        [price] => 43.198
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.966
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    40.806
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-12 00:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    41.389
  153. levels_lh_price:
    41.389
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-12 04:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    40.806
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_low
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : medium
  170. momentum_type : grind
  171. volatility_regime : normal
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : mid_range
  174. confidence : 0.423
  175. state : neutral_range_grind
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4341
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5273
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.275
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2278
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3137
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4921
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.401
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3231
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5438
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.3688
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1328
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0538
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.6595
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.9007
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    35
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5444
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.9007
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.212
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.24
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0313
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.4487
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4756
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7095
  214. features_range_position:
    0.3688
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -5.1999
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    3.0384
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:39 40.84700000 0%
2 06:46 40.89600000 +0.12%
3 06:54 40.84200000 -0.012%
4 07:55 40.88100000 +0.083%
5 08:05 40.91200000 +0.159%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 80%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.282
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.578
Low Δ ATR
-0.061

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.738
Speed
0.434
Efficiency
0.468

Structure

Retracement
0.409
Extension
0.415
Compression
0.741
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.969
Dist High ATR
-1.392
Dist Low ATR
0.395
25 pivots · 24 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 41.3890 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 47%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.254
Strength Score 0.455
Quality Score 0.351
Cleanliness Score 0.255
Structural Quality 0.430
Pullback Score 0.409
Exhaustion Score 0.664
Continuation Score 0.502
Structure Score 0.306
Volatility Expansion 0.144
Momentum Type Score 0.613
Risk Score 0.037
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.127
Ema50 Slope
-0.114
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.662
Price Vs Ema50
-3.270
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.450
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.550
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
20.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.491
Trend Efficiency
0.468
Impulse Strength
1.738
Directional Candle Ratio
0.500
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.409
Pullback Depth Atr
1.570
Extension From Mean
-3.270
Impulse Decay Score
0.792
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.245
Volatility Percentile
0.180
Volatility Delta
-0.247
Body Ratio
0.483
Closes Position Ratio
0.480
Slope Consistency
0.855
Range Position
0.037
Distance To Recent High
-11.507
Distance To Recent Low
0.437
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
2.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk mid_range
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.434
Strength Score 0.527
Quality Score 0.275
Cleanliness Score 0.228
Structural Quality 0.314
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.492
Continuation Score 0.401
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.323
Momentum Type Score 0.544
Risk Score 0.369
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.133
Ema50 Slope
-0.054
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.660
Price Vs Ema50
-1.901
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
35.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.544
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-1.901
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.212
Volatility Percentile
0.240
Volatility Delta
-0.031
Body Ratio
0.449
Closes Position Ratio
0.476
Slope Consistency
0.710
Range Position
0.369
Distance To Recent High
-5.200
Distance To Recent Low
3.038
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 May 2026
06:39:32
13 May 2026
08:10:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
40.847 41.4095 39.1594 3 85.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 40.847
  • Stop Loss: 41.4095
  • Take Profit: 39.1594

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 41.4095 - 40.847 = 0.5625

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 40.847 - 39.1594 = 1.6876

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.6876 / 0.5625 = 3.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
580.8919 100 14.2212 5.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5625

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5625 = 14.22

Taille de position USD = 14.22 x 40.847 = 580.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 14.22 avec un stoploss a 41.4095

Avec un position size USD de 580.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 14.22 x 0.5625 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 14.22 x 1.6876 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 14.22
  • Taille de position USD 580.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.13 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.38 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
24 $ 4.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6904 % 50.13 % 18

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.259
            [max_drawdown] => 0.282
            [rr_ratio] => 0.92
            [high] => 41.12900000
            [low] => 40.58800000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.63
            [mae_pct] => 0.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T06:39:32-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T08:39:32-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.036
            [max_drawdown] => 0.282
            [rr_ratio] => 3.67
            [high] => 41.12900000
            [low] => 39.81100000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.69
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T06:39:32-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T13:39:32-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 41.38900000
            [high_after] => 41.12900000
            [low_before] => 40.83800000
            [low_after] => 40.05700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#59 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 12/05/2026 06:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime