Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)
With 14.22 HYPE at 40.847$ per unit. Take profit: 39.1594 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 41.4095 (1.38 %)
Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)
With 14.22 HYPE at 40.847$ per unit. Take profit: 39.1594 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 41.4095 (1.38 %)
Position size of 580.8919 $
Take profit at 39.1594 (4.13 %)
and Stop Loss at 41.4095 (1.38 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 12/05 06:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low |
Indicators:
41.389
147
0.2536
0.4549
0.351
0.2545
0.43
0.4094
0.6643
0.5022
0.3057
0.1435
0.6131
0.0366
-0.1274
-0.1136
0
-1.6619
-3.2701
0.45
0.55
-1
20
1
0.491
0.4675
1.7378
0.5
0.4094
1.5698
-3.2701
0.7924
0.2447
0.18
-0.2467
0.483
0.4799
0.8551
0.0366
-11.5067
0.4373
1
0
2
0.206
0.206
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777521600
[value] => 41.76531993
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777536000
[value] => 41.82178169
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777550400
[value] => 41.87824345
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777564800
[value] => 41.93470521
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777579200
[value] => 41.99116698
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777593600
[value] => 42.04762874
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777608000
[value] => 42.1040905
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777622400
[value] => 42.16055226
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777636800
[value] => 42.21701402
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1777651200
[value] => 42.27347579
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1777665600
[value] => 42.32993755
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1777680000
[value] => 42.38639931
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1777694400
[value] => 42.44286107
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1777708800
[value] => 42.49932284
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1777723200
[value] => 42.5557846
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1777737600
[value] => 42.61224636
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1777752000
[value] => 42.66870812
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1777766400
[value] => 42.72516989
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1777780800
[value] => 42.78163165
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1777795200
[value] => 42.83809341
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1777809600
[value] => 42.89455517
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1777824000
[value] => 42.95101694
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1777838400
[value] => 43.0074787
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1777852800
[value] => 43.06394046
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1777867200
[value] => 43.12040222
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 43.17686399
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 43.23332575
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 43.28978751
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 43.34624927
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 43.40271103
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 43.4591728
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 43.51563456
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 43.57209632
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 43.62855808
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 43.68501985
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 43.74148161
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 43.79794337
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 43.85440513
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 43.9108669
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 43.96732866
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 44.02379042
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 44.08025218
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 44.13671395
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 44.19317571
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 44.24963747
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 44.30609923
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 44.36256099
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 44.41902276
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 44.47548452
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 44.53194628
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 44.58840804
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 44.64486981
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 44.70133157
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 44.75779333
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 44.81425509
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 44.87071686
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 44.92717862
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 44.98364038
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 45.04010214
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 45.09656391
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 45.15302567
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 45.20948743
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 45.26594919
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 45.32241096
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 45.37887272
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 45.43533448
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 45.49179624
)
)
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777521600
[value] => 38.92838491
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777536000
[value] => 38.99949121
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777550400
[value] => 39.0705975
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777564800
[value] => 39.1417038
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777579200
[value] => 39.21281009
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777593600
[value] => 39.28391639
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777608000
[value] => 39.35502269
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777622400
[value] => 39.42612898
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777636800
[value] => 39.49723528
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1777651200
[value] => 39.56834158
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1777665600
[value] => 39.63944787
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1777680000
[value] => 39.71055417
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1777694400
[value] => 39.78166046
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1777708800
[value] => 39.85276676
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1777723200
[value] => 39.92387306
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1777737600
[value] => 39.99497935
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1777752000
[value] => 40.06608565
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1777766400
[value] => 40.13719194
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1777780800
[value] => 40.20829824
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1777795200
[value] => 40.27940454
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1777809600
[value] => 40.35051083
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1777824000
[value] => 40.42161713
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1777838400
[value] => 40.49272343
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1777852800
[value] => 40.56382972
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1777867200
[value] => 40.63493602
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 40.70604231
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 40.77714861
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 40.84825491
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 40.9193612
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 40.9904675
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 41.0615738
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 41.13268009
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 41.20378639
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 41.27489268
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 41.34599898
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 41.41710528
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 41.48821157
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 41.55931787
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 41.63042417
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 41.70153046
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 41.77263676
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 41.84374305
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 41.91484935
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 41.98595565
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 42.05706194
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 42.12816824
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 42.19927453
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 42.27038083
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 42.34148713
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 42.41259342
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 42.48369972
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 42.55480602
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 42.62591231
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 42.69701861
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 42.7681249
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 42.8392312
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 42.9103375
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 42.98144379
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 43.05255009
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 43.12365639
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 43.19476268
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 43.26586898
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 43.33697527
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 43.40808157
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 43.47918787
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 43.55029416
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 43.62140046
)
)
Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[price] => 42.85
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
[price] => 43.143
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
[price] => 40.166
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
[price] => 45.269
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
[price] => 42.907
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
[price] => 45.769
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
[price] => 43.129
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
[price] => 45.55
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
[price] => 38.848
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
[price] => 43.551
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
[price] => 38.7
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
[price] => 42.426
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
[price] => 40.66
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
[price] => 42.604
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
[price] => 40.844
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
[price] => 44.76
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
[price] => 41.838
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
[price] => 44.329
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 06:00:00
[price] => 42.479
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 08:00:00
[price] => 43.217
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
[price] => 41.838
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
[price] => 42.747
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
[price] => 42.032
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
[price] => 42.935
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
[price] => 42.129
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
[price] => 44.329
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
[price] => 43.198
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
[price] => 43.966
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
[price] => 42.392
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
[price] => 43.176
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
[price] => 42.508
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
[price] => 43.695
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
[price] => 42.103
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
[price] => 43.148
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
[price] => 40.826
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
[price] => 42.23
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
[price] => 40.806
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
[price] => 41.389
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
40.806
41.389
41.389
40.806
0.4341
0.5273
0.275
0.2278
0.3137
0.8525
0.4921
0.401
0.6707
0.3231
0.5438
0.3688
-0.1328
-0.0538
0
-1.6595
-1.9007
0.5714
0.4286
1
35
1
0.5444
0.3757
3.2678
0.65
0.8525
2.9125
-1.9007
0.682
0.212
0.24
-0.0313
0.4487
0.4756
0.7095
0.3688
-5.1999
3.0384
1
1
1
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:39 | 40.84700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:46 | 40.89600000 | +0.12% |
| 3 | 06:54 | 40.84200000 | -0.012% |
| 4 | 07:55 | 40.88100000 | +0.083% |
| 5 | 08:05 | 40.91200000 | +0.159% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 06:39:32 |
13 May 2026 08:10:00 |
1 day |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40.847 | 41.4095 | 39.1594 | 3 | 85.38 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 41.4095 - 40.847 = 0.5625
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 40.847 - 39.1594 = 1.6876
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.6876 / 0.5625 = 3.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 580.8919 | 100 | 14.2212 | 5.81 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.5625 = 14.22
Taille de position USD = 14.22 x 40.847 = 580.84
Donc, tu peux acheter 14.22 avec un stoploss a 41.4095
Avec un position size USD de 580.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14.22 x 0.5625 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14.22 x 1.6876 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.13 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.38 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 24 $ | 4.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6904 % | 50.13 % | 18 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.259
[max_drawdown] => 0.282
[rr_ratio] => 0.92
[high] => 41.12900000
[low] => 40.58800000
[mfe_pct] => 0.63
[mae_pct] => 0.69
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.92
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T06:39:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T08:39:32-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.036
[max_drawdown] => 0.282
[rr_ratio] => 3.67
[high] => 41.12900000
[low] => 39.81100000
[mfe_pct] => 2.54
[mae_pct] => 0.69
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.67
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T06:39:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T13:39:32-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 41.38900000
[high_after] => 41.12900000
[low_before] => 40.83800000
[low_after] => 40.05700000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?