12 May 2026 at 08:12:03

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 16.78 HYPE at 40.938$ per unit. Take profit: 39.5075 (3.49 %) & Stop Loss: 41.4148 (1.16 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (12 May 2026 at 08:12:03 to 06:05:00 - 21 hours )

With 16.7773 HYPE at 40.938$ per unit.

Position size of 686.8285 $
Take profit at 39.5075 (3.49 %) and Stop Loss at 41.4148 (1.16 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 21 hours

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

12/05 08:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.641
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 41.41483517
  5. tp_price: 39.50749449
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.641
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.904
  12. trend_strength : -0.2275
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.5119
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.6511
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.3865
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79551
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6953
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.3739
  20. extension_ratio : 0.5625
  21. compression_score : 0.6712
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.3943
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3471
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.0454
  26. pivot_count : 26
  27. swing_count : 25
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    40.588
  31. last_pivot_index:
    148
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.517
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2524
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6008
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3382
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2401
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4183
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6018
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2954
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2952
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1566
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6776
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0936
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1232
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1086
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.2784
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.8078
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    1
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5197
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6953
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.3865
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.3739
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.3875
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.8078
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.7188
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2743
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.2
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.2451
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4376
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4633
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9071
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0936
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.6787
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.1022
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 43.05
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  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.217
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 42.747
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.032
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
        [price] => 42.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
        [price] => 43.198
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.966
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    40.588
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-12 07:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    41.389
  153. levels_lh_price:
    41.389
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-12 04:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    40.588
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_medium
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : medium
  170. momentum_type : grind
  171. volatility_regime : compression
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : mid_range
  174. confidence : 0.424
  175. state : neutral_range_grind
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4308
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5273
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2677
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2167
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3095
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4876
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.401
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2494
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5588
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.3693
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1548
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0659
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.5651
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.8945
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    36
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5666
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.8945
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1962
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.12
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0339
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.4312
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5135
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7948
  214. features_range_position:
    0.3693
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -5.3862
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    3.1539
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:12 40.93800000 0%
2 08:23 40.88000000 -0.142%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 90%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.228
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.512
Low Δ ATR
-0.651

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.387
Speed
0.796
Efficiency
0.695

Structure

Retracement
1.374
Extension
0.563
Compression
0.671
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.394
Dist High ATR
-1.347
Dist Low ATR
1.045
26 pivots · 25 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 40.5880 @ bar 148

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 52%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.252
Strength Score 0.601
Quality Score 0.338
Cleanliness Score 0.240
Structural Quality 0.418
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.602
Continuation Score 0.295
Structure Score 0.295
Volatility Expansion 0.157
Momentum Type Score 0.678
Risk Score 0.094
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.123
Ema50 Slope
-0.109
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.278
Price Vs Ema50
-2.808
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
1.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.520
Trend Efficiency
0.695
Impulse Strength
2.387
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.374
Pullback Depth Atr
2.388
Extension From Mean
-2.808
Impulse Decay Score
0.719
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.274
Volatility Percentile
0.200
Volatility Delta
-0.245
Body Ratio
0.438
Closes Position Ratio
0.463
Slope Consistency
0.907
Range Position
0.094
Distance To Recent High
-10.679
Distance To Recent Low
1.102
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk mid_range
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.431
Strength Score 0.527
Quality Score 0.268
Cleanliness Score 0.217
Structural Quality 0.310
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.488
Continuation Score 0.401
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.249
Momentum Type Score 0.559
Risk Score 0.369
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.155
Ema50 Slope
-0.066
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.565
Price Vs Ema50
-1.895
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
36.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.567
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-1.895
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.196
Volatility Percentile
0.120
Volatility Delta
-0.034
Body Ratio
0.431
Closes Position Ratio
0.514
Slope Consistency
0.795
Range Position
0.369
Distance To Recent High
-5.386
Distance To Recent Low
3.154
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 May 2026
08:12:03
13 May 2026
06:05:00
21 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
40.938 41.4148 39.5075 3 87.414
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 40.938
  • Stop Loss: 41.4148
  • Take Profit: 39.5075

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 41.4148 - 40.938 = 0.4768

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 40.938 - 39.5075 = 1.4305

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4305 / 0.4768 = 3.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
686.8285 100 16.7773 6.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4768

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4768 = 16.78

Taille de position USD = 16.78 x 40.938 = 686.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.78 avec un stoploss a 41.4148

Avec un position size USD de 686.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.78 x 0.4768 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.78 x 1.4305 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.78
  • Taille de position USD 686.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.49 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
24 $ 3.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1368 % 11.75 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 39.9844
            [stop_loss] => 41.4148
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-12 12:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.341
            [max_drawdown] => 0.055999999999997
            [rr_ratio] => 6.09
            [high] => 40.99400000
            [low] => 40.59700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.83
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T08:12:03-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T10:12:03-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.127
            [max_drawdown] => 0.055999999999997
            [rr_ratio] => 20.13
            [high] => 40.99400000
            [low] => 39.81100000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T08:12:03-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T15:12:03-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 41.37000000
            [high_after] => 40.99400000
            [low_before] => 40.58800000
            [low_after] => 39.81100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#40 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 12/05/2026 08:00
Signal Confidence
64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime