12 May 2026 at 08:40:28

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 10.3 HYPE at 40.64$ per unit. Take profit: 38.3108 (5.73 %) & Stop Loss: 41.4164 (1.91 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (12 May 2026 at 08:40:28 to 23:45:00 - 1 day )

With 10.3039 HYPE at 40.64$ per unit.

Position size of 418.752 $
Take profit at 38.3108 (5.73 %) and Stop Loss at 41.4164 (1.91 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.59
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

12/05 08:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.641
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 41.41640227
  5. tp_price: 38.3107932
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.641
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.872
  12. trend_strength : -0.2275
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.4081
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.6242
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.3865
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79551
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6953
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.3739
  20. extension_ratio : 0.5625
  21. compression_score : 0.6712
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.2863
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.383
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.9106
  26. pivot_count : 26
  27. swing_count : 25
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    40.588
  31. last_pivot_index:
    148
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.513
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2536
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6008
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3375
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2388
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4183
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5925
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2987
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2952
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2833
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6812
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.085
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1153
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1008
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.2625
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.6775
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    1
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5225
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6953
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.3865
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.3739
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.3875
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.6775
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.7188
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2826
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.34
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.181
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.441
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4716
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9077
  85. features_range_position:
    0.085
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -9.9367
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.9231
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
  107. wedge_4h_upper_line:
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        [57] => Array
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        [66] => Array
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    )
    
  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
    Array
    (
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            (
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        [1] => Array
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        [2] => Array
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        [5] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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                [value] => 39.35502269
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        [7] => Array
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                [time] => 1777622400
                [value] => 39.42612898
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        [8] => Array
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    )
    
  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 1778371200
        [price] => 43.05
    )
    
  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.217
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 42.747
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.032
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
        [price] => 42.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
        [price] => 43.198
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.966
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    40.588
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-12 07:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    41.389
  153. levels_lh_price:
    41.389
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-12 04:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    40.588
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high_confirmed
  160. 15m : bear_medium_confirmed
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : medium
  170. momentum_type : grind
  171. volatility_regime : normal
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : mid_range
  174. confidence : 0.424
  175. state : neutral_range_grind
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4315
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5273
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2671
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2152
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3095
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4839
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4024
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3338
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5616
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.364
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1499
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0638
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.5472
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.867
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    36
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5695
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.867
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1909
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.22
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0027
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.4331
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5218
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7945
  214. features_range_position:
    0.364
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -5.2326
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.9951
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 87%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.228
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.408
Low Δ ATR
-0.624

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.387
Speed
0.796
Efficiency
0.695

Structure

Retracement
1.374
Extension
0.563
Compression
0.671
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.286
Dist High ATR
-1.383
Dist Low ATR
0.911
26 pivots · 25 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 40.5880 @ bar 148

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 51%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.254
Strength Score 0.601
Quality Score 0.338
Cleanliness Score 0.239
Structural Quality 0.418
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.593
Continuation Score 0.299
Structure Score 0.295
Volatility Expansion 0.283
Momentum Type Score 0.681
Risk Score 0.085
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.115
Ema50 Slope
-0.101
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.263
Price Vs Ema50
-2.678
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
1.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.523
Trend Efficiency
0.695
Impulse Strength
2.387
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.374
Pullback Depth Atr
2.388
Extension From Mean
-2.678
Impulse Decay Score
0.719
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.283
Volatility Percentile
0.340
Volatility Delta
-0.181
Body Ratio
0.441
Closes Position Ratio
0.472
Slope Consistency
0.908
Range Position
0.085
Distance To Recent High
-9.937
Distance To Recent Low
0.923
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk mid_range
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.432
Strength Score 0.527
Quality Score 0.267
Cleanliness Score 0.215
Structural Quality 0.310
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.484
Continuation Score 0.402
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.334
Momentum Type Score 0.562
Risk Score 0.364
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.150
Ema50 Slope
-0.064
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.547
Price Vs Ema50
-1.867
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
36.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.570
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-1.867
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.191
Volatility Percentile
0.220
Volatility Delta
0.003
Body Ratio
0.433
Closes Position Ratio
0.522
Slope Consistency
0.795
Range Position
0.364
Distance To Recent High
-5.233
Distance To Recent Low
2.995
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 May 2026
08:40:28
13 May 2026
23:45:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
40.64 41.4164 38.3108 3 86.997
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 40.64
  • Stop Loss: 41.4164
  • Take Profit: 38.3108

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 41.4164 - 40.64 = 0.7764

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 40.64 - 38.3108 = 2.3292

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3292 / 0.7764 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
418.752 100 10.3039 4.19
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.7764

Taille de position = 8 / 0.7764 = 10.3

Taille de position USD = 10.3 x 40.64 = 418.59

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.3 avec un stoploss a 41.4164

Avec un position size USD de 418.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.3 x 0.7764 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.3 x 2.3292 = 23.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.3
  • Taille de position USD 418.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 23.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
5.73 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
24 $ 5.73
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7603 % 39.8 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.379
            [max_drawdown] => 0.309
            [rr_ratio] => 1.23
            [high] => 40.94900000
            [low] => 40.26100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 0.76
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T08:40:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T10:40:28-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.829
            [max_drawdown] => 0.309
            [rr_ratio] => 2.68
            [high] => 40.94900000
            [low] => 39.81100000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.04
            [mae_pct] => 0.76
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.68
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T08:40:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T15:40:28-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 41.34100000
            [high_after] => 40.94900000
            [low_before] => 40.58800000
            [low_after] => 39.81100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#40 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 12/05/2026 08:00
Signal Confidence
64 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime