Short Trade on XAU (WedgePullback)
With 0.28 XAU at 4689.14$ per unit. Take profit: 4603.9003 (1.82 %) & Stop Loss: 4717.5532 (0.61 %)
Short Trade on XAU (WedgePullback)
With 0.28 XAU at 4689.14$ per unit. Take profit: 4603.9003 (1.82 %) & Stop Loss: 4717.5532 (0.61 %)
Position size of 1320.2692 $
Take profit at 4603.9003 (1.82 %)
and Stop Loss at 4717.5532 (0.61 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 12/05 09:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : range_medium 1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Indicators:
4716
148
0.3257
0.4339
0.3506
0.2087
0.4667
0.3088
0.4737
0.5882
0.3874
0.7039
0.5577
0.3296
-0.0662
-0.0243
0
-0.984
-1.0306
0.5
0.5
-1
3
1
0.5826
0.4025
1.506
0.55
0.3088
1.5655
-1.0306
0.7936
0.2643
0.86
-0.0181
0.4597
0.5082
0.6552
0.3296
-4.1491
2.0397
1
0
1
0.143
0.143
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777608000
[value] => 4668.7717122
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777622400
[value] => 4670.68869945
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777636800
[value] => 4672.6056867
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777651200
[value] => 4674.52267395
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777665600
[value] => 4676.4396612
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777680000
[value] => 4678.35664845
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777694400
[value] => 4680.2736357
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777708800
[value] => 4682.19062295
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777723200
[value] => 4684.1076102
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1777737600
[value] => 4686.02459745
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1777752000
[value] => 4687.9415847
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1777766400
[value] => 4689.85857195
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1777780800
[value] => 4691.7755592
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1777795200
[value] => 4693.69254645
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1777809600
[value] => 4695.6095337
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1777824000
[value] => 4697.52652095
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1777838400
[value] => 4699.4435082
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1777852800
[value] => 4701.36049545
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1777867200
[value] => 4703.2774827
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 4705.19446995
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 4707.11145719
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 4709.02844444
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 4710.94543169
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 4712.86241894
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 4714.77940619
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 4716.69639344
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 4718.61338069
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 4720.53036794
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 4722.44735519
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 4724.36434244
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 4726.28132969
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 4728.19831694
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 4730.11530419
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 4732.03229144
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 4733.94927869
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 4735.86626594
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 4737.78325319
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 4739.70024044
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 4741.61722769
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 4743.53421494
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 4745.45120219
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 4747.36818944
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 4749.28517668
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 4751.20216393
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 4753.11915118
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 4755.03613843
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 4756.95312568
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 4758.87011293
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 4760.78710018
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 4762.70408743
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 4764.62107468
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 4766.53806193
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 4768.45504918
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 4770.37203643
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 4772.28902368
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 4774.20601093
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 4776.12299818
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 4778.03998543
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 4779.95697268
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 4781.87395993
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 4783.79094718
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778486400
[value] => 4785.70793443
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778500800
[value] => 4787.62492168
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778515200
[value] => 4789.54190893
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778529600
[value] => 4791.45889617
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778544000
[value] => 4793.37588342
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778558400
[value] => 4795.29287067
)
[67] => Array
(
[time] => 1778572800
[value] => 4797.20985792
)
)
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777608000
[value] => 4533.57415148
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777622400
[value] => 4535.81053618
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777636800
[value] => 4538.04692087
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777651200
[value] => 4540.28330557
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777665600
[value] => 4542.51969027
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777680000
[value] => 4544.75607496
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777694400
[value] => 4546.99245966
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777708800
[value] => 4549.22884435
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777723200
[value] => 4551.46522905
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1777737600
[value] => 4553.70161374
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1777752000
[value] => 4555.93799844
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1777766400
[value] => 4558.17438313
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1777780800
[value] => 4560.41076783
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1777795200
[value] => 4562.64715252
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1777809600
[value] => 4564.88353722
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1777824000
[value] => 4567.11992192
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1777838400
[value] => 4569.35630661
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1777852800
[value] => 4571.59269131
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1777867200
[value] => 4573.829076
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 4576.0654607
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 4578.30184539
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 4580.53823009
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 4582.77461478
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 4585.01099948
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 4587.24738417
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 4589.48376887
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 4591.72015357
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 4593.95653826
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 4596.19292296
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 4598.42930765
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 4600.66569235
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 4602.90207704
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 4605.13846174
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 4607.37484643
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 4609.61123113
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 4611.84761583
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 4614.08400052
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 4616.32038522
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 4618.55676991
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 4620.79315461
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 4623.0295393
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 4625.265924
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 4627.50230869
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 4629.73869339
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 4631.97507808
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 4634.21146278
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 4636.44784748
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 4638.68423217
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 4640.92061687
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 4643.15700156
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 4645.39338626
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 4647.62977095
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 4649.86615565
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 4652.10254034
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 4654.33892504
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 4656.57530973
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 4658.81169443
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 4661.04807913
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 4663.28446382
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 4665.52084852
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 4667.75723321
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778486400
[value] => 4669.99361791
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778500800
[value] => 4672.2300026
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778515200
[value] => 4674.4663873
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778529600
[value] => 4676.70277199
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778544000
[value] => 4678.93915669
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778558400
[value] => 4681.17554138
)
[67] => Array
(
[time] => 1778572800
[value] => 4683.41192608
)
)
Array
(
[time] => 1778572800
[price] => 4693.23
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
[price] => 4765.79
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-17 08:00:00
[price] => 4887.43
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-19 16:00:00
[price] => 4740.93
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-20 16:00:00
[price] => 4828.35
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
[price] => 4668.02
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-22 00:00:00
[price] => 4768.81
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-24 00:00:00
[price] => 4656.42
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-24 08:00:00
[price] => 4736.01
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
[price] => 4670.8
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-27 00:00:00
[price] => 4726.64
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-29 08:00:00
[price] => 4513.06
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-30 08:00:00
[price] => 4645.44
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-01 04:00:00
[price] => 4563.45
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-01 08:00:00
[price] => 4659.3
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-04 12:00:00
[price] => 4503.04
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 08:00:00
[price] => 4767.17
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
[price] => 4679.42
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 08:00:00
[price] => 4750.05
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 00:00:00
[price] => 4652.28
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 20:00:00
[price] => 4776.53
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 18:00:00
[price] => 4679.42
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 02:00:00
[price] => 4734.04
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 03:00:00
[price] => 4698.83
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 10:00:00
[price] => 4750.05
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-08 11:00:00
[price] => 4703.83
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 00:00:00
[price] => 4726.72
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 04:00:00
[price] => 4720.36
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
[price] => 4730.59
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 10:00:00
[price] => 4724.52
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
[price] => 4730
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 18:00:00
[price] => 4682.47
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
[price] => 4702.43
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 01:00:00
[price] => 4652.28
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 02:00:00
[price] => 4684.05
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 05:00:00
[price] => 4655.1
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 09:00:00
[price] => 4749.87
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 12:00:00
[price] => 4711.01
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 20:00:00
[price] => 4776.53
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 06:00:00
[price] => 4688.96
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
[price] => 4716
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
4688.96
4716
4716
4688.96
0.5817
0.5544
0.3206
0.2113
0.41
1
0.103
0.5768
0.5928
0.748
0.5291
0.6954
0.022
0.0363
0.6667
-0.5442
0.0489
0.4
0.6
1
3
1
0.5773
0.4667
4.234
0.5
1.2708
5.802
0.0489
0.1204
0.2022
0.58
0.3351
0.5283
0.5827
0
0.6954
-2.4806
5.6636
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:21 | 4689.14000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:29 | 4689.14000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 10:12 | 4694.73000000 | +0.119% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 09:21:43 |
12 May 2026 15:55:00 |
6 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4689.14 | 4717.5532 | 4603.9003 | 3 | 4157.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4717.5532 - 4689.14 = 28.4132
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4689.14 - 4603.9003 = 85.2397
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 85.2397 / 28.4132 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1320.2692 | 100 | 0.2816 | 13.20 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 28.4132 = 0.28
Taille de position USD = 0.28 x 4689.14 = 1312.96
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.28 avec un stoploss a 4717.5532
Avec un position size USD de 1312.96$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.28 x 28.4132 = 7.96
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.96$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.28 x 85.2397 = 23.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.87$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.82 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6197 % | 102.28 % | 10 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 46.070000000001
[max_drawdown] => 15.799999999999
[rr_ratio] => 2.92
[high] => 4704.94000000
[low] => 4643.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.98
[mae_pct] => 0.34
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.92
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T09:21:43-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T11:21:43-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 46.64
[max_drawdown] => 32.13
[rr_ratio] => 1.45
[high] => 4721.27000000
[low] => 4642.50000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.99
[mae_pct] => 0.69
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.45
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T09:21:43-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T16:21:43-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4716.00000000
[high_after] => 4705.58000000
[low_before] => 4682.97000000
[low_after] => 4642.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?