Short Trade on BTC (WedgePullback)
With 0.008 BTC at 80312.9$ per unit. Take profit: 77313.1337 (3.74 %) & Stop Loss: 81312.8221 (1.25 %)
Short Trade on BTC (WedgePullback)
With 0.008 BTC at 80312.9$ per unit. Take profit: 77313.1337 (3.74 %) & Stop Loss: 81312.8221 (1.25 %)
Position size of 642.5533 $
Take profit at 77313.1337 (3.74 %)
and Stop Loss at 81312.8221 (1.25 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 12/05 13:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bull_high 1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low |
Indicators:
79805.9
148
0.3085
0.5385
0.3214
0.2028
0.4183
1
0.391
0.3811
0.3975
0.5407
0.5478
0.3725
-0.1435
-0.0661
0
-0.9663
-1.3733
0.6
0.4
-1
1
1
0.5943
0.3565
3.7636
0.65
2.4473
3.9216
-1.3733
0.4791
0.3169
0.6
-0.0289
0.4291
0.4365
0.9004
0.3725
-4.9462
2.9357
1
0
0
0.675
0.675
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[price] => 80411.1
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 14:00:00
[price] => 82088
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 21:00:00
[price] => 80675.9
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 02:00:00
[price] => 81277
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
[price] => 79805.9
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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79805.9
81277
81277
79805.9
0.5405
0.6987
0.316
0.2235
0.3917
0.8285
0.3657
0.4815
0.6892
0.4071
0.7488
0.6908
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0.0135
0.3333
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0.6111
0.3889
1
38
1
0.553
0.9316
2.1746
0.55
0.8285
2.179
-0.0821
0.7467
0.2394
0.22
0.1126
0.4823
0.5576
0.5492
0.6908
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7.5827
1
0
2
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:26 | 80312.90000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:33 | 80414.20000000 | +0.126% |
| 3 | 13:43 | 80459.10000000 | +0.182% |
| 4 | 13:52 | 80446.30000000 | +0.166% |
| 5 | 13:58 | 80446.30000000 | +0.166% |
| 6 | 14:08 | 80482.90000000 | +0.212% |
| 7 | 14:18 | 80513.00000000 | +0.249% |
| 8 | 14:27 | 80481.80000000 | +0.21% |
| 9 | 14:35 | 80526.40000000 | +0.266% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 13:26:22 |
14 May 2026 12:00:00 |
1 day |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80312.9 | 81312.8221 | 77313.1337 | 3 | 79758.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 81312.8221 - 80312.9 = 999.92210000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 80312.9 - 77313.1337 = 2999.7663
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2999.7663 / 999.92210000001 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 642.5533 | 100 | 0.008001 | 6.43 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 999.92210000001 = 0.01
Taille de position USD = 0.01 x 80312.9 = 803.13
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.01 avec un stoploss a 81312.8221
Avec un position size USD de 803.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.01 x 999.92210000001 = 10
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 10$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.01 x 2999.7663 = 30
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 30$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.74 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4258 % | 114.52 % | 8 |
Array
(
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Array
(
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => -68.800000000003
[max_drawdown] => 482.90000000001
[rr_ratio] => -0.14
[high] => 80795.80000000
[low] => 80381.70000000
[mfe_pct] => -0.09
[mae_pct] => 0.6
[mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.14
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T13:26:22-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T15:26:22-04:00
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[long_term] => Array
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[max_drawdown] => 528.10000000001
[rr_ratio] => -0.09
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[low] => 80363.00000000
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[mae_pct] => 0.66
[mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.09
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-12T13:26:22-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-12T20:26:22-04:00
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[breakout] => Array
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[high_after] => 80841.00000000
[low_before] => 79805.90000000
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[is_new_high] =>
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?