12 May 2026 at 15:18:21

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 9.72 HYPE at 40.335$ per unit. Take profit: 37.8653 (6.12 %) & Stop Loss: 41.1582 (2.04 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (12 May 2026 at 15:18:21 to 09:20:00 - 1 day )

With 9.7176 HYPE at 40.335$ per unit.

Position size of 391.9591 $
Take profit at 37.8653 (6.12 %) and Stop Loss at 41.1582 (2.04 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.08
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

12/05 15:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 41.15824906
  5. tp_price: 37.86525281
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.789
  12. trend_strength : -0.1737
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.7047
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.1059
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.4201
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.85502
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.5345
  19. retracement_ratio : 2.4362
  20. extension_ratio : 1.6454
  21. compression_score : 0.8107
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : 0.6857
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.152
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.4202
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    39.811
  31. last_pivot_index:
    146
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.57
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2468
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5873
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3402
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2549
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.41
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3903
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3566
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3046
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.5049
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6342
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.116
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2146
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1525
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.2015
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.9764
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    3
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4902
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.5345
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.4201
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    2.4362
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.774
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.9764
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.1773
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2356
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.4
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0974
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5234
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4129
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8389
  85. features_range_position:
    0.116
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.7854
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.415
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 42.828
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  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 42.747
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.032
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
        [price] => 42.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
        [price] => 43.198
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.966
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    39.811
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-12 12:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    41.129
  153. levels_lh_price:
    41.129
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-12 08:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    39.811
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_medium
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : medium
  170. momentum_type : grind
  171. volatility_regime : normal
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : discount
  174. confidence : 0.419
  175. state : neutral_range_grind
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4266
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5098
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2707
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2284
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3053
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5225
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3889
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.4417
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5849
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.2698
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1826
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0807
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.919
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.3725
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    37
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5431
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.3725
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1686
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.4
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0026
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.4727
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5227
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8382
  214. features_range_position:
    0.2698
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -5.6861
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.1009
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:18 40.33500000 0%
2 15:26 40.34700000 +0.03%
3 15:35 40.37700000 +0.104%
4 15:41 40.37700000 +0.104%
5 15:50 40.38400000 +0.121%
6 15:56 40.38400000 +0.121%
7 16:06 40.35000000 +0.037%
8 16:14 40.29200000 -0.107%
9 16:23 40.37800000 +0.107%
10 16:36 40.31200000 -0.057%
11 16:48 40.34200000 +0.017%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 79%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.174
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.705
Low Δ ATR
-2.106

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.420
Speed
0.855
Efficiency
0.535

Structure

Retracement
2.436
Extension
1.645
Compression
0.811
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
0.686
Dist High ATR
-2.152
Dist Low ATR
1.420
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 39.8110 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 57%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.247
Strength Score 0.587
Quality Score 0.340
Cleanliness Score 0.255
Structural Quality 0.410
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.390
Continuation Score 0.357
Structure Score 0.305
Volatility Expansion 0.505
Momentum Type Score 0.634
Risk Score 0.116
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.215
Ema50 Slope
-0.153
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.202
Price Vs Ema50
-2.976
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
3.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.490
Trend Efficiency
0.535
Impulse Strength
3.420
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
2.436
Pullback Depth Atr
3.774
Extension From Mean
-2.976
Impulse Decay Score
0.177
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.236
Volatility Percentile
0.400
Volatility Delta
0.097
Body Ratio
0.523
Closes Position Ratio
0.413
Slope Consistency
0.839
Range Position
0.116
Distance To Recent High
-10.785
Distance To Recent Low
1.415
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.427
Strength Score 0.510
Quality Score 0.271
Cleanliness Score 0.228
Structural Quality 0.305
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.523
Continuation Score 0.389
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.442
Momentum Type Score 0.585
Risk Score 0.270
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.183
Ema50 Slope
-0.081
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.919
Price Vs Ema50
-2.373
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
37.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.543
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-2.373
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.169
Volatility Percentile
0.400
Volatility Delta
0.003
Body Ratio
0.473
Closes Position Ratio
0.523
Slope Consistency
0.838
Range Position
0.270
Distance To Recent High
-5.686
Distance To Recent Low
2.101
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 May 2026
15:18:21
14 May 2026
09:20:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
40.335 41.1582 37.8653 3 87.785
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 40.335
  • Stop Loss: 41.1582
  • Take Profit: 37.8653

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 41.1582 - 40.335 = 0.8232

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 40.335 - 37.8653 = 2.4697

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4697 / 0.8232 = 3.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
391.9591 100 9.7176 3.92
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8232

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8232 = 9.72

Taille de position USD = 9.72 x 40.335 = 392.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.72 avec un stoploss a 41.1582

Avec un position size USD de 392.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.72 x 0.8232 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.72 x 2.4697 = 24.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.72
  • Taille de position USD 392.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.12 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.04 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1842 % 107.02 % 35

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.093000000000004
            [max_drawdown] => 0.139
            [rr_ratio] => 0.67
            [high] => 40.47400000
            [low] => 40.24200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.23
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T15:18:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T17:18:21-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.324
            [max_drawdown] => 0.357
            [rr_ratio] => 0.91
            [high] => 40.69200000
            [low] => 40.01100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.8
            [mae_pct] => 0.89
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T15:18:21-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T22:18:21-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 40.47000000
            [high_after] => 40.56700000
            [low_before] => 39.81100000
            [low_after] => 40.01100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#73 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 12/05/2026 15:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime