12 May 2026 at 16:54:30

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 9.74 HYPE at 40.333$ per unit. Take profit: 37.87 (6.11 %) & Stop Loss: 41.154 (2.04 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (12 May 2026 at 16:54:30 to 09:20:00 - 1 day )

With 9.7443 HYPE at 40.333$ per unit.

Position size of 393.0179 $
Take profit at 37.87 (6.11 %) and Stop Loss at 41.154 (2.04 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.85
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

12/05 16:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 41.15399065
  5. tp_price: 37.87002804
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.799
  12. trend_strength : -0.1737
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.7141
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.134
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.4201
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.85502
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.5345
  19. retracement_ratio : 2.4362
  20. extension_ratio : 1.6454
  21. compression_score : 0.8107
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : 0.7883
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.2741
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.3458
  26. pivot_count : 26
  27. swing_count : 25
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    39.811
  31. last_pivot_index:
    145
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.567
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2498
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5873
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3356
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2499
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4058
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3978
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3556
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3046
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3822
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6278
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1085
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1941
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1483
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.2232
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.0378
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    4
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5003
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.5345
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.4201
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    2.4362
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.774
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.0378
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.1773
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2444
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.3
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0033
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4923
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4263
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8604
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1085
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -11.1788
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.3599
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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    )
    
  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 43.235
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  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 42.747
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.032
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
        [price] => 42.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
        [price] => 43.198
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.966
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    39.811
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-12 12:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    41.129
  153. levels_lh_price:
    41.129
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-12 08:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    39.811
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_medium
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : medium
  170. momentum_type : grind
  171. volatility_regime : compression
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : discount
  174. confidence : 0.417
  175. state : neutral_range_grind
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4246
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5098
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2687
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2291
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3012
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5371
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3837
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1917
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5814
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.2642
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1962
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0912
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.9473
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.5367
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    38
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5418
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.5367
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1692
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.12
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1205
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.4458
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5266
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8833
  214. features_range_position:
    0.2642
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -6.2495
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.2439
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 80%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.174
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.714
Low Δ ATR
-2.134

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.420
Speed
0.855
Efficiency
0.535

Structure

Retracement
2.436
Extension
1.645
Compression
0.811
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
0.788
Dist High ATR
-2.274
Dist Low ATR
1.346
26 pivots · 25 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 39.8110 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 57%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.250
Strength Score 0.587
Quality Score 0.336
Cleanliness Score 0.250
Structural Quality 0.406
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.398
Continuation Score 0.356
Structure Score 0.305
Volatility Expansion 0.382
Momentum Type Score 0.628
Risk Score 0.109
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.194
Ema50 Slope
-0.148
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.223
Price Vs Ema50
-3.038
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
4.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.500
Trend Efficiency
0.535
Impulse Strength
3.420
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
2.436
Pullback Depth Atr
3.774
Extension From Mean
-3.038
Impulse Decay Score
0.177
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.244
Volatility Percentile
0.300
Volatility Delta
0.003
Body Ratio
0.492
Closes Position Ratio
0.426
Slope Consistency
0.860
Range Position
0.109
Distance To Recent High
-11.179
Distance To Recent Low
1.360
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.425
Strength Score 0.510
Quality Score 0.269
Cleanliness Score 0.229
Structural Quality 0.301
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.537
Continuation Score 0.384
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.192
Momentum Type Score 0.581
Risk Score 0.264
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.196
Ema50 Slope
-0.091
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.947
Price Vs Ema50
-2.537
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
38.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.542
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-2.537
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.169
Volatility Percentile
0.120
Volatility Delta
-0.121
Body Ratio
0.446
Closes Position Ratio
0.527
Slope Consistency
0.883
Range Position
0.264
Distance To Recent High
-6.250
Distance To Recent Low
2.244
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 May 2026
16:54:30
14 May 2026
09:20:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
40.333 41.154 37.87 3 89.434
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 40.333
  • Stop Loss: 41.154
  • Take Profit: 37.87

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 41.154 - 40.333 = 0.82100000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 40.333 - 37.87 = 2.463

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.463 / 0.82100000000001 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
393.0179 100 9.7443 3.93
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.82100000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.82100000000001 = 9.74

Taille de position USD = 9.74 x 40.333 = 392.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.74 avec un stoploss a 41.154

Avec un position size USD de 392.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.74 x 0.82100000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.74 x 2.463 = 23.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.74
  • Taille de position USD 392.84
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 23.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.11 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.04 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1893 % 107.55 % 24

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.091000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.234
            [rr_ratio] => 0.39
            [high] => 40.56700000
            [low] => 40.24200000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.23
            [mae_pct] => 0.58
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.39
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T16:54:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T18:54:30-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.322
            [max_drawdown] => 0.359
            [rr_ratio] => 0.9
            [high] => 40.69200000
            [low] => 40.01100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.8
            [mae_pct] => 0.89
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.9
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T16:54:30-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T23:54:30-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 40.47400000
            [high_after] => 40.69200000
            [low_before] => 39.81100000
            [low_after] => 40.01100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#60 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 12/05/2026 16:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime