12 May 2026 at 18:36:51

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 12.38 HYPE at 40.504$ per unit. Take profit: 38.5651 (4.79 %) & Stop Loss: 41.1503 (1.6 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (12 May 2026 at 18:36:51 to 23:05:00 - 1 day )

With 12.378 HYPE at 40.504$ per unit.

Position size of 501.3589 $
Take profit at 38.5651 (4.79 %) and Stop Loss at 41.1503 (1.6 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 7.72
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

12/05 18:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 41.15030751
  5. tp_price: 38.56507748
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.855
  12. trend_strength : -0.1737
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.7707
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.3032
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.4201
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.85502
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.5345
  19. retracement_ratio : 2.4362
  20. extension_ratio : 1.6454
  21. compression_score : 0.8107
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : 0.4002
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.0038
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.903
  26. pivot_count : 28
  27. swing_count : 27
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    39.811
  31. last_pivot_index:
    143
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : none
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.588
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2586
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5523
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3316
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.251
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3975
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3728
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3666
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3046
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1439
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.635
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1421
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1356
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1371
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.7224
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.7579
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    6
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4979
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.5345
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.4201
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.5
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    2.4362
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.774
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.7579
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.1773
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2421
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.06
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1381
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4747
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4705
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8832
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1421
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -12.3662
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.0483
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
  107. wedge_4h_upper_line:
    Array
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            (
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                [value] => 42.21701402
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        [48] => Array
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        [49] => Array
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        [50] => Array
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        [51] => Array
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        [56] => Array
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        [57] => Array
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        [58] => Array
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        [66] => Array
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    )
    
  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
    Array
    (
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            (
                [time] => 1777521600
                [value] => 38.92838491
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        [1] => Array
            (
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                [value] => 38.99949121
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        [2] => Array
            (
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        [3] => Array
            (
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        [4] => Array
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        [5] => Array
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        [6] => Array
            (
                [time] => 1777608000
                [value] => 39.35502269
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        [7] => Array
            (
                [time] => 1777622400
                [value] => 39.42612898
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        [8] => Array
            (
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                [value] => 39.49723528
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        [9] => Array
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        [10] => Array
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    )
    
  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 1778400000
        [price] => 43.235
    )
    
  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 20:00:00
        [price] => 42.747
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.032
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
        [price] => 42.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
        [price] => 43.198
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.966
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    39.811
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-12 12:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    41.129
  153. levels_lh_price:
    41.129
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-12 08:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    39.811
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : range_low
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : medium
  170. momentum_type : grind
  171. volatility_regime : compression
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : discount
  174. confidence : 0.416
  175. state : neutral_range_grind
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4258
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.4923
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2637
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2179
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3012
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5166
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3903
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2152
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5845
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.2893
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1884
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0878
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.7208
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.2872
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    38
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5641
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.2872
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1747
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.14
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1032
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.4396
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5484
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8852
  214. features_range_position:
    0.2893
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -5.9203
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.4096
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 86%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.174
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.771
Low Δ ATR
-2.303

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.420
Speed
0.855
Efficiency
0.535

Structure

Retracement
2.436
Extension
1.645
Compression
0.811
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
0.400
Dist High ATR
-2.004
Dist Low ATR
1.903
28 pivots · 27 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 39.8110 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 59%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.259
Strength Score 0.552
Quality Score 0.332
Cleanliness Score 0.251
Structural Quality 0.398
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.373
Continuation Score 0.367
Structure Score 0.305
Volatility Expansion 0.144
Momentum Type Score 0.635
Risk Score 0.142
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.136
Ema50 Slope
-0.137
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.722
Price Vs Ema50
-2.758
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
6.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.498
Trend Efficiency
0.535
Impulse Strength
3.420
Directional Candle Ratio
0.500
Pullback Depth Ratio
2.436
Pullback Depth Atr
3.774
Extension From Mean
-2.758
Impulse Decay Score
0.177
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.242
Volatility Percentile
0.060
Volatility Delta
-0.138
Body Ratio
0.475
Closes Position Ratio
0.471
Slope Consistency
0.883
Range Position
0.142
Distance To Recent High
-12.366
Distance To Recent Low
2.048
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.426
Strength Score 0.492
Quality Score 0.264
Cleanliness Score 0.218
Structural Quality 0.301
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.517
Continuation Score 0.390
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.215
Momentum Type Score 0.585
Risk Score 0.289
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.188
Ema50 Slope
-0.088
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.721
Price Vs Ema50
-2.287
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
38.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.564
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-2.287
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.175
Volatility Percentile
0.140
Volatility Delta
-0.103
Body Ratio
0.440
Closes Position Ratio
0.548
Slope Consistency
0.885
Range Position
0.289
Distance To Recent High
-5.920
Distance To Recent Low
2.410
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 May 2026
18:36:51
13 May 2026
23:05:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
40.504 41.1503 38.5651 3 88.36
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 40.504
  • Stop Loss: 41.1503
  • Take Profit: 38.5651

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 41.1503 - 40.504 = 0.6463

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 40.504 - 38.5651 = 1.9389

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.9389 / 0.6463 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
501.3589 100 12.378 5.01
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.6463

Taille de position = 8 / 0.6463 = 12.38

Taille de position USD = 12.38 x 40.504 = 501.44

Donc, tu peux acheter 12.38 avec un stoploss a 41.1503

Avec un position size USD de 501.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12.38 x 0.6463 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12.38 x 1.9389 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12.38
  • Taille de position USD 501.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.79 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.6 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
24 $ 4.79
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4642 % 29.09 % 16

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.49299999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.050000000000004
            [rr_ratio] => 9.86
            [high] => 40.55400000
            [low] => 40.01100000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.22
            [mae_pct] => 0.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.86
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T18:36:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T20:36:51-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.537
            [max_drawdown] => 0.188
            [rr_ratio] => 2.86
            [high] => 40.69200000
            [low] => 39.96700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.33
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.86
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T18:36:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T01:36:51-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 40.56700000
            [high_after] => 40.69200000
            [low_before] => 40.20400000
            [low_after] => 40.01100000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#64 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 12/05/2026 18:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime