12 May 2026 at 20:25:28

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 22.7 HYPE at 40.236$ per unit. Take profit: 39.1787 (2.63 %) & Stop Loss: 40.5884 (0.88 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (12 May 2026 at 20:25:28 to 21:25:00 - 59 minutes )

With 22.7 HYPE at 40.236$ per unit.

Position size of 913.3569 $
Take profit at 39.1787 (2.63 %) and Stop Loss at 40.5884 (0.88 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 59 minutes

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.88
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

12/05 20:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 40.58842304
  5. tp_price: 39.17873087
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2712
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -1.6814
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.3246
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.2409
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.37348
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.3516
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.5736
  20. extension_ratio : 1.3974
  21. compression_score : 0.9059
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.0636
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3822
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.8796
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    40.567
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.573
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2447
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4404
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.391
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2508
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5058
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.5736
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4908
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5506
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2875
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1482
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5548
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0651
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1305
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1349
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.5321
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.5936
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    8
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4985
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3516
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.2409
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.5736
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.9618
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.5936
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.3013
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2235
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.06
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1317
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4708
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4289
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8554
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0651
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -13.5091
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.9403
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.032
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 09:00:00
        [price] => 42.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 06:00:00
        [price] => 43.198
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 08:00:00
        [price] => 43.966
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    39.811
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-12 12:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    40.567
  153. levels_lh_price:
    40.567
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-12 18:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    39.811
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_low
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : medium
  170. momentum_type : fading
  171. volatility_regime : compression
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : discount
  174. confidence : 0.419
  175. state : neutral_range_fading
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4205
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5273
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2722
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2418
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.297
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.562
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3746
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1679
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.586
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.2318
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2235
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1075
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.1266
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.8651
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    39
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5164
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.8651
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.154
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.08
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1202
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.459
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5155
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8957
  214. features_range_position:
    0.2318
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -6.9302
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.0917
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 20:25 40.23600000 0%
2 20:33 40.04600000 -0.472%
3 20:39 40.03700000 -0.495%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.271
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-1.681
Low Δ ATR
-2.325

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.241
Speed
0.373
Efficiency
0.352

Structure

Retracement
0.574
Extension
1.397
Compression
0.906
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.064
Dist High ATR
-1.382
Dist Low ATR
0.880
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 40.5670 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 57%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.245
Strength Score 0.440
Quality Score 0.391
Cleanliness Score 0.251
Structural Quality 0.506
Pullback Score 0.574
Exhaustion Score 0.491
Continuation Score 0.551
Structure Score 0.288
Volatility Expansion 0.148
Momentum Type Score 0.555
Risk Score 0.065
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.131
Ema50 Slope
-0.135
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.532
Price Vs Ema50
-3.594
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
8.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.499
Trend Efficiency
0.352
Impulse Strength
2.241
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.574
Pullback Depth Atr
1.962
Extension From Mean
-3.594
Impulse Decay Score
0.301
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.224
Volatility Percentile
0.060
Volatility Delta
-0.132
Body Ratio
0.471
Closes Position Ratio
0.429
Slope Consistency
0.855
Range Position
0.065
Distance To Recent High
-13.509
Distance To Recent Low
0.940
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.421
Strength Score 0.527
Quality Score 0.272
Cleanliness Score 0.242
Structural Quality 0.297
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.562
Continuation Score 0.375
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.168
Momentum Type Score 0.586
Risk Score 0.232
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.224
Ema50 Slope
-0.108
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.127
Price Vs Ema50
-2.865
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
39.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.516
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-2.865
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.154
Volatility Percentile
0.080
Volatility Delta
-0.120
Body Ratio
0.459
Closes Position Ratio
0.516
Slope Consistency
0.896
Range Position
0.232
Distance To Recent High
-6.930
Distance To Recent Low
2.092
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 May 2026
20:25:28
12 May 2026
21:25:00
59 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
40.236 40.5884 39.1787 3 86.611
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 40.236
  • Stop Loss: 40.5884
  • Take Profit: 39.1787

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 40.5884 - 40.236 = 0.3524

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 40.236 - 39.1787 = 1.0573

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0573 / 0.3524 = 3.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
913.3569 100 22.7 9.13
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3524

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3524 = 22.7

Taille de position USD = 22.7 x 40.236 = 913.36

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.7 avec un stoploss a 40.5884

Avec un position size USD de 913.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.7 x 0.3524 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.7 x 1.0573 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.7
  • Taille de position USD 913.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.63 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.88 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9444 % 107.83 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 39.1787
            [entry_price] => 40.236
            [stop_loss] => 40.62364
            [rr_ratio] => 2.73
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-12 21:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 39.1787
            [entry_price] => 40.236
            [stop_loss] => 40.65888
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-12 21:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.22499999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.456
            [rr_ratio] => 0.49
            [high] => 40.69200000
            [low] => 40.01100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.56
            [mae_pct] => 1.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T20:25:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-12T22:25:28-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.37
            [max_drawdown] => 0.456
            [rr_ratio] => 0.81
            [high] => 40.69200000
            [low] => 39.86600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.92
            [mae_pct] => 1.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.81
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-12T20:25:28-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T03:25:28-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 40.56700000
            [high_after] => 40.69200000
            [low_before] => 40.06100000
            [low_after] => 39.86600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#63 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 12/05/2026 20:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime