13 May 2026 at 12:21:51

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 16.08 HYPE at 39.099$ per unit. Take profit: 37.6068 (3.82 %) & Stop Loss: 39.5964 (1.27 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (13 May 2026 at 12:21:51 to 08:05:00 - 19 hours )

With 16.0833 HYPE at 39.099$ per unit.

Position size of 628.8407 $
Take profit at 37.6068 (3.82 %) and Stop Loss at 39.5964 (1.27 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 19 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.06
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed

tf_aligned : 1

13/05 12:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_medium

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.841
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 39.59641054
  5. tp_price: 37.60676839
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.841
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2309
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.4998
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.4114
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5302
  17. current_swing_speed : 1.53018
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6049
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.3846
  20. extension_ratio : 0.9465
  21. compression_score : 1.2138
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.7967
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.2969
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.2651
  26. pivot_count : 29
  27. swing_count : 28
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    39.568
  31. last_pivot_index:
    146
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.601
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2052
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5259
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4441
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2384
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.6125
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.3846
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6073
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4999
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2346
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.5167
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6333
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0509
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2346
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1716
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.788
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.8781
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    4
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5233
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6049
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    1.5302
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.3846
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5954
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.8781
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.5268
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2291
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.54
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0109
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4808
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3946
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8172
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0509
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -14.6357
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.7857
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 41.444
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  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
        [price] => 40.011
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
        [price] => 40.692
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 01:00:00
        [price] => 39.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 40.445
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    39.02
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-13 08:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    39.568
  153. levels_lh_price:
    39.568
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-13 09:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    39.02
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high_confirmed
  160. 15m : bear_medium
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : high
  170. momentum_type : fading
  171. volatility_regime : normal
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : approaching_support
  174. confidence : 0.407
  175. state : neutral_range_fading
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4164
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5098
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2712
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2601
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.2803
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.634
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3514
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3341
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6167
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.0682
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2508
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1354
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.4707
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.6636
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    43
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4798
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.6636
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1625
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.1
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    0.1111
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.5362
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.503
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.907
  214. features_range_position:
    0.0682
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -8.1817
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.5984
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (15)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:21 39.09900000 0%
2 12:26 39.09900000 0%
3 12:31 39.20700000 +0.276%
4 12:37 39.20700000 +0.276%
5 12:42 39.20700000 +0.276%
6 12:47 39.15600000 +0.146%
7 12:52 39.19200000 +0.238%
8 12:56 39.19200000 +0.238%
9 13:03 39.21800000 +0.304%
10 13:09 39.10900000 +0.026%
11 13:14 39.14800000 +0.125%
12 13:20 39.19200000 +0.238%
13 13:28 39.18300000 +0.215%
14 13:37 39.12100000 +0.056%
15 13:45 39.14800000 +0.125%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.231
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.500
Low Δ ATR
-2.411

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.530
Speed
1.530
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.385
Extension
0.947
Compression
1.214
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.797
Dist High ATR
-1.297
Dist Low ATR
0.265
29 pivots · 28 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 39.5680 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 60%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.205
Strength Score 0.526
Quality Score 0.444
Cleanliness Score 0.238
Structural Quality 0.613
Pullback Score 0.385
Exhaustion Score 0.607
Continuation Score 0.500
Structure Score 0.235
Volatility Expansion 0.517
Momentum Type Score 0.633
Risk Score 0.051
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.235
Ema50 Slope
-0.172
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.788
Price Vs Ema50
-3.878
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
4.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.523
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
1.530
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.385
Pullback Depth Atr
1.595
Extension From Mean
-3.878
Impulse Decay Score
0.527
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.229
Volatility Percentile
0.540
Volatility Delta
-0.011
Body Ratio
0.481
Closes Position Ratio
0.395
Slope Consistency
0.817
Range Position
0.051
Distance To Recent High
-14.636
Distance To Recent Low
0.786
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 41%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.416
Strength Score 0.510
Quality Score 0.271
Cleanliness Score 0.260
Structural Quality 0.280
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.634
Continuation Score 0.351
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.334
Momentum Type Score 0.617
Risk Score 0.068
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.251
Ema50 Slope
-0.135
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.471
Price Vs Ema50
-3.664
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
43.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.480
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-3.664
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.163
Volatility Percentile
0.100
Volatility Delta
0.111
Body Ratio
0.536
Closes Position Ratio
0.503
Slope Consistency
0.907
Range Position
0.068
Distance To Recent High
-8.182
Distance To Recent Low
0.598
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 May 2026
12:21:51
14 May 2026
08:05:00
19 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
39.099 39.5964 37.6068 3 85.738
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 39.099
  • Stop Loss: 39.5964
  • Take Profit: 37.6068

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 39.5964 - 39.099 = 0.49740000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 39.099 - 37.6068 = 1.4922

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4922 / 0.49740000000001 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
628.8407 100 16.0833 6.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.49740000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.49740000000001 = 16.08

Taille de position USD = 16.08 x 39.099 = 628.71

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.08 avec un stoploss a 39.5964

Avec un position size USD de 628.71$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.08 x 0.49740000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.08 x 1.4922 = 23.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.08
  • Taille de position USD 628.71
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 23.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.82 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4783 % 194.8 % 38

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0039999999999978
            [max_drawdown] => 0.243
            [rr_ratio] => 0.02
            [high] => 39.34200000
            [low] => 39.09500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.01
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.02
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T12:21:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T14:21:51-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.42299999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.243
            [rr_ratio] => 1.74
            [high] => 39.34200000
            [low] => 38.67600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.08
            [mae_pct] => 0.62
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.74
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T12:21:51-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T19:21:51-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 39.56800000
            [high_after] => 39.34200000
            [low_before] => 38.83300000
            [low_after] => 38.67600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#47 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 13/05/2026 12:00
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime