13 May 2026 at 13:54:17

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 17.29 HYPE at 39.13$ per unit. Take profit: 37.7422 (3.55 %) & Stop Loss: 39.5926 (1.18 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (13 May 2026 at 13:54:17 to 08:05:00 - 18 hours )

With 17.2939 HYPE at 39.13$ per unit.

Position size of 676.7118 $
Take profit at 37.7422 (3.55 %) and Stop Loss at 39.5926 (1.18 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 18 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.72
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

13/05 13:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.841
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 39.59258982
  5. tp_price: 37.74223054
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.841
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2309
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.5438
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.4539
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5302
  17. current_swing_speed : 1.53018
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6049
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.3846
  20. extension_ratio : 0.9465
  21. compression_score : 1.2138
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.7649
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.2211
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3684
  26. pivot_count : 29
  27. swing_count : 28
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    39.568
  31. last_pivot_index:
    145
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.603
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.207
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5434
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4371
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2278
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.6083
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.3846
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5969
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5037
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2346
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.4967
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6292
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0571
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2223
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1719
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.6029
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.7805
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    5
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5445
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6049
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    1.5302
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.3846
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5954
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.7805
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.5268
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2217
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.44
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.049
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4819
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3597
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8451
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0571
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -15.0912
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.9144
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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  110. strategy_details
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    Array
    (
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        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 21:00:00
        [price] => 42.392
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
        [price] => 40.011
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
        [price] => 40.692
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 01:00:00
        [price] => 39.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 40.445
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    39.02
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-13 08:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    39.568
  153. levels_lh_price:
    39.568
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-13 09:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    39.02
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_medium
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : high
  170. momentum_type : fading
  171. volatility_regime : normal
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : approaching_support
  174. confidence : 0.407
  175. state : neutral_range_fading
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4173
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5098
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2695
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2562
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.2803
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6252
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3544
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3624
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6155
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.0738
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2445
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1321
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.3738
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.5384
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    43
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4876
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.5384
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.171
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.12
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    0.1356
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.5382
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4946
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9073
  214. features_range_position:
    0.0738
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -7.9572
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.6337
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (10)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 13:54 39.13000000 0%
2 13:58 39.13000000 0%
3 14:06 39.20600000 +0.194%
4 14:11 39.24000000 +0.281%
5 14:16 39.26800000 +0.353%
6 14:44 39.23800000 +0.276%
7 14:50 39.14800000 +0.046%
8 15:05 39.10400000 -0.066%
9 15:12 39.08000000 -0.128%
10 15:19 39.07300000 -0.146%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.231
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.544
Low Δ ATR
-2.454

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.530
Speed
1.530
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.385
Extension
0.947
Compression
1.214
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.765
Dist High ATR
-1.221
Dist Low ATR
0.368
29 pivots · 28 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 39.5680 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 60%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.207
Strength Score 0.543
Quality Score 0.437
Cleanliness Score 0.228
Structural Quality 0.608
Pullback Score 0.385
Exhaustion Score 0.597
Continuation Score 0.504
Structure Score 0.235
Volatility Expansion 0.497
Momentum Type Score 0.629
Risk Score 0.057
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.222
Ema50 Slope
-0.172
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.603
Price Vs Ema50
-3.781
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
5.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.545
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
1.530
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.385
Pullback Depth Atr
1.595
Extension From Mean
-3.781
Impulse Decay Score
0.527
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.222
Volatility Percentile
0.440
Volatility Delta
0.049
Body Ratio
0.482
Closes Position Ratio
0.360
Slope Consistency
0.845
Range Position
0.057
Distance To Recent High
-15.091
Distance To Recent Low
0.914
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 41%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.417
Strength Score 0.510
Quality Score 0.270
Cleanliness Score 0.256
Structural Quality 0.280
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.625
Continuation Score 0.354
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.362
Momentum Type Score 0.616
Risk Score 0.074
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.245
Ema50 Slope
-0.132
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.374
Price Vs Ema50
-3.538
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
43.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.488
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-3.538
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.171
Volatility Percentile
0.120
Volatility Delta
0.136
Body Ratio
0.538
Closes Position Ratio
0.495
Slope Consistency
0.907
Range Position
0.074
Distance To Recent High
-7.957
Distance To Recent Low
0.634
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 May 2026
13:54:17
14 May 2026
08:05:00
18 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
39.13 39.5926 37.7422 3 84.179
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 39.13
  • Stop Loss: 39.5926
  • Take Profit: 37.7422

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 39.5926 - 39.13 = 0.46259999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 39.13 - 37.7422 = 1.3878

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3878 / 0.46259999999999 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
676.7118 100 17.2939 6.77
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.46259999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.46259999999999 = 17.29

Taille de position USD = 17.29 x 39.13 = 676.56

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.29 avec un stoploss a 39.5926

Avec un position size USD de 676.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.29 x 0.46259999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.29 x 1.3878 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.29
  • Taille de position USD 676.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.55 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.3971 % 202.77 % 21

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.117
            [max_drawdown] => 0.212
            [rr_ratio] => 0.55
            [high] => 39.34200000
            [low] => 39.01300000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T13:54:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T15:54:17-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.454
            [max_drawdown] => 0.212
            [rr_ratio] => 2.14
            [high] => 39.34200000
            [low] => 38.67600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T13:54:17-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T20:54:17-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 39.41400000
            [high_after] => 39.34200000
            [low_before] => 38.83300000
            [low_after] => 38.67600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#64 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 13/05/2026 13:00
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime