13 May 2026 at 15:24:59

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 15.73 HYPE at 39.082$ per unit. Take profit: 37.5563 (3.9 %) & Stop Loss: 39.5906 (1.3 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (13 May 2026 at 15:24:59 to 08:05:00 - 16 hours )

With 15.7304 HYPE at 39.082$ per unit.

Position size of 614.7764 $
Take profit at 37.5563 (3.9 %) and Stop Loss at 39.5906 (1.3 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 16 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.5
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

13/05 15:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 39.59056865
  5. tp_price: 37.55629405
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.949
  12. trend_strength : -0.2557
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.7074
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.5773
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.0701
  17. current_swing_speed : 1.03507
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.601
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.3412
  20. extension_ratio : 0.5158
  21. compression_score : 1.2462
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.0988
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.5929
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.6761
  26. pivot_count : 30
  27. swing_count : 29
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    38.833
  31. last_pivot_index:
    145
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : high
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.535
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2048
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5633
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.373
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2229
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4958
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.7042
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2456
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2303
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2211
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6245
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0398
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2126
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1814
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.7676
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -4.2145
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    4
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5541
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.601
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.0701
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.3412
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.0523
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -4.2145
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.7421
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2296
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.12
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0763
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4581
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3521
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9019
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0398
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -17.2459
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.7157
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 41.444
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  110. strategy_details
  111. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
        [price] => 40.011
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
        [price] => 40.692
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 01:00:00
        [price] => 39.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 40.445
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
        [price] => 38.833
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    38.833
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-13 11:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    39.568
  153. levels_lh_price:
    39.568
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-13 09:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    38.833
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_medium
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : high
  170. momentum_type : fading
  171. volatility_regime : normal
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : approaching_support
  174. confidence : 0.405
  175. state : neutral_range_fading
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4175
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5098
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2659
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2484
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.2803
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6353
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3514
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3869
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6085
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.0581
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2431
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.131
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.4553
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.6084
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    43
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5033
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.6084
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.187
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.14
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    0.1543
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.5312
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4786
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9065
  214. features_range_position:
    0.0581
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -7.961
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.4909
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (15)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:24 39.08200000 0%
2 15:30 39.12900000 +0.12%
3 15:36 39.08700000 +0.013%
4 15:41 39.08700000 +0.013%
5 15:44 39.08700000 +0.013%
6 15:50 39.03800000 -0.113%
7 15:54 39.03800000 -0.113%
8 15:58 39.03800000 -0.113%
9 16:06 39.06200000 -0.051%
10 16:16 39.14000000 +0.148%
11 16:26 39.19800000 +0.297%
12 16:30 39.13400000 +0.133%
13 16:37 39.13200000 +0.128%
14 16:45 39.09600000 +0.036%
15 16:54 39.05700000 -0.064%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 95%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.256
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.707
Low Δ ATR
-0.577

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.070
Speed
1.035
Efficiency
0.601

Structure

Retracement
1.341
Extension
0.516
Compression
1.246
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.099
Dist High ATR
-1.593
Dist Low ATR
0.676
30 pivots · 29 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 38.8330 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 54%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.205
Strength Score 0.563
Quality Score 0.373
Cleanliness Score 0.223
Structural Quality 0.496
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.704
Continuation Score 0.246
Structure Score 0.230
Volatility Expansion 0.221
Momentum Type Score 0.625
Risk Score 0.040
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.213
Ema50 Slope
-0.181
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.768
Price Vs Ema50
-4.215
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
4.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.554
Trend Efficiency
0.601
Impulse Strength
2.070
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.341
Pullback Depth Atr
2.052
Extension From Mean
-4.215
Impulse Decay Score
0.742
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.230
Volatility Percentile
0.120
Volatility Delta
-0.076
Body Ratio
0.458
Closes Position Ratio
0.352
Slope Consistency
0.902
Range Position
0.040
Distance To Recent High
-17.246
Distance To Recent Low
0.716
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 41%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.418
Strength Score 0.510
Quality Score 0.266
Cleanliness Score 0.248
Structural Quality 0.280
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.635
Continuation Score 0.351
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.387
Momentum Type Score 0.609
Risk Score 0.058
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.243
Ema50 Slope
-0.131
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.455
Price Vs Ema50
-3.608
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
43.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.503
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-3.608
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.187
Volatility Percentile
0.140
Volatility Delta
0.154
Body Ratio
0.531
Closes Position Ratio
0.479
Slope Consistency
0.907
Range Position
0.058
Distance To Recent High
-7.961
Distance To Recent Low
0.491
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 May 2026
15:24:59
14 May 2026
08:05:00
16 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
39.082 39.5906 37.5563 3 83.546
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 39.082
  • Stop Loss: 39.5906
  • Take Profit: 37.5563

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 39.5906 - 39.082 = 0.5086

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 39.082 - 37.5563 = 1.5257

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5257 / 0.5086 = 2.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
614.7764 100 15.7304 6.15
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5086

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5086 = 15.73

Taille de position USD = 15.73 x 39.082 = 614.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.73 avec un stoploss a 39.5906

Avec un position size USD de 614.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.73 x 0.5086 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.73 x 1.5257 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.73
  • Taille de position USD 614.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.9 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.3 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5229 % 193.86 % 35

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.348
            [max_drawdown] => 0.116
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [high] => 39.19800000
            [low] => 38.73400000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.89
            [mae_pct] => 0.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T15:24:59-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T17:24:59-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.406
            [max_drawdown] => 0.116
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [high] => 39.19800000
            [low] => 38.67600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 0.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T15:24:59-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T22:24:59-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 39.34200000
            [high_after] => 39.19800000
            [low_before] => 38.83300000
            [low_after] => 38.67600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#76 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 13/05/2026 15:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime