13 May 2026 at 17:02:22

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 13.79 HYPE at 39.006$ per unit. Take profit: 37.2651 (4.46 %) & Stop Loss: 39.5863 (1.49 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (13 May 2026 at 17:02:22 to 08:05:00 - 15 hours )

With 13.7858 HYPE at 39.006$ per unit.

Position size of 537.7285 $
Take profit at 37.2651 (4.46 %) and Stop Loss at 39.5863 (1.49 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 15 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

13/05 17:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 39.58630768
  5. tp_price: 37.26507697
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2557
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.9882
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.6372
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.0702
  17. current_swing_speed : 1.03508
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.601
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.3412
  20. extension_ratio : 0.5158
  21. compression_score : 1.2462
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : 0.0477
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.9149
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.5895
  26. pivot_count : 30
  27. swing_count : 29
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    38.833
  31. last_pivot_index:
    143
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : none
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : high
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.549
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2056
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5983
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3736
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2344
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4875
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6969
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2482
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2303
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.0221
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6044
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0315
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2069
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1997
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.9072
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -4.847
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    6
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5312
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.601
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    2.0702
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.7
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.3412
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.0523
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -4.847
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.7421
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2004
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.2668
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4367
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.2974
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9184
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0315
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -20.8951
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.6791
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  108. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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  110. strategy_details
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    (
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  112. pivots_4h_1:
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    (
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        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
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        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 43.176
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
        [price] => 40.011
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
        [price] => 40.692
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 01:00:00
        [price] => 39.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 40.445
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
        [price] => 38.833
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    38.833
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-13 11:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    39.568
  153. levels_lh_price:
    39.568
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-13 09:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    38.833
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_low
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : high
  170. momentum_type : fading
  171. volatility_regime : compression
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : approaching_support
  174. confidence : 0.406
  175. state : neutral_range_fading
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4113
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5273
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2634
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2478
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.2762
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6673
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3393
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2527
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5899
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.0505
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2847
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1564
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.5309
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.9124
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    44
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5044
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.9124
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2085
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.08
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    0.007
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.5084
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4356
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9175
  214. features_range_position:
    0.0505
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -8.8934
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.473
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.256
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.988
Low Δ ATR
-0.637

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.070
Speed
1.035
Efficiency
0.601

Structure

Retracement
1.341
Extension
0.516
Compression
1.246
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
0.048
Dist High ATR
-1.915
Dist Low ATR
0.590
30 pivots · 29 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 38.8330 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 55%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.206
Strength Score 0.598
Quality Score 0.374
Cleanliness Score 0.234
Structural Quality 0.488
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.697
Continuation Score 0.248
Structure Score 0.230
Volatility Expansion 0.022
Momentum Type Score 0.604
Risk Score 0.032
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.207
Ema50 Slope
-0.200
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.907
Price Vs Ema50
-4.847
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
6.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.531
Trend Efficiency
0.601
Impulse Strength
2.070
Directional Candle Ratio
0.700
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.341
Pullback Depth Atr
2.052
Extension From Mean
-4.847
Impulse Decay Score
0.742
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.200
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.267
Body Ratio
0.437
Closes Position Ratio
0.297
Slope Consistency
0.918
Range Position
0.032
Distance To Recent High
-20.895
Distance To Recent Low
0.679
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 41%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.411
Strength Score 0.527
Quality Score 0.263
Cleanliness Score 0.248
Structural Quality 0.276
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.667
Continuation Score 0.339
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.253
Momentum Type Score 0.590
Risk Score 0.051
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.285
Ema50 Slope
-0.156
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.531
Price Vs Ema50
-3.912
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
44.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.504
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-3.912
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.209
Volatility Percentile
0.080
Volatility Delta
0.007
Body Ratio
0.508
Closes Position Ratio
0.436
Slope Consistency
0.918
Range Position
0.051
Distance To Recent High
-8.893
Distance To Recent Low
0.473
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 May 2026
17:02:22
14 May 2026
08:05:00
15 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
39.006 39.5863 37.2651 3 81.923
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 39.006
  • Stop Loss: 39.5863
  • Take Profit: 37.2651

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 39.5863 - 39.006 = 0.5803

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 39.006 - 37.2651 = 1.7409

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7409 / 0.5803 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
537.7285 100 13.7858 5.38
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5803

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5803 = 13.79

Taille de position USD = 13.79 x 39.006 = 537.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.79 avec un stoploss a 39.5863

Avec un position size USD de 537.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.79 x 0.5803 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.79 x 1.7409 = 24.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.79
  • Taille de position USD 537.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.46 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.49 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.7227 % 183.01 % 37

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.33
            [max_drawdown] => 0.030000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 11
            [high] => 39.03600000
            [low] => 38.67600000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.85
            [mae_pct] => 0.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T17:02:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T19:02:22-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.88
            [max_drawdown] => 0.042999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 20.47
            [high] => 39.04900000
            [low] => 38.12600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.11
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T17:02:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-14T00:02:22-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 39.34200000
            [high_after] => 39.04900000
            [low_before] => 38.91100000
            [low_after] => 38.60300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#68 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 13/05/2026 16:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime