Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)
With 17.43 HYPE at 38.902$ per unit. Take profit: 37.5252 (3.54 %) & Stop Loss: 39.3609 (1.18 %)
Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)
With 17.43 HYPE at 38.902$ per unit. Take profit: 37.5252 (3.54 %) & Stop Loss: 39.3609 (1.18 %)
Position size of 678.145 $
Take profit at 37.5252 (3.54 %)
and Stop Loss at 39.3609 (1.18 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 13/05 18:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low |
Indicators:
39.342
145
0.2013
0.5205
0.4413
0.2474
0.6
0.6925
0.6177
0.2702
0.2235
0.1567
0.6006
0.0414
-0.197
-0.1822
0
-1.7295
-4.3607
0.25
0.75
-1
7
1
0.5052
0.477
1.5201
0.7
0.6925
1.4336
-4.3607
0.5356
0.214
0.04
-0.1009
0.507
0.3393
0.9169
0.0414
-18.616
0.8039
1
0
1
0.206
0.206
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1
1
1
Signaux confirmants (9)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:39 | 38.90200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:44 | 38.90200000 | 0% |
| 3 | 18:51 | 38.95200000 | +0.129% |
| 4 | 18:56 | 38.95200000 | +0.129% |
| 5 | 19:01 | 38.96600000 | +0.165% |
| 6 | 19:24 | 38.89700000 | -0.013% |
| 7 | 19:27 | 38.89700000 | -0.013% |
| 8 | 19:33 | 38.91200000 | +0.026% |
| 9 | 19:38 | 38.89900000 | -0.008% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 13 May 2026 18:39:02 |
14 May 2026 08:00:00 |
13 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.902 | 39.3609 | 37.5252 | 3 | 82.211 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 39.3609 - 38.902 = 0.4589
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 38.902 - 37.5252 = 1.3768
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3768 / 0.4589 = 3.0002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 678.145 | 100 | 17.4321 | 6.78 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4589 = 17.43
Taille de position USD = 17.43 x 38.902 = 678.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.43 avec un stoploss a 39.3609
Avec un position size USD de 678.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.43 x 0.4589 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.43 x 1.3768 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.54 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3855 % | 117.46 % | 37 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.201
[max_drawdown] => 0.134
[rr_ratio] => 1.5
[high] => 39.03600000
[low] => 38.70100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.52
[mae_pct] => 0.34
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.5
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-13T18:39:02-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-13T20:39:02-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.776
[max_drawdown] => 0.147
[rr_ratio] => 5.28
[high] => 39.04900000
[low] => 38.12600000
[mfe_pct] => 1.99
[mae_pct] => 0.38
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.28
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-13T18:39:02-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-14T01:39:02-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 39.32500000
[high_after] => 39.04900000
[low_before] => 38.67600000
[low_after] => 38.12600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?