13 May 2026 at 18:39:02

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 17.43 HYPE at 38.902$ per unit. Take profit: 37.5252 (3.54 %) & Stop Loss: 39.3609 (1.18 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (13 May 2026 at 18:39:02 to 08:00:00 - 13 hours )

With 17.4321 HYPE at 38.902$ per unit.

Position size of 678.145 $
Take profit at 37.5252 (3.54 %) and Stop Loss at 39.3609 (1.18 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 13 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.26
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

13/05 18:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 39.36092247
  5. tp_price: 37.5252326
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.478
  12. trend_strength : -0.2941
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.7253
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.6001
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5201
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.5067
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.477
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.6925
  20. extension_ratio : 0.9288
  21. compression_score : 0.6074
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -2.1117
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3864
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.2471
  26. pivot_count : 31
  27. swing_count : 30
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    39.342
  31. last_pivot_index:
    145
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.522
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2013
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5205
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4413
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2474
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.6
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.6925
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6177
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2702
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2235
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1567
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6006
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0414
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.197
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1822
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.7295
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -4.3607
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    7
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5052
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.477
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    1.5201
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.7
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.6925
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.4336
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -4.3607
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.5356
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.214
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.04
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1009
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.507
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3393
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9169
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0414
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -18.616
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.8039
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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  110. strategy_details
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    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
        [price] => 40.011
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
        [price] => 40.692
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 01:00:00
        [price] => 39.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 40.445
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
        [price] => 38.833
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 14:00:00
        [price] => 39.342
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    38.833
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-13 11:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    39.342
  153. levels_lh_price:
    39.342
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-13 14:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    38.833
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_low
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : high
  170. momentum_type : fading
  171. volatility_regime : normal
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : approaching_support
  174. confidence : 0.406
  175. state : neutral_range_fading
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.4136
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5273
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.2624
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2456
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.2762
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6526
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3447
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3103
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5981
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.0385
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2692
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1475
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.4955
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.7967
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    44
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5087
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.7967
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1904
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.1
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0755
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.5149
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4581
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9166
  214. features_range_position:
    0.0385
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -8.466
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.3386
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (9)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:39 38.90200000 0%
2 18:44 38.90200000 0%
3 18:51 38.95200000 +0.129%
4 18:56 38.95200000 +0.129%
5 19:01 38.96600000 +0.165%
6 19:24 38.89700000 -0.013%
7 19:27 38.89700000 -0.013%
8 19:33 38.91200000 +0.026%
9 19:38 38.89900000 -0.008%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 48%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.294
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.725
Low Δ ATR
-0.600

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.520
Speed
0.507
Efficiency
0.477

Structure

Retracement
0.693
Extension
0.929
Compression
0.607
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-2.112
Dist High ATR
-1.386
Dist Low ATR
0.247
31 pivots · 30 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 39.3420 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 52%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.201
Strength Score 0.521
Quality Score 0.441
Cleanliness Score 0.247
Structural Quality 0.600
Pullback Score 0.693
Exhaustion Score 0.618
Continuation Score 0.270
Structure Score 0.224
Volatility Expansion 0.157
Momentum Type Score 0.601
Risk Score 0.041
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.197
Ema50 Slope
-0.182
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.730
Price Vs Ema50
-4.361
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
7.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.505
Trend Efficiency
0.477
Impulse Strength
1.520
Directional Candle Ratio
0.700
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.693
Pullback Depth Atr
1.434
Extension From Mean
-4.361
Impulse Decay Score
0.536
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.214
Volatility Percentile
0.040
Volatility Delta
-0.101
Body Ratio
0.507
Closes Position Ratio
0.339
Slope Consistency
0.917
Range Position
0.041
Distance To Recent High
-18.616
Distance To Recent Low
0.804
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 41%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.414
Strength Score 0.527
Quality Score 0.262
Cleanliness Score 0.246
Structural Quality 0.276
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.653
Continuation Score 0.345
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.310
Momentum Type Score 0.598
Risk Score 0.039
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.269
Ema50 Slope
-0.148
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.496
Price Vs Ema50
-3.797
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
44.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.509
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-3.797
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.190
Volatility Percentile
0.100
Volatility Delta
0.076
Body Ratio
0.515
Closes Position Ratio
0.458
Slope Consistency
0.917
Range Position
0.039
Distance To Recent High
-8.466
Distance To Recent Low
0.339
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 May 2026
18:39:02
14 May 2026
08:00:00
13 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
38.902 39.3609 37.5252 3 82.211
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 38.902
  • Stop Loss: 39.3609
  • Take Profit: 37.5252

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 39.3609 - 38.902 = 0.4589

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 38.902 - 37.5252 = 1.3768

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3768 / 0.4589 = 3.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
678.145 100 17.4321 6.78
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4589

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4589 = 17.43

Taille de position USD = 17.43 x 38.902 = 678.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.43 avec un stoploss a 39.3609

Avec un position size USD de 678.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.43 x 0.4589 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.43 x 1.3768 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.43
  • Taille de position USD 678.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.54 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3855 % 117.46 % 37

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.201
            [max_drawdown] => 0.134
            [rr_ratio] => 1.5
            [high] => 39.03600000
            [low] => 38.70100000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.34
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T18:39:02-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T20:39:02-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.776
            [max_drawdown] => 0.147
            [rr_ratio] => 5.28
            [high] => 39.04900000
            [low] => 38.12600000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.99
            [mae_pct] => 0.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.28
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T18:39:02-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-14T01:39:02-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 39.32500000
            [high_after] => 39.04900000
            [low_before] => 38.67600000
            [low_after] => 38.12600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#70 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 13/05/2026 18:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime