13 May 2026 at 21:18:55

Short Trade on HYPE (WedgePullback)

With 18.27 HYPE at 38.923$ per unit. Take profit: 37.6095 (3.37 %) & Stop Loss: 39.3608 (1.12 %)

Short WedgePullback on HYPE (13 May 2026 at 21:18:55 to 08:00:00 - 10 hours )

With 18.2719 HYPE at 38.923$ per unit.

Position size of 711.1985 $
Take profit at 37.6095 (3.37 %) and Stop Loss at 39.3608 (1.12 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 10 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.64
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

13/05 21:00

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.741
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 39.36082994
  5. tp_price: 37.60951017
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.741
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.5
  12. trend_strength : -0.2941
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.7725
  15. low_delta_atr : -0.6392
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5201
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.5067
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.477
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.6925
  20. extension_ratio : 0.9288
  21. compression_score : 0.6074
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -2.2048
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4322
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3076
  26. pivot_count : 29
  27. swing_count : 28
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    39.342
  31. last_pivot_index:
    142
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.52
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.1994
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.503
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4256
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2278
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5875
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.6925
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6198
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2688
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2235
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1082
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5906
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0437
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.21
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.2004
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.3069
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -4.2042
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.25
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.75
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    10
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5444
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.477
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    1.5201
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.6925
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.4336
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -4.2042
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.5356
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2221
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1377
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4575
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3753
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9279
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0437
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -20.5521
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.939
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. strategy_details
  98. strategy : wedge_pullback
  99. ms_state_4h : range
  100. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  101. strategy_details
  102. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  103. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.206
  104. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  105. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  106. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.206
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  109. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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  110. strategy_details
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    (
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        [price] => 43.143
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  112. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.166
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  113. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 45.269
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  114. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 16:00:00
        [price] => 42.907
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  115. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 45.769
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  116. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.129
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  117. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
        [price] => 45.55
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  118. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-21 12:00:00
        [price] => 38.848
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  119. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
        [price] => 43.551
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  120. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 04:00:00
        [price] => 38.7
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  121. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 04:00:00
        [price] => 42.426
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  122. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-03 12:00:00
        [price] => 40.66
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 42.604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  124. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
        [price] => 40.844
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
        [price] => 44.76
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 41.838
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 00:00:00
        [price] => 44.329
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. strategy_details
  129. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 08:00:00
        [price] => 42.508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
        [price] => 40.011
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  142. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
        [price] => 40.692
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 01:00:00
        [price] => 39.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 40.445
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
        [price] => 38.833
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 14:00:00
        [price] => 39.342
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. strategy_details
  150. levels_hl_price:
    38.833
  151. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-13 11:00:00
  152. levels_hh_price:
    39.342
  153. levels_lh_price:
    39.342
  154. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-13 14:00:00
  155. levels_ll_price:
    38.833
  156. ¸
  157. regimes
  158. 4H : bear_high
  159. 1H : bear_high
  160. 15m : bear_low
  161. ¸
  162. trend_analyzer_4h
  163. direction : neutral
  164. phase : range
  165. structure : range
  166. breakout_state : none
  167. quality : volatile
  168. strength : moderate
  169. exhaustion : high
  170. momentum_type : fading
  171. volatility_regime : compression
  172. htf_context : unknown
  173. risk_state : approaching_support
  174. confidence : 0.408
  175. state : neutral_range_fading
  176. trend_analyzer_4h
  177. scores_direction_score:
    0.408
  178. scores_strength_score:
    0.5273
  179. scores_quality_score:
    0.264
  180. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2542
  181. scores_structural_quality:
    0.272
  182. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8525
  183. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6629
  184. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3393
  185. scores_structure_score:
    0.6707
  186. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2089
  187. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6021
  188. scores_risk_score:
    0.0406
  189. trend_analyzer_4h
  190. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.3069
  191. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1717
  192. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  193. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.4334
  194. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.9592
  195. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5714
  196. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4286
  197. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  198. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    45
  199. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  200. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4916
  201. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3757
  202. features_impulse_strength:
    3.2678
  203. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  204. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8525
  205. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9125
  206. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.9592
  207. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.682
  208. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.1747
  209. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.02
  210. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0047
  211. features_body_ratio:
    0.5163
  212. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4635
  213. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9306
  214. features_range_position:
    0.0406
  215. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -9.229
  216. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.3905
  217. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  218. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  219. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  220. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  221. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  222. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  223. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  224. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  225. ¸

Signaux confirmants (9)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 21:18 38.92300000 0%
2 21:25 38.92400000 +0.003%
3 21:29 38.92400000 +0.003%
4 21:39 38.90000000 -0.059%
5 21:56 38.91900000 -0.01%
6 22:00 38.91700000 -0.015%
7 22:11 38.92600000 +0.008%
8 22:25 38.91800000 -0.013%
9 22:29 38.91800000 -0.013%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 50%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.294
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.773
Low Δ ATR
-0.639

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.520
Speed
0.507
Efficiency
0.477

Structure

Retracement
0.693
Extension
0.929
Compression
0.607
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-2.205
Dist High ATR
-1.432
Dist Low ATR
0.308
29 pivots · 28 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 39.3420 @ bar 142

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 52%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.199
Strength Score 0.503
Quality Score 0.426
Cleanliness Score 0.228
Structural Quality 0.588
Pullback Score 0.693
Exhaustion Score 0.620
Continuation Score 0.269
Structure Score 0.224
Volatility Expansion 0.108
Momentum Type Score 0.591
Risk Score 0.044
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.210
Ema50 Slope
-0.200
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.307
Price Vs Ema50
-4.204
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.250
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.750
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
10.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.544
Trend Efficiency
0.477
Impulse Strength
1.520
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.693
Pullback Depth Atr
1.434
Extension From Mean
-4.204
Impulse Decay Score
0.536
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.222
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.138
Body Ratio
0.458
Closes Position Ratio
0.375
Slope Consistency
0.928
Range Position
0.044
Distance To Recent High
-20.552
Distance To Recent Low
0.939
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_fading
Confidence 41%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.408
Strength Score 0.527
Quality Score 0.264
Cleanliness Score 0.254
Structural Quality 0.272
Pullback Score 0.853
Exhaustion Score 0.663
Continuation Score 0.339
Structure Score 0.671
Volatility Expansion 0.209
Momentum Type Score 0.602
Risk Score 0.041
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.307
Ema50 Slope
-0.172
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.433
Price Vs Ema50
-3.959
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.571
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.429
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
45.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.492
Trend Efficiency
0.376
Impulse Strength
3.268
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.853
Pullback Depth Atr
2.913
Extension From Mean
-3.959
Impulse Decay Score
0.682
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.175
Volatility Percentile
0.020
Volatility Delta
-0.005
Body Ratio
0.516
Closes Position Ratio
0.464
Slope Consistency
0.931
Range Position
0.041
Distance To Recent High
-9.229
Distance To Recent Low
0.391
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 May 2026
21:18:55
14 May 2026
08:00:00
10 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
38.923 39.3608 37.6095 3 82.161
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 38.923
  • Stop Loss: 39.3608
  • Take Profit: 37.6095

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 39.3608 - 38.923 = 0.4378

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 38.923 - 37.6095 = 1.3135

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3135 / 0.4378 = 3.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
711.1985 100 18.2719 7.11
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4378

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4378 = 18.27

Taille de position USD = 18.27 x 38.923 = 711.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 18.27 avec un stoploss a 39.3608

Avec un position size USD de 711.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 18.27 x 0.4378 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 18.27 x 1.3135 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 18.27
  • Taille de position USD 711.12
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.37 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3308 % 118.31 % 28

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.363
            [max_drawdown] => 0.126
            [rr_ratio] => 2.88
            [high] => 39.04900000
            [low] => 38.56000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 0.32
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T21:18:55-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-13T23:18:55-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.797
            [max_drawdown] => 0.358
            [rr_ratio] => 2.23
            [high] => 39.28100000
            [low] => 38.12600000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.05
            [mae_pct] => 0.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-13T21:18:55-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-14T04:18:55-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 39.03600000
            [high_after] => 39.28100000
            [low_before] => 38.67600000
            [low_after] => 38.12600000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#75 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 13/05/2026 21:00
Signal Confidence
74 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime