14 May 2026 at 04:52:12

Short Trade on HYPE (BosPullback)

With 21.06 HYPE at 38.996$ per unit. Take profit: 38.0461 (2.44 %) & Stop Loss: 39.3759 (0.97 %)

Short BosPullback on HYPE (14 May 2026 at 04:52:12 to 08:00:00 - 3 hours )

With 21.0559 HYPE at 38.996$ per unit.

Position size of 821.0966 $
Take profit at 38.0461 (2.44 %) and Stop Loss at 39.3759 (0.97 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 3 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.7
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

14/05 04:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.86
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=5|retests=1|break_atr=1.49|prog=0.30|zone=tested
  4. stop_price: 39.3759407
  5. tp_price: 38.04614826
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.86
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.86
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.858
  12. trend_strength : -0.3542
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.6599
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.0643
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.8108
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.42342
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.4332
  19. retracement_ratio : 2.389
  20. extension_ratio : 1.6544
  21. compression_score : 0.9987
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.4146
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.0716
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.4789
  26. pivot_count : 28
  27. swing_count : 27
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    38.126
  31. last_pivot_index:
    144
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : early_expansion
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : expansion_after_compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.663
  46. state : down_early_expansion_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2068
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5749
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3889
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2267
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5217
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3113
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3643
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.193
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.6263
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5814
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1387
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0336
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0967
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.2569
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.1648
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.2
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.8
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    5
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5466
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.4332
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.8108
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    2.389
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    3.6315
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.1648
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.1728
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2111
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.7
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0095
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5019
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3822
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8338
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1387
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -14.9293
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.4051
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.135
  99. obi_top10 : 0.135
  100. micro_price : 38.98500385
  101. spread_pct : 0.00513
  102. mid_price : 38.985
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.134
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0009
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 6944
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.1
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 14:00:00
        [price] => 43.695
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 17:00:00
        [price] => 42.103
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 19:00:00
        [price] => 43.148
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
        [price] => 40.826
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 42.23
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
        [price] => 40.806
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 41.389
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 07:00:00
        [price] => 40.588
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
        [price] => 41.129
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 39.811
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 40.567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
        [price] => 40.011
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
        [price] => 40.692
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 01:00:00
        [price] => 39.866
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 40.445
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
        [price] => 38.833
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 14:00:00
        [price] => 39.342
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 23:00:00
        [price] => 38.126
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 05:15:00
        [price] => 40.2
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:30:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 39.568
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:45:00
        [price] => 39.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 10:00:00
        [price] => 39.414
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 11:45:00
        [price] => 38.833
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 14:15:00
        [price] => 39.342
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 18:00:00
        [price] => 38.676
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 18:45:00
        [price] => 39.036
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 20:15:00
        [price] => 38.701
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 21:15:00
        [price] => 39.049
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 23:45:00
        [price] => 38.126
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 02:00:00
        [price] => 39.281
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 03:15:00
        [price] => 38.854
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. bos_level_long : 0
  158. bos_level_short : 38.833
  159. strategy_details
  160. levels_hl_price:
    38.126
  161. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-13 23:00:00
  162. levels_hh_price:
    39.342
  163. levels_lh_price:
    39.342
  164. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-13 14:00:00
  165. levels_ll_price:
    38.126
  166. demand_zone :
  167. strategy_details
  168. supply_zone_top:
    39.414
  169. supply_zone_bottom:
    38.833
  170. supply_zone_mid:
    39.1235
  171. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  172. supply_zone_strength:
    0.7231
  173. ¸
  174. regimes
  175. 1H : bear_high
  176. 15m : range_medium
  177. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:52 38.99600000 0%
2 05:05 38.95000000 -0.118%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 86%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.354
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.660
Low Δ ATR
-2.064

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.811
Speed
0.423
Efficiency
0.433

Structure

Retracement
2.389
Extension
1.654
Compression
0.999
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.415
Dist High ATR
-1.072
Dist Low ATR
2.479
28 pivots · 27 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 38.1260 @ bar 144

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_grind
Confidence 66%

Context

phase early_expansion
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum grind
volatility expansion_after_compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.207
Strength Score 0.575
Quality Score 0.389
Cleanliness Score 0.227
Structural Quality 0.522
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.311
Continuation Score 0.364
Structure Score 0.193
Volatility Expansion 0.626
Momentum Type Score 0.581
Risk Score 0.139
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.034
Ema50 Slope
-0.097
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.257
Price Vs Ema50
-2.165
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.200
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.800
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
5.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.547
Trend Efficiency
0.433
Impulse Strength
3.811
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
2.389
Pullback Depth Atr
3.632
Extension From Mean
-2.165
Impulse Decay Score
0.173
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.211
Volatility Percentile
0.700
Volatility Delta
0.010
Body Ratio
0.502
Closes Position Ratio
0.382
Slope Consistency
0.834
Range Position
0.139
Distance To Recent High
-14.929
Distance To Recent Low
2.405
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6944ms Confidence avant OB : 86%86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.135
avg 0.134 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.135

Microstructure

Mid Price
38.9850
Micro Price
38.9850
Spread
0.0051%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 May 2026
04:52:12
14 May 2026
08:00:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
38.996 39.3759 38.0461 2.5 81.174
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 38.996
  • Stop Loss: 39.3759
  • Take Profit: 38.0461

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 39.3759 - 38.996 = 0.3799

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 38.996 - 38.0461 = 0.9499

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9499 / 0.3799 = 2.5004

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
821.0966 100 21.0559 8.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3799

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3799 = 21.06

Taille de position USD = 21.06 x 38.996 = 821.26

Donc, tu peux acheter 21.06 avec un stoploss a 39.3759

Avec un position size USD de 821.26$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 21.06 x 0.3799 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 21.06 x 0.9499 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 21.06
  • Taille de position USD 821.26
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5004

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.44 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.97 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.97
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1411 % 117.13 % 16

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 38.0461
            [entry_price] => 38.996
            [stop_loss] => 39.41389
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-14 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 38.0461
            [entry_price] => 38.996
            [stop_loss] => 39.45188
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-14 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 38.0461
            [entry_price] => 38.996
            [stop_loss] => 39.48987
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-14 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 38.0461
            [entry_price] => 38.996
            [stop_loss] => 39.56585
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-14 08:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.14100000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.165
            [rr_ratio] => 0.85
            [high] => 39.16100000
            [low] => 38.85500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-14T04:52:12-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-14T06:52:12-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.14100000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 3.771
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 42.76700000
            [low] => 38.85500000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.36
            [mae_pct] => 9.67
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-14T04:52:12-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-14T11:52:12-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 39.28100000
            [high_after] => 41.95700000
            [low_before] => 38.44100000
            [low_after] => 38.85500000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#15 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 14/05/2026 04:00
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime