Short Trade on XAU (WedgePullback)
With 0.25 XAU at 4690.25$ per unit. Take profit: 4592.8491 (2.08 %) & Stop Loss: 4722.717 (0.69 %)
Short Trade on XAU (WedgePullback)
With 0.25 XAU at 4690.25$ per unit. Take profit: 4592.8491 (2.08 %) & Stop Loss: 4722.717 (0.69 %)
Position size of 1155.698 $
Take profit at 4592.8491 (2.08 %)
and Stop Loss at 4722.717 (0.69 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 14/05 10:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : range_medium 1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Indicators:
4670.27
148
0.4259
0.4507
0.3426
0.2112
0.45
1
0.2677
0.4651
0.6279
0.849
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0
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0.5
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1
7
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0.86
0.1995
0.4733
0.4613
0
0.331
-4.4127
2.1837
1
0
1
0.273
0.273
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Array
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[time] => 2026-05-14 03:00:00
[price] => 4721.22
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 09:00:00
[price] => 4670.27
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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4670.27
4721.22
4721.22
4670.27
0.3903
0.683
0.312
0.2014
0.4025
1
0.2099
0.4682
0.335
0.664
0.7222
0.6722
-0.0342
-0.0023
0.3333
-0.4112
-0.2013
0.35
0.65
-1
12
1
0.5972
0.6841
4.5656
0.55
1.0787
4.5673
-0.2013
0.3146
0.2658
0.44
0.6367
0.5406
0.5458
0.807
0.6722
-2.7189
5.5746
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:55 | 4690.25000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:06 | 4684.39000000 | -0.125% |
| 3 | 11:16 | 4690.03000000 | -0.005% |
| 4 | 11:29 | 4691.28000000 | +0.022% |
| 5 | 11:40 | 4692.25000000 | +0.043% |
| 6 | 11:51 | 4687.31000000 | -0.063% |
| 7 | 12:00 | 4688.51000000 | -0.037% |
| 8 | 12:14 | 4683.03000000 | -0.154% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 10:55:04 |
15 May 2026 01:10:00 |
14 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4690.25 | 4722.717 | 4592.8491 | 3 | 4157.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4722.717 - 4690.25 = 32.467
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4690.25 - 4592.8491 = 97.4009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 97.4009 / 32.467 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1155.698 | 100 | 0.2464 | 11.56 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 32.467 = 0.25
Taille de position USD = 0.25 x 4690.25 = 1172.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.25 avec un stoploss a 4722.717
Avec un position size USD de 1172.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.25 x 32.467 = 8.12
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.12$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.25 x 97.4009 = 24.35
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.35$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.08 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 24 $ | 2.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0593 % | 8.57 % | 8 |
Array
(
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Array
(
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 15.74
[max_drawdown] => 2.7799999999997
[rr_ratio] => 5.66
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[low] => 4674.51000000
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[mae_pct] => 0.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.66
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-14T10:55:04-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-14T12:55:04-04:00
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[long_term] => Array
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[start_at] => 2026-05-14T10:55:04-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-14T17:55:04-04:00
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[breakout] => Array
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[high_after] => 4693.03000000
[low_before] => 4670.27000000
[low_after] => 4648.82000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?