Short Trade on XAU (WedgePullback)
With 0.42 XAU at 4685.15$ per unit. Take profit: 4628.0851 (1.22 %) & Stop Loss: 4704.1716 (0.41 %)
Short Trade on XAU (WedgePullback)
With 0.42 XAU at 4685.15$ per unit. Take profit: 4628.0851 (1.22 %) & Stop Loss: 4704.1716 (0.41 %)
Position size of 1970.4509 $
Take profit at 4628.0851 (1.22 %)
and Stop Loss at 4704.1716 (0.41 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime : bull_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bull_low tf_aligned : 1 14/05 13:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : range_medium 1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low |
Indicators:
4703
146
0.4104
0.5561
0.3316
0.2022
0.4375
0.6424
0.4019
0.4186
0.6194
0.7393
0.4906
0.2987
-0.0652
-0.0343
0
-0.5852
-0.8587
0.5
0.5
1
10
1
0.5955
0.5236
2.7612
0.6
0.6424
1.7738
-0.8587
0.6642
0.2444
0.58
0.287
0.4724
0.4422
0
0.2987
-5.5033
2.3444
1
0
1
0.273
0.273
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[time] => 2026-05-14 00:00:00
[price] => 4672.49
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
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[time] => 2026-05-14 03:00:00
[price] => 4721.22
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
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[time] => 2026-05-14 09:00:00
[price] => 4670.27
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
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[time] => 2026-05-14 10:00:00
[price] => 4703
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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4670.27
4703
4703
4670.27
0.3891
0.6655
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0.3983
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0.4643
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1.0787
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1
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Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:57 | 4685.15000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:11 | 4676.53000000 | -0.184% |
| 3 | 14:22 | 4679.96000000 | -0.111% |
| 4 | 14:35 | 4677.20000000 | -0.17% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 May 2026 13:57:57 |
14 May 2026 20:30:00 |
6 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4685.15 | 4704.1716 | 4628.0851 | 3 | 4157.13 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4704.1716 - 4685.15 = 19.0216
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4685.15 - 4628.0851 = 57.064899999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 57.064899999999 / 19.0216 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1970.4509 | 100 | 0.4206 | 19.70 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 19.0216 = 0.42
Taille de position USD = 0.42 x 4685.15 = 1967.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.42 avec un stoploss a 4704.1716
Avec un position size USD de 1967.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.42 x 19.0216 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.42 x 57.064899999999 = 23.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.22 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 24 $ | 1.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
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Array
(
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 28.71
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
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[low] => 4656.44000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.61
[mae_pct] => -0.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-14T13:57:57-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-14T15:57:57-04:00
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[long_term] => Array
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[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
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[start_at] => 2026-05-14T13:57:57-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-14T20:57:57-04:00
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[breakout] => Array
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[high_before] => 4703.00000000
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[low_after] => 4648.82000000
[is_new_high] =>
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?