Short Trade on XAU

Previous Trade Next Trade

15 May 2026 at 09:40:22

Short Trade on XAU (BosPullback)

With 0.26 XAU at 4548.11$ per unit. Take profit: 4471.8144 (1.68 %) & Stop Loss: 4578.6283 (0.67 %)

Short BosPullback on XAU (15 May 2026 at 09:40:22 to 08:45:00 - 2 days )

With 0.2621 XAU at 4548.11$ per unit.

Position size of 1192.2331 $
Take profit at 4471.8144 (1.68 %) and Stop Loss at 4578.6283 (0.67 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 2 days

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4

Prediction Score:

Prediction 1	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 2	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 2	ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 15/05 09:02

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

15/05 09:02

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_medium_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_low

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_low

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.93
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=4|shallow|bars_since_bos=4|retests=1|break_atr=0.50|prog=0.71|zone=tested
stop_price: 4578.62825994
tp_price: 4471.81435014
atr:
score: 0.93
confidence_pre_ob: 0.93

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.692
trend_strength : -0.4196
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -0.7486
low_delta_atr : -1.18
current_swing_amp_atr : 1.8308
current_swing_speed : 1.83079
current_swing_efficiency : 0.6696
retracement_ratio : 0.7157
extension_ratio : 1.2968
compression_score : 0.5138
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -2.0849
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3362
distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.5482
pivot_count : 37
swing_count : 36
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
4576.24
```
last_pivot_index:
```
146
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : early_expansion
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : strong
exhaustion : medium
momentum_type : explosive
volatility_regime : expansion
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : approaching_support
confidence : 0.6
state : down_early_expansion_explosive
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.1838
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.6507
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.43
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2436
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5825
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.7157
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.5538
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.2824
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.2216
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.8869
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.7046
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.0481
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.255
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.1734
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-2.2764
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-4.2432
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.3
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.7
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
4
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.5127
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.6696
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
2.6086
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.7
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.7157
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
1.867
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-4.2432
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.3516
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.2526
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.82
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.2924
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.5627
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.3761
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.9449
```
features_range_position:
```
0.0481
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-10.3486
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
0.5228
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0833
obi_top10 : 0.0833
micro_price : 4532.65523767
spread_pct : 0.000221
mid_price : 4532.655
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0973
obi_top5_std : 0.025
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7156
aggregation_tick : 10
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-12 06:00:00
    [price] => 4688.96
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
    [price] => 4716
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-12 11:00:00
    [price] => 4642.5
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-12 20:00:00
    [price] => 4728.52
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
    [price] => 4690.54
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 02:00:00
    [price] => 4717.9
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 05:00:00
    [price] => 4688.24
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
    [price] => 4713.15
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
    [price] => 4672.64
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
    [price] => 4712.99
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 14:00:00
    [price] => 4681.21
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-13 21:00:00
    [price] => 4709.9
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 00:00:00
    [price] => 4672.49
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 03:00:00
    [price] => 4721.22
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 09:00:00
    [price] => 4670.27
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 10:00:00
    [price] => 4703
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 01:00:00
    [price] => 4561.41
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 03:00:00
    [price] => 4592
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 05:00:00
    [price] => 4536.57
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 06:00:00
    [price] => 4576.24
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 09:00:00
    [price] => 4710.35
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 09:30:00
    [price] => 4670.27
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 10:15:00
    [price] => 4703
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 16:30:00
    [price] => 4648.82
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 17:30:00
    [price] => 4664.67
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 18:00:00
    [price] => 4650.95
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 19:30:00
    [price] => 4668.91
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 20:30:00
    [price] => 4617.08
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-14 21:00:00
    [price] => 4634.13
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 01:45:00
    [price] => 4561.41
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 03:15:00
    [price] => 4592
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 05:45:00
    [price] => 4536.57
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 06:45:00
    [price] => 4576.24
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 09:00:00
    [price] => 4542.02
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 4561.41
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
4536.57
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-15 05:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
4576.24
```
levels_lh_price:
```
4576.24
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-15 06:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
4536.57
```
demand_zone :
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
4592
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
4561.45
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
4576.725
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.9617
```
regimes
1H : bear_medium_confirmed
15m : bear_low

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 69%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.420

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-0.749

Low Δ ATR

-1.180

Current Swing

Amp ATR

1.831

Speed

1.831

Efficiency

0.670

Structure

Retracement

0.716

Extension

1.297

Compression

0.514

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-2.085

Dist High ATR

-1.336

Dist Low ATR

0.548

37 pivots · 36 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 4,576.2400 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_explosive

Confidence 60%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bearish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength strong

exhaustion medium

momentum explosive

volatility expansion

risk approaching_support

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.184

Strength Score 0.651

Quality Score 0.430

Cleanliness Score 0.244

Structural Quality 0.583

Pullback Score 0.716

Exhaustion Score 0.554

Continuation Score 0.282

Structure Score 0.222

Volatility Expansion 0.887

Momentum Type Score 0.705

Risk Score 0.048

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.255

Ema50 Slope

-0.173

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-2.276

Price Vs Ema50

-4.243

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.300

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.700

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

4.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.513

Trend Efficiency

0.670

Impulse Strength

2.609

Directional Candle Ratio

0.700

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.716

Pullback Depth Atr

1.867

Extension From Mean

-4.243

Impulse Decay Score

0.352

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.253

Volatility Percentile

0.820

Volatility Delta

0.292

Body Ratio

0.563

Closes Position Ratio

0.376

Slope Consistency

0.945

Range Position

0.048

Distance To Recent High

-10.349

Distance To Recent Low

0.523

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7156ms Confidence avant OB : 93% → 93%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.083

avg 0.097 ± 0.025

OBI Top 10 0.083

Microstructure

Mid Price

4,532.6550

Micro Price

4,532.6552

Spread

0.0002%

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
15 May 2026 09:40:22	18 May 2026 08:45:00	2 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4548.11	4578.6283	4471.8144	2.5	4157.13

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4548.11
Stop Loss: 4578.6283
Take Profit: 4471.8144

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4578.6283 - 4548.11 = 30.518300000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4548.11 - 4471.8144 = 76.295599999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 76.295599999999 / 30.518300000001 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1192.2331	100	0.2621	11.92

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 30.518300000001

Taille de position = 8 / 30.518300000001 = 0.26

Taille de position USD = 0.26 x 4548.11 = 1182.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.26 avec un stoploss a 4578.6283

Avec un position size USD de 1182.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.26 x 30.518300000001 = 7.93

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.93$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.26 x 76.295599999999 = 19.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.84$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.26
Taille de position USD 1182.51
Perte potentielle 7.93
Gain potentiel 19.84
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.68 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.67 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.67

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6823 %	101.68 %	68

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 31.08
            [max_drawdown] => 21.81
            [rr_ratio] => 1.43
            [high] => 4569.92000000
            [low] => 4517.03000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.43
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-15T09:40:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-15T11:40:22-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 31.08
            [max_drawdown] => 21.81
            [rr_ratio] => 1.43
            [high] => 4569.92000000
            [low] => 4517.03000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.68
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.43
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-15T09:40:22-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-15T16:40:22-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4576.24000000
            [high_after] => 4569.92000000
            [low_before] => 4526.20000000
            [low_after] => 4517.03000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank

#13 / n/a OUT

seuil : top 15 · score du 15/05/2026 09:00

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime