16 May 2026 at 03:51:07

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 596.8 BILL at 0.173$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1324 (23.29 %) & Stop Loss: 0.186 (7.76 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (16 May 2026 at 03:51:07 to 01:25:00 - 21 hours )

With 596.7971 BILL at 0.1726$ per unit.

Position size of 103.0072 $
Take profit at 0.1324 (23.29 %) and Stop Loss at 0.186 (7.76 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 21 hours

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 03:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bull_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — bull_high
52%
15/05 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
64%
16/05 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
69%
16/05 02:45
5m ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
75%
16/05 02:55

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.813
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 0.18600489
  5. tp_price: 0.13238533
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.813
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.813
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.0856
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -4.6753
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.409
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5018
  17. current_swing_speed : 1.50185
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6879
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.2262
  20. extension_ratio : 0.3761
  21. compression_score : 1.2495
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -5.6795
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.0043
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3621
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.185
  31. last_pivot_index:
    144
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : early_expansion
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : expansion
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : mid_range
  45. confidence : 0.61
  46. state : down_early_expansion_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.3297
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.8071
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3945
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1749
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5742
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.2262
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5042
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5806
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.44
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.6438
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6318
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.4647
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1495
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0781
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.5519
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.1588
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.7
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    6
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6503
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6879
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    6.7761
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.85
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.2262
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5327
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.1588
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.8119
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3121
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.8
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0543
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.3575
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3825
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9762
  85. features_range_position:
    0.4647
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -5.3412
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    4.6367
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0154
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0154
  100. micro_price : 0.1711332
  101. spread_pct : 0.064312
  102. mid_price : 0.171095
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.0807
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0408
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7229
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [39] => Array
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        [41] => Array
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        [42] => Array
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        [43] => Array
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        [44] => Array
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        [46] => Array
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        [47] => Array
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        [49] => Array
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        [50] => Array
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    )
    
  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [3] => Array
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        [4] => Array
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        [5] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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                [value] => 0.07899217
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        [7] => Array
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                [value] => 0.08176498
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        [8] => Array
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                [value] => 0.08453779
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        [9] => Array
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        [10] => Array
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        [11] => Array
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        [12] => Array
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        [13] => Array
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        [50] => Array
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    )
    
  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 1778846400
        [price] => 0.18797
    )
    
  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.08913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.06331
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  134. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.153
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.09554
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  136. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  137. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
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        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  139. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 05:00:00
        [price] => 0.11846
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.15069
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.1321
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.16968
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-15 21:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.185
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.185
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-15 22:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.16968
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : bull_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.086
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-4.675
Low Δ ATR
-2.409

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.502
Speed
1.502
Efficiency
0.688

Structure

Retracement
0.226
Extension
0.376
Compression
1.250
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-5.680
Dist High ATR
-1.004
Dist Low ATR
0.362
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.1850 @ bar 144

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_grind
Confidence 61%

Context

phase early_expansion
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility expansion
risk mid_range
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.330
Strength Score 0.807
Quality Score 0.395
Cleanliness Score 0.175
Structural Quality 0.574
Pullback Score 0.226
Exhaustion Score 0.504
Continuation Score 0.581
Structure Score 0.440
Volatility Expansion 0.644
Momentum Type Score 0.632
Risk Score 0.465
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.150
Ema50 Slope
-0.078
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.552
Price Vs Ema50
-1.159
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.700
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.300
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
6.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.650
Trend Efficiency
0.688
Impulse Strength
6.776
Directional Candle Ratio
0.850
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.226
Pullback Depth Atr
1.533
Extension From Mean
-1.159
Impulse Decay Score
0.812
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.312
Volatility Percentile
0.800
Volatility Delta
-0.054
Body Ratio
0.358
Closes Position Ratio
0.383
Slope Consistency
0.976
Range Position
0.465
Distance To Recent High
-5.341
Distance To Recent Low
4.637
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7229ms Confidence avant OB : 81%81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.015
avg 0.081 ± 0.041
OBI Top 10 0.015

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1711
Micro Price
0.1711
Spread
0.0643%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
03:51:07
17 May 2026
01:25:00
21 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1726 0.186 0.1324 3 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1726
  • Stop Loss: 0.186
  • Take Profit: 0.1324

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.186 - 0.1726 = 0.0134

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1726 - 0.1324 = 0.0402

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0402 / 0.0134 = 3

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
103.0072 100 596.7971 1.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0134

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0134 = 597.01

Taille de position USD = 597.01 x 0.1726 = 103.04

Donc, tu peux acheter 597.01 avec un stoploss a 0.186

Avec un position size USD de 103.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 597.01 x 0.0134 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 597.01 x 0.0402 = 24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 597.01
  • Taille de position USD 103.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
23.29 % 23.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.76 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
23.99 $ 23.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1458
            [stop_loss] => 0.186
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-16 06:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.02223
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.17174000
            [low] => 0.15037000
            [mfe_pct] => 12.88
            [mae_pct] => -0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T03:51:07-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T05:51:07-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.03024
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 0.17174000
            [low] => 0.14236000
            [mfe_pct] => 17.52
            [mae_pct] => -0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T03:51:07-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T10:51:07-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.18466000
            [high_after] => 0.17174000
            [low_before] => 0.15604000
            [low_after] => 0.14236000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#69 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 03:00
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime