16 May 2026 at 14:36:04

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 687.36 BILL at 0.15$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1147 (23.33 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1612 (7.75 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (16 May 2026 at 14:36:04 to 14:50:00 - 1 day )

With 687.3614 BILL at 0.1496$ per unit.

Position size of 102.8224 $
Take profit at 0.1147 (23.33 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1612 (7.75 %)

That's a 3.01 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.9
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 14:02

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — bear_high
45%
16/05 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
65%
16/05 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
70%
16/05 14:15
5m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
74%
16/05 14:25

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.713
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.16122871
  5. tp_price: 0.11467388
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.813
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.813
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2838
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.4982
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.8017
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5952
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79761
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6045
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.4287
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1932
  21. compression_score : 0.5608
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.778
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.2798
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.5948
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.16064
  31. last_pivot_index:
    143
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.592
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2723
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6627
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3687
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2011
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5058
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.4287
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4735
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5669
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3653
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.158
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.617
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1293
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2007
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1448
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.1512
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.8628
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    8
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5979
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6045
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6414
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.7
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.4287
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5611
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.8628
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4034
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2466
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.063
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.401
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3702
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9718
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1293
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.0923
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.4993
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.177
  99. obi_top10 : 0.177
  100. micro_price : 0.14883931
  101. spread_pct : 0.047052
  102. mid_price : 0.148805
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1546
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0193
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7118
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [44] => Array
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        [46] => Array
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        [53] => Array
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    )
    
  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [3] => Array
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        [4] => Array
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        [5] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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        [8] => Array
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        [9] => Array
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        [10] => Array
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        [11] => Array
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    )
    
  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.18797
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.08913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
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        [price] => 0.06331
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  134. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.153
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
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        [price] => 0.09554
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  136. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  137. pivots_4h_5:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  138. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  139. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
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        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.1321
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.14236
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.16064
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.14236
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-16 06:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.16064
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.16064
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 08:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.14236
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : bear_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Signaux confirmants (4)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 14:36 0.14959000 -0.007%
2 14:44 0.14959000 -0.007%
3 14:52 0.14951000 -0.06%
4 14:59 0.14951000 -0.06%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.284
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.498
Low Δ ATR
-2.802

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.595
Speed
0.798
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.429
Extension
1.193
Compression
0.561
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.778
Dist High ATR
-1.280
Dist Low ATR
0.595
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.1606 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 59%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.272
Strength Score 0.663
Quality Score 0.369
Cleanliness Score 0.201
Structural Quality 0.506
Pullback Score 0.429
Exhaustion Score 0.474
Continuation Score 0.567
Structure Score 0.365
Volatility Expansion 0.158
Momentum Type Score 0.617
Risk Score 0.129
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.201
Ema50 Slope
-0.145
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.151
Price Vs Ema50
-2.863
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
8.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.598
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
3.641
Directional Candle Ratio
0.700
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.429
Pullback Depth Atr
1.561
Extension From Mean
-2.863
Impulse Decay Score
0.403
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.247
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.063
Body Ratio
0.401
Closes Position Ratio
0.370
Slope Consistency
0.972
Range Position
0.129
Distance To Recent High
-10.092
Distance To Recent Low
1.499
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7118ms Confidence avant OB : 81%71%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.177
avg 0.155 ± 0.019
OBI Top 10 0.177

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1488
Micro Price
0.1488
Spread
0.0471%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
14:36:04
17 May 2026
14:50:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1496 0.1612 0.1147 3.01 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1496
  • Stop Loss: 0.1612
  • Take Profit: 0.1147

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1612 - 0.1496 = 0.0116

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1496 - 0.1147 = 0.0349

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0349 / 0.0116 = 3.0086

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
102.8224 100 687.3614 1.03
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0116

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0116 = 689.66

Taille de position USD = 689.66 x 0.1496 = 103.17

Donc, tu peux acheter 689.66 avec un stoploss a 0.1612

Avec un position size USD de 103.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 689.66 x 0.0116 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 689.66 x 0.0349 = 24.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.07$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 689.66
  • Taille de position USD 103.17
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.07
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0086

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
23.33 % 23.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.75 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-7.97 $ -7.75
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-8.135 % 104.91 % 18

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00697
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0021
            [rr_ratio] => 3.32
            [high] => 0.15170000
            [low] => 0.14263000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.66
            [mae_pct] => 1.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T14:36:04-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T16:36:04-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.01308
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0021
            [rr_ratio] => 6.23
            [high] => 0.15170000
            [low] => 0.13652000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.74
            [mae_pct] => 1.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T14:36:04-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T21:36:04-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15057000
            [high_after] => 0.15170000
            [low_before] => 0.14100000
            [low_after] => 0.14136000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#66 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 14:00
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime