16 May 2026 at 15:59:09

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 486.5 BILL at 0.145$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09542 (34.06 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1612 (11.4 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (16 May 2026 at 15:59:09 to 14:50:00 - 22 hours )

With 486.5029 BILL at 0.1447$ per unit.

Position size of 70.4213 $
Take profit at 0.09542 (34.06 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1612 (11.4 %)

That's a 2.99 RR Trade
Duration: 22 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.97
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 15:02

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — bear_high
45%
16/05 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
65%
16/05 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
72%
16/05 15:15
5m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bear_high
68%
16/05 15:40

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.813
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 0.16119389
  5. tp_price: 0.09541834
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.813
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.813
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2838
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.4972
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.8006
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5952
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79761
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6045
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.4287
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1932
  21. compression_score : 0.5608
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -4.0575
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.5602
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3137
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.16064
  31. last_pivot_index:
    142
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.587
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2755
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6627
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3634
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1944
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5017
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.4287
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4853
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5646
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3653
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.175
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6094
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1026
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1793
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1374
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.3052
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.0105
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    9
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6112
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6045
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6414
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.7
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.4287
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5611
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.0105
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4034
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2419
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0375
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.3955
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3578
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9575
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1026
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.2705
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.1744
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.129
  99. obi_top10 : 0.129
  100. micro_price : 0.14545337
  101. spread_pct : 0.061885
  102. mid_price : 0.145475
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1429
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0082
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7160
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [44] => Array
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        [53] => Array
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    )
    
  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [3] => Array
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        [4] => Array
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        [5] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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        [8] => Array
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        [9] => Array
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        [10] => Array
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                [value] => 0.09008341
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        [11] => Array
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.18797
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.08913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
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        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  134. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 12:00:00
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 00:00:00
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        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  136. pivots_4h_4:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 16:00:00
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        [kind] => high
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  137. pivots_4h_5:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  138. pivots_4h_6:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  139. pivots_4h_7:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.1321
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.14236
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.16064
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.14236
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-16 06:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.16064
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.16064
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 08:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.14236
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : bear_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.284
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.497
Low Δ ATR
-2.801

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.595
Speed
0.798
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.429
Extension
1.193
Compression
0.561
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-4.058
Dist High ATR
-1.560
Dist Low ATR
0.314
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.1606 @ bar 142

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 59%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.276
Strength Score 0.663
Quality Score 0.363
Cleanliness Score 0.194
Structural Quality 0.502
Pullback Score 0.429
Exhaustion Score 0.485
Continuation Score 0.565
Structure Score 0.365
Volatility Expansion 0.175
Momentum Type Score 0.609
Risk Score 0.103
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.179
Ema50 Slope
-0.137
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.305
Price Vs Ema50
-3.011
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
9.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.611
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
3.641
Directional Candle Ratio
0.700
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.429
Pullback Depth Atr
1.561
Extension From Mean
-3.011
Impulse Decay Score
0.403
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.242
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.038
Body Ratio
0.396
Closes Position Ratio
0.358
Slope Consistency
0.958
Range Position
0.103
Distance To Recent High
-10.271
Distance To Recent Low
1.174
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7160ms Confidence avant OB : 81%81%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.129
avg 0.143 ± 0.008
OBI Top 10 0.129

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1455
Micro Price
0.1455
Spread
0.0619%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
15:59:09
17 May 2026
14:50:00
22 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1447 0.1612 0.09542 2.99 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1447
  • Stop Loss: 0.1612
  • Take Profit: 0.09542

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1612 - 0.1447 = 0.0165

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1447 - 0.09542 = 0.04928

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04928 / 0.0165 = 2.9867

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
70.4213 70.4213 486.5029 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0165

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0165 = 484.85

Taille de position USD = 484.85 x 0.1447 = 70.16

Donc, tu peux acheter 484.85 avec un stoploss a 0.1612

Avec un position size USD de 70.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 484.85 x 0.0165 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 484.85 x 0.04928 = 23.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.89$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 484.85
  • Taille de position USD 70.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 23.89
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.9867

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
34.06 % 23.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.4 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -11.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-11.7968 % 103.45 % 35

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00034000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00557
            [rr_ratio] => 0.06
            [high] => 0.15027000
            [low] => 0.14436000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.23
            [mae_pct] => 3.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T15:59:09-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T17:59:09-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00857
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00557
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [high] => 0.15027000
            [low] => 0.13613000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.92
            [mae_pct] => 3.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T15:59:09-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T22:59:09-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15170000
            [high_after] => 0.15027000
            [low_before] => 0.14133000
            [low_after] => 0.13613000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#60 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 15:00
Signal Confidence
81 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime