16 May 2026 at 17:04:45

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 685.69 BILL at 0.149$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1145 (23.41 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1611 (7.76 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (16 May 2026 at 17:04:45 to 14:50:00 - 21 hours )

With 685.6859 BILL at 0.1495$ per unit.

Position size of 102.4895 $
Take profit at 0.1145 (23.41 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1611 (7.76 %)

That's a 3.02 RR Trade
Duration: 21 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 17:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : range_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — bear_high
45%
16/05 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
65%
16/05 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
73%
16/05 16:30
5m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
74%
16/05 16:45

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.613
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.16113715
  5. tp_price: 0.11446854
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.713
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.713
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2838
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.7568
  15. low_delta_atr : -3.0918
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5952
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79761
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6045
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.4287
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1932
  21. compression_score : 0.5607
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -4.0209
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.2641
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.8046
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.16064
  31. last_pivot_index:
    140
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.603
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2813
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6452
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3607
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1985
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4933
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.4287
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4695
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5716
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3653
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.0733
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.5978
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1421
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1411
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.137
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.8327
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.8233
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    11
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.603
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6045
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6414
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.4287
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5611
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.8233
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4034
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2446
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.19
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.3735
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3815
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9014
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1421
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -11.7552
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.9474
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.2157
  99. obi_top10 : 0.2157
  100. micro_price : 0.14966202
  101. spread_pct : 0.06684
  102. mid_price : 0.14966
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.2155
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0032
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7282
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [44] => Array
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        [54] => Array
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    )
    
  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [5] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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        [9] => Array
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.18797
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  131. strategy_details
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    (
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        [price] => 0.08913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
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        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  134. pivots_4h_2:
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    (
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  135. pivots_4h_3:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 00:00:00
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  136. pivots_4h_4:
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    (
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  137. pivots_4h_5:
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    (
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        [kind] => low
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  138. pivots_4h_6:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  139. pivots_4h_7:
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    (
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        [label] => LL
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  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.1321
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  143. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.14236
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.16064
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.14236
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-16 06:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.16064
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.16064
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 08:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.14236
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : range_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 17:04 0.14947000 -0.02%
2 17:14 0.14910000 -0.268%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.284
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.757
Low Δ ATR
-3.092

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.595
Speed
0.798
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.429
Extension
1.193
Compression
0.561
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-4.021
Dist High ATR
-1.264
Dist Low ATR
0.805
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.1606 @ bar 140

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 60%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.281
Strength Score 0.645
Quality Score 0.361
Cleanliness Score 0.199
Structural Quality 0.493
Pullback Score 0.429
Exhaustion Score 0.470
Continuation Score 0.572
Structure Score 0.365
Volatility Expansion 0.073
Momentum Type Score 0.598
Risk Score 0.142
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.141
Ema50 Slope
-0.137
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.833
Price Vs Ema50
-2.823
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
11.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.603
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
3.641
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.429
Pullback Depth Atr
1.561
Extension From Mean
-2.823
Impulse Decay Score
0.403
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.245
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.190
Body Ratio
0.374
Closes Position Ratio
0.382
Slope Consistency
0.901
Range Position
0.142
Distance To Recent High
-11.755
Distance To Recent Low
1.947
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7282ms Confidence avant OB : 71%61%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.216
avg 0.216 ± 0.003
OBI Top 10 0.216

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1497
Micro Price
0.1497
Spread
0.0668%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
17:04:45
17 May 2026
14:50:00
21 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1495 0.1611 0.1145 3.02 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1495
  • Stop Loss: 0.1611
  • Take Profit: 0.1145

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1611 - 0.1495 = 0.0116

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1495 - 0.1145 = 0.035

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.035 / 0.0116 = 3.0172

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
102.4895 100 685.6859 1.02
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0116

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0116 = 689.66

Taille de position USD = 689.66 x 0.1495 = 103.1

Donc, tu peux acheter 689.66 avec un stoploss a 0.1611

Avec un position size USD de 103.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 689.66 x 0.0116 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 689.66 x 0.035 = 24.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 689.66
  • Taille de position USD 103.1
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0172

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
23.41 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.76 % 7.95 $
PNL PNL %
-7.95 $ -7.76
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-8.2074 % 105.78 % 12

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00506
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00076999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.57
            [high] => 0.15027000
            [low] => 0.14444000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.38
            [mae_pct] => 0.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T17:04:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T19:04:45-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.01664
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00076999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 21.61
            [high] => 0.15027000
            [low] => 0.13286000
            [mfe_pct] => 11.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.52
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 21.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T17:04:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-17T00:04:45-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15170000
            [high_after] => 0.15027000
            [low_before] => 0.14263000
            [low_after] => 0.13613000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#62 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 16:00
Signal Confidence
61 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime