Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)
With 527.94 BILL at 0.146$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1005 (31.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1611 (10.34 %)
Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)
With 527.94 BILL at 0.146$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1005 (31.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1611 (10.34 %)
Position size of 77.064 $
Take profit at 0.1005 (31.16 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.1611 (10.34 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 16/05 17:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
45%
|
16/05 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
65%
|
16/05 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
76%
|
16/05 17:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | range_high |
49%
|
16/05 17:30 |
Indicators:
0.16064
140
0.2814
0.6627
0.3621
0.2016
0.4933
0.4287
0.4919
0.565
0.3653
0.1102
0.6003
0.108
-0.1404
-0.1317
0
-1.1757
-3.0636
0.6
0.4
-1
11
1
0.5968
0.6045
3.6414
0.7
0.4287
1.5611
-3.0636
0.4034
0.25
0
-0.1347
0.3875
0.3657
0.9056
0.108
-11.442
1.3851
1
0
1
0.066
0.066
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0.14236
0.16064
0.16064
0.14236
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:49 | 0.14597000 | -0.021% |
| 2 | 17:55 | 0.14598000 | -0.014% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 17:49:16 |
17 May 2026 14:50:00 |
21 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.146 | 0.1611 | 0.1005 | 3.01 | 0.0721 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1611 - 0.146 = 0.0151
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.146 - 0.1005 = 0.0455
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0455 / 0.0151 = 3.0132
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 77.064 | 77.064 | 527.9441 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0151 = 529.8
Taille de position USD = 529.8 x 0.146 = 77.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 529.8 avec un stoploss a 0.1611
Avec un position size USD de 77.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 529.8 x 0.0151 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 529.8 x 0.0455 = 24.11
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.11$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 31.16 % | 24.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.34 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -10.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -10.8014 % | 104.44 % | 22 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?