Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 97.79 AVAX at 9.291$ per unit. Take profit: 9.0456 (2.64 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3728 (0.88 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 97.79 AVAX at 9.291$ per unit. Take profit: 9.0456 (2.64 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3728 (0.88 %)
Position size of 908.5752 $
Take profit at 9.0456 (2.64 %)
and Stop Loss at 9.3728 (0.88 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 16/05 18:02 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : bear_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
69%
|
16/05 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
73%
|
16/05 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
45%
|
16/05 17:45 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | range_low |
49%
|
16/05 18:00 |
Indicators:
9.37
135
0.2167
0.7658
0.3779
0.2206
0.5067
0.3878
0.6714
0.4852
0.246
0.0333
0.6535
0.1092
-0.1282
-0.1836
0
-1.3433
-4.5193
0.35
0.65
-1
15
1
0.5589
0.8
4.8962
0.6
0.3878
1.8987
-4.5193
0.6561
0.2358
0
-0.25
0.3969
0.3903
0.7371
0.1092
-19.1186
2.3433
1
0
1
0.386
0.386
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0.2438
-0.2469
-0.1177
0
-1.9465
-2.7047
0.4444
0.5556
-1
20
1
0.5737
0.3002
2.7093
0.7
0.9576
2.5944
-2.7047
0.4704
0.3094
0
-0.3131
0.4413
0.4215
0.757
0.2438
-8.2849
2.6712
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:09 | 9.29100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:59 | 9.29700000 | +0.065% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 18:09:04 |
17 May 2026 06:00:00 |
11 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.291 | 9.3728 | 9.0456 | 3 | 7.344 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3728 - 9.291 = 0.081799999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.291 - 9.0456 = 0.2454
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2454 / 0.081799999999999 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 908.5752 | 100 | 97.7909 | 9.09 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.081799999999999 = 97.8
Taille de position USD = 97.8 x 9.291 = 908.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 97.8 avec un stoploss a 9.3728
Avec un position size USD de 908.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 97.8 x 0.081799999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 97.8 x 0.2454 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.64 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.88 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.88 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1732 % | 133.26 % | 20 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 0.0080000000000009
[max_drawdown] => 0.016999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 0.47
[high] => 9.30800000
[low] => 9.28300000
[mfe_pct] => 0.09
[mae_pct] => 0.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T18:09:04-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T20:09:04-04:00
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[long_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 0.119
[max_drawdown] => 0.062999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 1.89
[high] => 9.35400000
[low] => 9.17200000
[mfe_pct] => 1.28
[mae_pct] => 0.68
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.89
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T18:09:04-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-17T01:09:04-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
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[high_before] => 9.34700000
[high_after] => 9.30800000
[low_before] => 9.28500000
[low_after] => 9.17200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?