Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.75 TAO at 270.44$ per unit. Take profit: 256.7306 (5.07 %) & Stop Loss: 275.0098 (1.69 %)
Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.75 TAO at 270.44$ per unit. Take profit: 256.7306 (5.07 %) & Stop Loss: 275.0098 (1.69 %)
Position size of 473.4397 $
Take profit at 256.7306 (5.07 %)
and Stop Loss at 275.0098 (1.69 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 17/05 02:02 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
17/05 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
74%
|
17/05 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_medium |
74%
|
17/05 02:00 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | range_low |
51%
|
17/05 02:15 |
Indicators:
274.82
148
0.1975
0.6756
0.4462
0.243
0.6125
0.8547
0.5632
0.285
0.2123
0.2055
0.6595
0.0789
-0.1586
-0.1773
0
-0.8911
-3.6327
0.25
0.75
-1
4
1
0.5139
0.6794
3.9963
0.6
0.8547
3.4156
-3.6327
0.489
0.1991
0.28
-0.2437
0.4542
0.4423
0.8124
0.0789
-18.8541
1.6143
1
0
1
0.986
0.986
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0.3444
0.5306
0.3663
0.2132
0.4917
0.4394
0.7043
0.5265
0.4899
0.1154
0.5348
0.2936
-0.2625
-0.1528
0
-2.2747
-3.7282
0.7778
0.2222
-1
22
1
0.5737
0.3172
4.8834
0.55
0.4394
2.1457
-3.7282
0.746
0.3189
0.04
-0.1629
0.4543
0.4147
0.872
0.2936
-9.938
4.1305
1
0
1
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 02:26:33 |
18 May 2026 03:40:00 |
1 day |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270.44 | 275.0098 | 256.7306 | 3 | 234.27 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 275.0098 - 270.44 = 4.5698
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 270.44 - 256.7306 = 13.7094
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 13.7094 / 4.5698 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 473.4397 | 100 | 1.7506 | 4.73 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.5698 = 1.75
Taille de position USD = 1.75 x 270.44 = 473.27
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.75 avec un stoploss a 275.0098
Avec un position size USD de 473.27$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.75 x 4.5698 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.75 x 13.7094 = 23.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.07 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 24 $ | 5.07 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6861 % | 99.78 % | 16 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 0.57999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 2.2
[rr_ratio] => 0.26
[high] => 272.64000000
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[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 0.81
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.26
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T02:26:33-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-17T04:26:33-04:00
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[long_term] => Array
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[max_drawdown] => 4.56
[rr_ratio] => 0.29
[high] => 275.00000000
[low] => 269.13000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.48
[mae_pct] => 1.69
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T02:26:33-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-17T09:26:33-04:00
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[breakout] => Array
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[high_before] => 274.82000000
[high_after] => 275.00000000
[low_before] => 265.94000000
[low_after] => 269.13000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
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)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?