Short Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.079 BTC at 78470.1$ per unit. Take profit: 78267.4451 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 78571.4275 (0.13 %)
Short Trade on BTC (CatchTheWave)
With 0.079 BTC at 78470.1$ per unit. Take profit: 78267.4451 (0.26 %) & Stop Loss: 78571.4275 (0.13 %)
Position size of 6195.3662 $
Take profit at 78267.4451 (0.26 %)
and Stop Loss at 78571.4275 (0.13 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.88 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : range rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_low rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 17/05 06:03 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
72%
|
17/05 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
54%
|
17/05 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | range_low |
44%
|
17/05 06:15 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_low |
51%
|
17/05 06:25 |
Indicators:
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 01:00:00
[1] => 79950.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 07:00:00
[1] => 79193.8
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
[1] => 81998.4
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 01:00:00
[1] => 80279.1
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 10:00:00
[1] => 78600.7
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 17:00:00
[1] => 78880
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
[1] => 77625.8
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 12:00:00
[1] => 78355.6
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 21:00:00
[1] => 77700
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 06:00:00
[1] => 78569.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12702065294723
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.9911196911197
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1195624195624
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 14:45:00
[1] => 78317.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 16:15:00
[1] => 78310
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 16:30:00
[1] => 78182.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 21:30:00
[1] => 77700
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 22:00:00
[1] => 77700
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 01:00:00
[1] => 78295.2
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 02:15:00
[1] => 77982.4
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 03:30:00
[1] => 78177.9
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 04:30:00
[1] => 78000.7
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 06:15:00
[1] => 78569.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12702065294723
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60178947112014
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.72973704082142
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 22:30:00
[1] => 77911.2
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 01:05:00
[1] => 78295.2
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 02:10:00
[1] => 78178
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 02:25:00
[1] => 77982.4
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 03:15:00
[1] => 78022.2
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 03:35:00
[1] => 78177.9
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 04:40:00
[1] => 78000.7
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 05:15:00
[1] => 78128
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 05:35:00
[1] => 78060
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 06:25:00
[1] => 78569.9
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.12702065294723
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52536510376634
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.65321547527542
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
77700
190
0.3811
0.5222
0.2635
0.1986
0.3167
0.8983
0.4582
0.39
0.3421
0.1105
0.4893
0.1931
0.0065
-0.0889
0.3333
1.1558
-0.8551
0.5
0.5
-1
24
1
0.6029
0.3272
5.2145
0.5
0.8983
1.9891
-0.8551
0.8288
0.2075
0.18
-0.2963
0.3842
0.4541
0.6743
0.1931
-15.2318
3.6449
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:31 | 78470.10000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:40 | 78472.00000000 | +0.002% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 22:30:00 | 77911.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 01:05:00 | 78295.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 02:10:00 | 78178 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 02:25:00 | 77982.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 03:15:00 | 78022.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 03:35:00 | 78177.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 04:40:00 | 78000.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 05:15:00 | 78128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 05:35:00 | 78060 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 06:25:00 | 78569.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 14:45:00 | 78317.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 16:15:00 | 78310 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 16:30:00 | 78182.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 21:30:00 | 77700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 22:00:00 | 77700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 01:00:00 | 78295.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 02:15:00 | 77982.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 03:30:00 | 78177.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 04:30:00 | 78000.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 06:15:00 | 78569.9 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 01:00:00 | 79950.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 07:00:00 | 79193.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 13:00:00 | 81998.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-15 01:00:00 | 80279.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-15 10:00:00 | 78600.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-15 17:00:00 | 78880 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 06:00:00 | 77625.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 12:00:00 | 78355.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 21:00:00 | 77700 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 06:00:00 | 78569.9 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 06:31:57 |
17 May 2026 07:30:00 |
58 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78470.1 | 78571.4275 | 78267.4451 | 2 | 79733.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 78571.4275 - 78470.1 = 101.3275
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 78470.1 - 78267.4451 = 202.65490000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 202.65490000001 / 101.3275 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6195.3662 | 100 | 0.07895 | 61.95 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 101.3275 = 0.08
Taille de position USD = 0.08 x 78470.1 = 6277.61
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.08 avec un stoploss a 78571.4275
Avec un position size USD de 6277.61$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.08 x 101.3275 = 8.11
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.11$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.08 x 202.65490000001 = 16.21
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.21$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0508 % | 39.35 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 78267.445
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 07:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 78216.78125
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 09:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 78166.1175
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 09:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 78115.45375
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 10:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 78064.79
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 10:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 78014.12625
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 10:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 77963.4625
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 10:15:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 77912.79875
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 10:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 77862.135
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 10:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 77811.47125
[stop_loss] => 78571.4275
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-17 10:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 209.10000000001
[max_drawdown] => 39.899999999994
[rr_ratio] => 5.24
[high] => 78510.00000000
[low] => 78261.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.27
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.24
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T06:31:57-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-17T08:31:57-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 670.10000000001
[max_drawdown] => 59
[rr_ratio] => 11.36
[high] => 78529.10000000
[low] => 77800.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.85
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.36
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T06:31:57-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-17T13:31:57-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 78569.90000000
[high_after] => 78529.10000000
[low_before] => 78000.70000000
[low_after] => 77800.00000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?