17 May 2026 at 12:55:29

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 476.88 BILL at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09408 (34.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1612 (11.63 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (17 May 2026 at 12:55:29 to 14:50:00 - 1 hour )

With 476.8825 BILL at 0.1444$ per unit.

Position size of 68.8666 $
Take profit at 0.09408 (34.85 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1612 (11.63 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 1 hour

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

17/05 12:03

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — bear_high
45%
16/05 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
73%
17/05 12:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion bull_high
73%
17/05 12:15
5m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
82%
17/05 12:35

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.713
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 0.16118562
  5. tp_price: 0.09408314
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.713
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.713
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.3811
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -3.3162
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.0216
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 4.5686
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.25381
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.2748
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.8124
  20. extension_ratio : 0.777
  21. compression_score : 0.8242
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -0.1783
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.3102
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.1999
  26. pivot_count : 22
  27. swing_count : 21
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: low
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.12751
  31. last_pivot_index:
    139
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_retest
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.529
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.3579
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5339
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.2746
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1987
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3366
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4442
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3849
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3188
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2966
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4305
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.147
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    0.0099
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0668
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0.3333
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    0.0795
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.4848
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.5263
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4737
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    10
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6025
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.2748
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.5686
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.65
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.8124
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.8911
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.4848
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.6115
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2786
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.32
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1431
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.3953
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4092
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.4486
  85. features_range_position:
    0.147
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -13.0069
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    2.242
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0729
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0729
  100. micro_price : 0.14336693
  101. spread_pct : 0.062805
  102. mid_price : 0.143345
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.108
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0211
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 6962
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [56] => Array
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    )
    
  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [3] => Array
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                [value] => 0.07067375
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        [4] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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                [value] => 0.07899217
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        [7] => Array
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                [time] => 1778270400
                [value] => 0.08176498
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        [8] => Array
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                [value] => 0.08453779
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        [9] => Array
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        [11] => Array
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        [12] => Array
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        [13] => Array
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    )
    
  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.18797
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.08913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
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        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  134. pivots_4h_2:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.153
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.09554
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  136. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  137. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  139. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.14236
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.16064
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 02:00:00
        [price] => 0.12751
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.12751
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-17 02:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.16064
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.16064
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 08:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.12751
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : bear_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : range_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:55 0.14441000 +0.007%
2 12:59 0.14441000 +0.007%
3 13:06 0.14383000 -0.395%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.381
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-3.316
Low Δ ATR
-2.022

Current Swing

Amp ATR
4.569
Speed
0.254
Efficiency
0.275

Structure

Retracement
1.812
Extension
0.777
Compression
0.824
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-0.178
Dist High ATR
-2.310
Dist Low ATR
2.200
22 pivots · 21 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 0.1275 @ bar 139

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 53%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_retest
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.358
Strength Score 0.534
Quality Score 0.275
Cleanliness Score 0.199
Structural Quality 0.337
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.444
Continuation Score 0.385
Structure Score 0.319
Volatility Expansion 0.297
Momentum Type Score 0.431
Risk Score 0.147
Features
Ema20 Slope
0.010
Ema50 Slope
-0.067
Ema Alignment Score
0.333
Price Vs Ema20
0.080
Price Vs Ema50
-1.485
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.526
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.474
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
10.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.603
Trend Efficiency
0.275
Impulse Strength
4.569
Directional Candle Ratio
0.650
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.812
Pullback Depth Atr
2.891
Extension From Mean
-1.485
Impulse Decay Score
0.612
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.279
Volatility Percentile
0.320
Volatility Delta
-0.143
Body Ratio
0.395
Closes Position Ratio
0.409
Slope Consistency
0.449
Range Position
0.147
Distance To Recent High
-13.007
Distance To Recent Low
2.242
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6962ms Confidence avant OB : 71%71%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.073
avg 0.108 ± 0.021
OBI Top 10 0.073

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1433
Micro Price
0.1434
Spread
0.0628%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 May 2026
12:55:29
17 May 2026
14:50:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1444 0.1612 0.09408 3 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1444
  • Stop Loss: 0.1612
  • Take Profit: 0.09408

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1612 - 0.1444 = 0.0168

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1444 - 0.09408 = 0.05032

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05032 / 0.0168 = 2.9952

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
68.8666 68.8666 476.8825 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0168

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0168 = 476.19

Taille de position USD = 476.19 x 0.1444 = 68.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 476.19 avec un stoploss a 0.1612

Avec un position size USD de 68.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 476.19 x 0.0168 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 476.19 x 0.05032 = 23.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 476.19
  • Taille de position USD 68.76
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 23.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.9952

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
34.85 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.63 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -11.63
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-12.0291 % 103.39 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09408
            [entry_price] => 0.1444
            [stop_loss] => 0.16288
            [rr_ratio] => 2.72
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-17 15:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.09408
            [entry_price] => 0.1444
            [stop_loss] => 0.16456
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-17 15:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00162
            [max_drawdown] => 0.01838
            [rr_ratio] => 0.09
            [high] => 0.16278000
            [low] => 0.14278000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.12
            [mae_pct] => 12.73
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-17T12:55:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-17T14:55:29-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00162
            [max_drawdown] => 0.02146
            [rr_ratio] => 0.08
            [high] => 0.16586000
            [low] => 0.14278000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.12
            [mae_pct] => 14.86
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.08
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-17T12:55:29-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-17T19:55:29-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15284000
            [high_after] => 0.16586000
            [low_before] => 0.13810000
            [low_after] => 0.14278000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#48 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 17/05/2026 12:00
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime