Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)
With 476.88 BILL at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09408 (34.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1612 (11.63 %)
Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)
With 476.88 BILL at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09408 (34.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1612 (11.63 %)
Position size of 68.8666 $
Take profit at 0.09408 (34.85 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.1612 (11.63 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 17/05 12:03 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
45%
|
16/05 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
73%
|
17/05 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
73%
|
17/05 12:15 |
| 5m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
82%
|
17/05 12:35 |
Indicators:
0.12751
139
0.3579
0.5339
0.2746
0.1987
0.3366
1
0.4442
0.3849
0.3188
0.2966
0.4305
0.147
0.0099
-0.0668
0.3333
0.0795
-1.4848
0.5263
0.4737
-1
10
1
0.6025
0.2748
4.5686
0.65
1.8124
2.8911
-1.4848
0.6115
0.2786
0.32
-0.1431
0.3953
0.4092
0.4486
0.147
-13.0069
2.242
1
1
0
0.066
0.066
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0.12751
0.16064
0.16064
0.12751
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:55 | 0.14441000 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 12:59 | 0.14441000 | +0.007% |
| 3 | 13:06 | 0.14383000 | -0.395% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 12:55:29 |
17 May 2026 14:50:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1444 | 0.1612 | 0.09408 | 3 | 0.0721 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1612 - 0.1444 = 0.0168
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1444 - 0.09408 = 0.05032
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05032 / 0.0168 = 2.9952
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68.8666 | 68.8666 | 476.8825 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0168 = 476.19
Taille de position USD = 476.19 x 0.1444 = 68.76
Donc, tu peux acheter 476.19 avec un stoploss a 0.1612
Avec un position size USD de 68.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 476.19 x 0.0168 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 476.19 x 0.05032 = 23.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 34.85 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.63 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -11.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -12.0291 % | 103.39 % | 3 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?