17 May 2026 at 16:50:25

Long Trade on XAU (BosPullback)

With 1.22 XAU at 4536.3$ per unit. Take profit: 4576.725 (0.89 %) & Stop Loss: 4529.7372 (0.14 %)

Long BosPullback on XAU (17 May 2026 at 16:50:25 to 20:05:00 - 3 hours )

With 1.219 XAU at 4536.3$ per unit.

Position size of 5529.7402 $
Take profit at 4576.725 (0.89 %) and Stop Loss at 4529.7372 (0.14 %)

That's a 6.16 RR Trade
Duration: 3 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.27
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

17/05 16:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_low

15m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_medium
70%
17/05 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_low
55%
17/05 12:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression range_low
43%
17/05 15:45
5m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression range_low
44%
17/05 16:25

Signal

BosPullback - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.84
  3. reason: bos_pullback_long|score=1|shallow|bars_since_bos=5|retests=1|break_atr=0.45|prog=0.38|zone=invalid|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
  4. stop_price: 4529.73723242
  5. tp_price: 4576.725
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : range
  11. confidence : 0.859
  12. trend_strength : -0.0707
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : 1.0016
  15. low_delta_atr : 1.452
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 3.4982
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.38869
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.4624
  19. retracement_ratio : 1.3801
  20. extension_ratio : 0.8898
  21. compression_score : 0.8598
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -1.2481
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -2.2496
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.387
  26. pivot_count : 29
  27. swing_count : 28
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    4546.34
  31. last_pivot_index:
    144
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : range
  36. structure : range
  37. breakout_state : none
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : high
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.418
  46. state : down_range_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.3829
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.558
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3507
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2518
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4317
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    1
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.6322
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3385
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.5526
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3913
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6626
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0911
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.0099
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1279
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.8037
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.6743
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.35
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.65
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    5
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4964
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.4624
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.4982
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    1.3801
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.9888
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.6743
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.5551
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3546
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.32
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0011
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5577
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.6757
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.6631
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0911
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -47.7733
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    4.7893
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    0
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.2575
  99. obi_top10 : 0.2575
  100. micro_price : 4536.305338
  101. spread_pct : 0.00022
  102. mid_price : 4536.305
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.2547
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.002
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7120
  115. aggregation_tick : 10
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : range
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 05:00:00
        [price] => 4688.24
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 4713.15
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 09:00:00
        [price] => 4672.64
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 4712.99
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 14:00:00
        [price] => 4681.21
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 21:00:00
        [price] => 4709.9
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 00:00:00
        [price] => 4672.49
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 03:00:00
        [price] => 4721.22
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 09:00:00
        [price] => 4670.27
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 10:00:00
        [price] => 4703
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 01:00:00
        [price] => 4561.41
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 03:00:00
        [price] => 4592
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 05:00:00
        [price] => 4536.57
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 06:00:00
        [price] => 4576.24
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 09:00:00
        [price] => 4517.03
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 10:00:00
        [price] => 4569.92
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 4523.63
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 11:00:00
        [price] => 4541.87
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 02:00:00
        [price] => 4530.11
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 11:00:00
        [price] => 4546.34
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 16:00:00
        [price] => 4540.67
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 17:45:00
        [price] => 4534.02
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 4540.75
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 22:00:00
        [price] => 4532.43
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 00:30:00
        [price] => 4538.79
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 02:00:00
        [price] => 4530.11
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 08:45:00
        [price] => 4542.78
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 09:30:00
        [price] => 4540
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 09:45:00
        [price] => 4545
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 10:30:00
        [price] => 4538.91
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 11:30:00
        [price] => 4546.34
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 14:15:00
        [price] => 4538.35
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 15:00:00
        [price] => 4542.35
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. bos_level_long : 4541.87
  157. bos_level_short : 0
  158. strategy_details
  159. levels_hl_price:
    4530.11
  160. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-17 02:00:00
  161. levels_hh_price:
    4546.34
  162. levels_lh_price:
    4546.34
  163. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-17 11:00:00
  164. levels_ll_price:
    4530.11
  165. demand_zone :
  166. supply_zone :
  167. ¸
  168. regimes
  169. 1H : bear_low
  170. 15m : range_low
  171. ¸

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 16:50 4536.30000000 0%
2 16:55 4536.30000000 0%
3 16:59 4536.30000000 0%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↔ range
Confidence 86%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.071
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
1.002
Low Δ ATR
1.452

Current Swing

Amp ATR
3.498
Speed
0.389
Efficiency
0.462

Structure

Retracement
1.380
Extension
0.890
Compression
0.860
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-1.248
Dist High ATR
-2.250
Dist Low ATR
1.387
29 pivots · 28 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 4,546.3400 @ bar 144

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_range_fading
Confidence 42%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility normal
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.383
Strength Score 0.558
Quality Score 0.351
Cleanliness Score 0.252
Structural Quality 0.432
Pullback Score 1.000
Exhaustion Score 0.632
Continuation Score 0.339
Structure Score 0.553
Volatility Expansion 0.391
Momentum Type Score 0.663
Risk Score 0.091
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.010
Ema50 Slope
-0.128
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.804
Price Vs Ema50
-3.674
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.350
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.650
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
5.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.496
Trend Efficiency
0.462
Impulse Strength
3.498
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
1.380
Pullback Depth Atr
2.989
Extension From Mean
-3.674
Impulse Decay Score
0.555
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.355
Volatility Percentile
0.320
Volatility Delta
-0.001
Body Ratio
0.558
Closes Position Ratio
0.676
Slope Consistency
0.663
Range Position
0.091
Distance To Recent High
-47.773
Distance To Recent Low
4.789
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
0.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7120ms Confidence avant OB : 72%84%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.258
avg 0.255 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.258

Microstructure

Mid Price
4,536.3050
Micro Price
4,536.3053
Spread
0.0002%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 May 2026
16:50:25
17 May 2026
20:05:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4536.3 4529.7372 4576.725 6.16 4157.13
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4536.3
  • Stop Loss: 4529.7372
  • Take Profit: 4576.725

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4529.7372 - 4536.3 = -6.5628000000006

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4536.3 - 4576.725 = -40.425

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -40.425 / -6.5628000000006 = 6.1597

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5529.7402 100 1.219 55.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -6.5628000000006

Taille de position = 8 / -6.5628000000006 = -1.22

Taille de position USD = -1.22 x 4536.3 = -5534.29

Donc, tu peux acheter -1.22 avec un stoploss a 4529.7372

Avec un position size USD de -5534.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1.22 x -6.5628000000006 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1.22 x -40.425 = 49.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 49.32$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1.22
  • Taille de position USD -5534.29
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 49.32
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 6.1597

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.89 % 49.28 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.14 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.14
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1766 % 122.05 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4576.725
            [entry_price] => 4536.3
            [stop_loss] => 4529.08092
            [rr_ratio] => 5.6
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-17 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4576.725
            [entry_price] => 4536.3
            [stop_loss] => 4528.42464
            [rr_ratio] => 5.13
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-17 20:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4576.725
            [entry_price] => 4536.3
            [stop_loss] => 4527.76836
            [rr_ratio] => 4.74
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-17 20:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4576.725
            [entry_price] => 4536.3
            [stop_loss] => 4526.4558
            [rr_ratio] => 4.11
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-17 20:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 23.69
            [max_drawdown] => 4.1900000000005
            [rr_ratio] => 5.65
            [high] => 4559.99000000
            [low] => 4532.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-17T16:50:25-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-17T18:50:25-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 23.69
            [max_drawdown] => 53.190000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.45
            [high] => 4559.99000000
            [low] => 4483.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 1.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.45
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-17T16:50:25-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-17T23:50:25-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4543.86000000
            [high_after] => 4559.99000000
            [low_before] => 4534.11000000
            [low_after] => 4483.11000000
            [is_new_high] => 1
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#51 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 17/05/2026 16:00
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime