Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 34.24 AVAX at 9.113$ per unit. Take profit: 8.4121 (7.69 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3466 (2.56 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 34.24 AVAX at 9.113$ per unit. Take profit: 8.4121 (7.69 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3466 (2.56 %)
Position size of 312.0662 $
Take profit at 8.4121 (7.69 %)
and Stop Loss at 9.3466 (2.56 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed tf_aligned : 1 17/05 20:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
17/05 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
70%
|
17/05 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
74%
|
17/05 19:45 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
68%
|
17/05 20:00 |
Indicators:
8.942
148
0.2279
0.8115
0.3571
0.209
0.4783
1
0.3222
0.3695
0.2412
0.976
0.7319
0.1412
-0.0734
-0.0628
0
-1.7547
-2.6737
0.3
0.7
-1
1
1
0.582
0.8534
5.3095
0.65
3.3559
7.4208
-2.6737
0
0.3531
0.96
0.6689
0.4704
0.5154
0.7227
0.1412
-11.4525
1.8831
1
0
0
0.386
0.386
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[price] => 9.338
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 19:00:00
[price] => 8.942
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
8.942
9.338
9.338
8.942
0.3094
0.506
0.2787
0.2067
0.3375
0.9576
0.515
0.3443
0.3725
0.1265
0.5094
0.1308
-0.1425
-0.0944
0
-1.9136
-2.9935
0.4444
0.5556
-1
27
1
0.5866
0.3002
2.7093
0.75
0.9576
2.5944
-2.9935
0.4704
0.2596
0.16
-0.2542
0.3873
0.4343
0.8959
0.1308
-8.8412
1.3304
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:11 | 9.11300000 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:34 | 9.12500000 | +0.132% |
| 3 | 21:29 | 9.15800000 | +0.494% |
| 4 | 21:32 | 9.13200000 | +0.208% |
| 5 | 21:37 | 9.11900000 | +0.066% |
| 6 | 21:39 | 9.11900000 | +0.066% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 20:11:49 |
20 May 2026 11:15:00 |
2 days |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.113 | 9.3466 | 8.4121 | 3 | 7.419 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3466 - 9.113 = 0.2336
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.113 - 8.4121 = 0.7009
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7009 / 0.2336 = 3.0004
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 312.0662 | 100 | 34.2441 | 3.12 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2336 = 34.25
Taille de position USD = 34.25 x 9.113 = 312.12
Donc, tu peux acheter 34.25 avec un stoploss a 9.3466
Avec un position size USD de 312.12$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 34.25 x 0.2336 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 34.25 x 0.7009 = 24.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.69 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6555 % | 103.59 % | 88 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0060000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 0.114
[rr_ratio] => 0.05
[high] => 9.22700000
[low] => 9.10700000
[mfe_pct] => 0.07
[mae_pct] => 1.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.05
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T20:11:49-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-17T22:11:49-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.052
[max_drawdown] => 0.118
[rr_ratio] => 0.44
[high] => 9.23100000
[low] => 9.06100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.57
[mae_pct] => 1.29
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.44
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T20:11:49-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T03:11:49-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 9.33800000
[high_after] => 9.23100000
[low_before] => 8.94200000
[low_after] => 9.08700000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?