Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 35.31 AVAX at 9.119$ per unit. Take profit: 8.4392 (7.45 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3456 (2.48 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 35.31 AVAX at 9.119$ per unit. Take profit: 8.4392 (7.45 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3456 (2.48 %)
Position size of 321.9624 $
Take profit at 8.4392 (7.45 %)
and Stop Loss at 9.3456 (2.48 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low tf_aligned : 1 17/05 21:02 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
17/05 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
66%
|
17/05 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
77%
|
17/05 21:15 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_low |
56%
|
17/05 21:25 |
Indicators:
8.942
147
0.2254
0.829
0.3514
0.2014
0.4742
1
0.3239
0.368
0.2412
0.964
0.7365
0.1453
-0.0901
-0.07
0
-1.6241
-2.5694
0.3
0.7
-1
2
1
0.5972
0.8534
5.3095
0.7
3.3559
7.4208
-2.5694
0
0.3963
0.94
0.6765
0.455
0.5444
0.7474
0.1453
-11.4978
1.9552
1
0
0
0.386
0.386
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)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 19:00:00
[price] => 8.942
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
8.942
9.338
9.338
8.942
0.3097
0.506
0.2771
0.2033
0.3375
0.9576
0.5115
0.3454
0.3725
0.1304
0.5091
0.134
-0.1408
-0.0934
0
-1.8699
-2.9397
0.4444
0.5556
-1
27
1
0.5933
0.3002
2.7093
0.75
0.9576
2.5944
-2.9397
0.4704
0.2643
0.16
-0.2484
0.3855
0.4364
0.8957
0.134
-8.7412
1.3522
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:42 | 9.11900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:45 | 9.12200000 | +0.033% |
| 3 | 21:49 | 9.14000000 | +0.23% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 21:42:42 |
20 May 2026 11:15:00 |
2 days |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.119 | 9.3456 | 8.4392 | 3 | 7.369 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3456 - 9.119 = 0.2266
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.119 - 8.4392 = 0.6798
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6798 / 0.2266 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 321.9624 | 100 | 35.3068 | 3.22 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2266 = 35.3
Taille de position USD = 35.3 x 9.119 = 321.9
Donc, tu peux acheter 35.3 avec un stoploss a 9.3456
Avec un position size USD de 321.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 35.3 x 0.2266 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 35.3 x 0.6798 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.45 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.588 % | 104.15 % | 88 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.012
[max_drawdown] => 0.112
[rr_ratio] => 0.11
[high] => 9.23100000
[low] => 9.10700000
[mfe_pct] => 0.13
[mae_pct] => 1.23
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.11
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T21:42:42-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-17T23:42:42-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 0.058
[max_drawdown] => 0.112
[rr_ratio] => 0.52
[high] => 9.23100000
[low] => 9.06100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.64
[mae_pct] => 1.23
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.52
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-17T21:42:42-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T04:42:42-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 9.32900000
[high_after] => 9.23100000
[low_before] => 8.94200000
[low_after] => 9.06100000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?