Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.46 TAO at 259.36$ per unit. Take profit: 242.9224 (6.34 %) & Stop Loss: 264.8392 (2.11 %)
Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.46 TAO at 259.36$ per unit. Take profit: 242.9224 (6.34 %) & Stop Loss: 264.8392 (2.11 %)
Position size of 378.6819 $
Take profit at 242.9224 (6.34 %)
and Stop Loss at 264.8392 (2.11 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 18/05 01:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
17/05 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
72%
|
18/05 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | compression | bear_medium |
67%
|
18/05 01:00 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
60%
|
18/05 01:20 |
Indicators:
264.61
146
0.2165
0.5913
0.428
0.2127
0.6042
0.408
0.5894
0.5098
0.2404
0.8231
0.5779
0.0343
-0.1923
-0.1483
0
-2.0285
-3.9283
0.25
0.75
-1
6
1
0.5745
0.4029
5.5768
0.6
0.408
2.2753
-3.9283
0.3901
0.3585
0.76
0.2507
0.4498
0.5096
0.8136
0.0343
-15.434
0.5489
1
1
1
0.986
0.986
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0.4394
0.7026
0.5302
0.5038
0.1589
0.5597
0.1438
-0.2558
-0.1714
0
-2.7688
-4.7335
0.8125
0.1875
-1
28
1
0.5281
0.3172
4.8834
0.65
0.4394
2.1457
-4.7335
0.746
0.2167
0.06
-0.1156
0.4898
0.4212
0.9285
0.1438
-12.1946
2.0484
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:52 | 259.36000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:58 | 259.36000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 02:12 | 258.79000000 | -0.22% |
| 4 | 02:53 | 258.87000000 | -0.189% |
| 5 | 03:04 | 259.44000000 | +0.031% |
| 6 | 03:21 | 258.49000000 | -0.335% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 May 2026 01:52:56 |
18 May 2026 18:10:00 |
16 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.36 | 264.8392 | 242.9224 | 3 | 225.29 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 264.8392 - 259.36 = 5.4792
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 259.36 - 242.9224 = 16.4376
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 16.4376 / 5.4792 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 378.6819 | 100 | 1.4601 | 3.79 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.4792 = 1.46
Taille de position USD = 1.46 x 259.36 = 378.67
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.46 avec un stoploss a 264.8392
Avec un position size USD de 378.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.46 x 5.4792 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.46 x 16.4376 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.34 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.11 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1167 % | 100.19 % | 44 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.17
[max_drawdown] => 0.64999999999998
[rr_ratio] => 4.88
[high] => 260.01000000
[low] => 256.19000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.22
[mae_pct] => 0.25
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.88
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-18T01:52:56-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T03:52:56-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 3.52
[max_drawdown] => 2.43
[rr_ratio] => 1.45
[high] => 261.79000000
[low] => 255.84000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.36
[mae_pct] => 0.94
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.45
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-18T01:52:56-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T08:52:56-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 264.61000000
[high_after] => 260.43000000
[low_before] => 258.81000000
[low_after] => 255.84000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?