Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 45.08 AVAX at 9.059$ per unit. Take profit: 8.5266 (5.88 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2365 (1.96 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 45.08 AVAX at 9.059$ per unit. Take profit: 8.5266 (5.88 %) & Stop Loss: 9.2365 (1.96 %)
Position size of 408.3658 $
Take profit at 8.5266 (5.88 %)
and Stop Loss at 9.2365 (1.96 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 18/05 06:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
18/05 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
64%
|
18/05 05:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
76%
|
18/05 06:00 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_low_confirmed |
59%
|
18/05 06:10 |
Indicators:
9.231
141
0.2487
0.6752
0.3879
0.1856
0.5533
0.7298
0.3797
0.3606
0.2797
0.808
0.6219
0.0985
-0.1545
-0.1125
0
-1.7146
-3.0944
0.3
0.7
-1
11
1
0.6288
0.5115
5.3094
0.7
0.7298
3.8748
-3.0944
0
0.4358
0.68
0.3537
0.3889
0.5652
0.9305
0.0985
-14.6639
1.6019
1
0
1
0.386
0.386
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[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 22:00:00
[price] => 9.231
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
8.942
9.231
9.231
8.942
0.3055
0.506
0.2651
0.1868
0.3292
0.9576
0.5358
0.3365
0.3725
0.1324
0.5087
0.0965
-0.1682
-0.1095
0
-1.9612
-3.1845
0.4444
0.5556
-1
29
1
0.6264
0.3002
2.7093
0.75
0.9576
2.5944
-3.1845
0.4704
0.2759
0.12
-0.2094
0.37
0.4578
0.9002
0.0965
-9.3939
1.0034
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:16 | 9.05900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:22 | 9.05800000 | -0.011% |
| 3 | 06:27 | 9.05800000 | -0.011% |
| 4 | 06:51 | 9.06200000 | +0.033% |
| 5 | 06:58 | 9.06200000 | +0.033% |
| 6 | 07:18 | 9.07200000 | +0.144% |
| 7 | 07:28 | 9.08800000 | +0.32% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 May 2026 06:16:03 |
18 May 2026 17:30:00 |
11 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.059 | 9.2365 | 8.5266 | 3 | 7.714 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.2365 - 9.059 = 0.1775
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.059 - 8.5266 = 0.5324
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5324 / 0.1775 = 2.9994
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 408.3658 | 100 | 45.0785 | 4.08 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1775 = 45.07
Taille de position USD = 45.07 x 9.059 = 408.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 45.07 avec un stoploss a 9.2365
Avec un position size USD de 408.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 45.07 x 0.1775 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 45.07 x 0.5324 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.88 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.96 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1084 % | 107.6 % | 27 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.019
[max_drawdown] => 0.144
[rr_ratio] => 0.13
[high] => 9.20300000
[low] => 9.04000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 1.59
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-18T06:16:03-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T08:16:03-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.059999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.166
[rr_ratio] => 0.36
[high] => 9.22500000
[low] => 8.99900000
[mfe_pct] => 0.66
[mae_pct] => 1.83
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-18T06:16:03-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T13:16:03-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 9.14900000
[high_after] => 9.22500000
[low_before] => 9.04700000
[low_after] => 8.99900000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?