Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.43 TAO at 259.25$ per unit. Take profit: 242.514 (6.46 %) & Stop Loss: 264.8287 (2.15 %)
Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.43 TAO at 259.25$ per unit. Take profit: 242.514 (6.46 %) & Stop Loss: 264.8287 (2.15 %)
Position size of 371.7724 $
Take profit at 242.514 (6.46 %)
and Stop Loss at 264.8287 (2.15 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 18/05 07:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
18/05 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
73%
|
18/05 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_medium |
72%
|
18/05 07:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_low |
36%
|
18/05 07:40 |
Indicators:
264.61
140
0.2208
0.6263
0.4292
0.2459
0.5792
0.408
0.5062
0.5365
0.2404
0.856
0.6242
0.0599
-0.1633
-0.1455
0
-1.0306
-3.0496
0.25
0.75
-1
12
1
0.5083
0.4029
5.5768
0.7
0.408
2.2753
-3.0496
0.3901
0.3331
0.76
0.3773
0.5159
0.4926
0.9671
0.0599
-15.3124
0.9753
1
1
1
0.986
0.986
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0.4833
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0.6953
0.5313
0.5038
0.1993
0.5833
0.1416
-0.2734
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0
-2.4473
-4.4795
0.8125
0.1875
-1
29
1
0.4825
0.3172
4.8834
0.65
0.4394
2.1457
-4.4795
0.746
0.1876
0.08
-0.073
0.5351
0.435
0.937
0.1416
-12.0122
1.9818
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:50 | 259.25000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:56 | 259.25000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 08:09 | 259.58000000 | +0.127% |
| 4 | 08:18 | 259.83000000 | +0.224% |
| 5 | 08:29 | 259.88000000 | +0.243% |
| 6 | 09:08 | 260.14000000 | +0.343% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 May 2026 07:50:41 |
18 May 2026 18:10:00 |
10 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259.25 | 264.8287 | 242.514 | 3 | 226.5 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 264.8287 - 259.25 = 5.5787
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 259.25 - 242.514 = 16.736
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 16.736 / 5.5787 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 371.7724 | 100 | 1.434 | 3.72 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.5787 = 1.43
Taille de position USD = 1.43 x 259.25 = 370.73
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.43 avec un stoploss a 264.8287
Avec un position size USD de 370.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.43 x 5.5787 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.43 x 16.736 = 23.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.93$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.46 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.15 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1601 % | 100.38 % | 22 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 0.92000000000002
[max_drawdown] => 2.54
[rr_ratio] => 0.36
[high] => 261.79000000
[low] => 258.33000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.35
[mae_pct] => 0.98
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-18T07:50:41-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T09:50:41-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
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[max_gain] => 5.03
[max_drawdown] => 2.54
[rr_ratio] => 1.98
[high] => 261.79000000
[low] => 254.22000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.94
[mae_pct] => 0.98
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.98
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-18T07:50:41-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-18T14:50:41-04:00
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[breakout] => Array
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[high_before] => 260.43000000
[high_after] => 261.79000000
[low_before] => 255.84000000
[low_after] => 255.18000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?