Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.59 TAO at 256.97$ per unit. Take profit: 241.8707 (5.88 %) & Stop Loss: 262.0031 (1.96 %)
Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 1.59 TAO at 256.97$ per unit. Take profit: 241.8707 (5.88 %) & Stop Loss: 262.0031 (1.96 %)
Position size of 408.4469 $
Take profit at 241.8707 (5.88 %)
and Stop Loss at 262.0031 (1.96 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 18/05 14:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
18/05 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high |
71%
|
18/05 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
77%
|
18/05 13:45 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
48%
|
18/05 13:50 |
Indicators:
261.79
143
0.2152
0.6622
0.4462
0.2378
0.6167
0.6784
0.6093
0.2783
0.2224
0.4705
0.6981
0.0331
-0.1243
-0.14
0
-1.2151
-3.4175
0.2222
0.7778
-1
7
1
0.5245
0.7589
2.768
0.6
0.6784
1.8778
-3.4175
0.5845
0.3057
0.56
-0.0983
0.4443
0.4766
0.855
0.0331
-18.9219
0.6475
1
0
1
0.986
0.986
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4.8834
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0.746
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-0.1017
0.5081
0.398
0.9481
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1.7725
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:10 | 256.97000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:05 | 258.03000000 | +0.412% |
| 3 | 15:25 | 257.37000000 | +0.156% |
| 4 | 15:34 | 256.94000000 | -0.012% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 May 2026 14:10:26 |
18 May 2026 17:55:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.97 | 262.0031 | 241.8707 | 3 | 215.78 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 262.0031 - 256.97 = 5.0331
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 256.97 - 241.8707 = 15.0993
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 15.0993 / 5.0331 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 408.4469 | 100 | 1.5895 | 4.08 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 5.0331 = 1.59
Taille de position USD = 1.59 x 256.97 = 408.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.59 avec un stoploss a 262.0031
Avec un position size USD de 408.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.59 x 5.0331 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.59 x 15.0993 = 24.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.88 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.96 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9925 % | 101.73 % | 9 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?