18 May 2026 at 22:12:39

Short Trade on XRP (BosPullback)

With 447.73 XRP at 1.38$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3357 (3.24 %) & Stop Loss: 1.3983 (1.3 %)

Short BosPullback on XRP (18 May 2026 at 22:12:39 to 14:45:00 - 3 days )

With 447.7325 XRP at 1.3804$ per unit.

Position size of 618.05 $
Take profit at 1.3357 (3.24 %) and Stop Loss at 1.3983 (1.3 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 3 days

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: -0.27
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

18/05 22:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
72%
18/05 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
72%
18/05 21:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression range_low
45%
18/05 22:00
5m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression range_low
51%
18/05 22:00

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.72
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=1|shallow|bars_since_bos=8|retests=1|break_atr=0.76|prog=0.49|zone=invalid
  4. stop_price: 1.39826781
  5. tp_price: 1.33573048
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.72
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.72
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 0.461
  12. trend_strength : -0.1396
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -0.4581
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.1086
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.971
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.49516
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.3977
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.8724
  20. extension_ratio : 1.262
  21. compression_score : 0.7811
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -2.0065
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.5484
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.5851
  26. pivot_count : 25
  27. swing_count : 24
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    1.3973
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : low
  41. momentum_type : balanced
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : discount
  45. confidence : 0.523
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_balanced
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2836
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.5214
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.39
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2485
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5058
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.8724
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.3654
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.3788
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3106
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3656
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.522
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0928
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.003
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.0437
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -0.6659
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -1.6642
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    8
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.503
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.3977
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.3097
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.8724
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.8874
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -1.6642
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.369
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2886
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.46
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1656
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4957
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4749
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.3835
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0928
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -16.3925
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.6771
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    1
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0625
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0625
  100. micro_price : 1.38030866
  101. spread_pct : 0.007245
  102. mid_price : 1.38035
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.059
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0073
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 6947
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 18:00:00
        [price] => 1.4145
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 21:00:00
        [price] => 1.435
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 23:00:00
        [price] => 1.4201
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 15:00:00
        [price] => 1.5495
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 01:00:00
        [price] => 1.4522
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.4763
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 10:00:00
        [price] => 1.4263
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 13:00:00
        [price] => 1.4505
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.3953
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.4196
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 22:00:00
        [price] => 1.4015
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.4287
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 14:00:00
        [price] => 1.4055
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 17:00:00
        [price] => 1.4256
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 19:00:00
        [price] => 1.3685
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 20:00:00
        [price] => 1.4006
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 07:00:00
        [price] => 1.3752
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 08:00:00
        [price] => 1.4023
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 14:00:00
        [price] => 1.3631
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 20:00:00
        [price] => 1.3973
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-17 22:15:00
        [price] => 1.402
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 00:15:00
        [price] => 1.3863
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 00:45:00
        [price] => 1.3986
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 02:15:00
        [price] => 1.3759
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.3905
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 07:00:00
        [price] => 1.3752
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 08:45:00
        [price] => 1.4023
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 09:30:00
        [price] => 1.3756
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 09:45:00
        [price] => 1.3892
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 11:30:00
        [price] => 1.3675
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 13:15:00
        [price] => 1.3828
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 14:15:00
        [price] => 1.3631
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 16:00:00
        [price] => 1.3919
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 17:00:00
        [price] => 1.3815
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_15m_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-18 20:15:00
        [price] => 1.3973
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. bos_level_long : 0
  159. bos_level_short : 1.3752
  160. strategy_details
  161. levels_hl_price:
    1.3631
  162. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-18 14:00:00
  163. levels_hh_price:
    1.3973
  164. levels_lh_price:
    1.3973
  165. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-18 20:00:00
  166. levels_ll_price:
    1.3631
  167. strategy_details
  168. demand_zone_top:
    1.3855
  169. demand_zone_bottom:
    1.3631
  170. demand_zone_mid:
    1.3743
  171. demand_zone_freshness: tested
  172. demand_zone_strength:
    0.7577
  173. supply_zone :
  174. ¸
  175. regimes
  176. 1H : bear_high
  177. 15m : range_low
  178. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 46%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.140
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-0.458
Low Δ ATR
-1.109

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.971
Speed
0.495
Efficiency
0.398

Structure

Retracement
0.872
Extension
1.262
Compression
0.781
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-2.007
Dist High ATR
-1.548
Dist Low ATR
1.585
25 pivots · 24 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 1.3973 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_balanced
Confidence 52%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion low
momentum balanced
volatility compression
risk discount
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.284
Strength Score 0.521
Quality Score 0.390
Cleanliness Score 0.249
Structural Quality 0.506
Pullback Score 0.872
Exhaustion Score 0.365
Continuation Score 0.379
Structure Score 0.311
Volatility Expansion 0.366
Momentum Type Score 0.522
Risk Score 0.093
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.003
Ema50 Slope
-0.044
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-0.666
Price Vs Ema50
-1.664
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
8.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.503
Trend Efficiency
0.398
Impulse Strength
3.310
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.872
Pullback Depth Atr
2.887
Extension From Mean
-1.664
Impulse Decay Score
0.369
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.289
Volatility Percentile
0.460
Volatility Delta
-0.166
Body Ratio
0.496
Closes Position Ratio
0.475
Slope Consistency
0.384
Range Position
0.093
Distance To Recent High
-16.393
Distance To Recent Low
1.677
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
1.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6947ms Confidence avant OB : 72%72%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.063
avg 0.059 ± 0.007
OBI Top 10 0.063

Microstructure

Mid Price
1.3804
Micro Price
1.3803
Spread
0.0072%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 May 2026
22:12:39
22 May 2026
14:45:00
3 days

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.3804 1.3983 1.3357 2.5 1.0032
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.3804
  • Stop Loss: 1.3983
  • Take Profit: 1.3357

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.3983 - 1.3804 = 0.0179

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.3804 - 1.3357 = 0.0447

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0447 / 0.0179 = 2.4972

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
618.05 100 447.7325 6.18
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0179

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0179 = 446.93

Taille de position USD = 446.93 x 1.3804 = 616.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 446.93 avec un stoploss a 1.3983

Avec un position size USD de 616.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 446.93 x 0.0179 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 446.93 x 0.0447 = 19.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 446.93
  • Taille de position USD 616.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4972

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
3.24 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.3 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
20.01 $ 3.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6158 % 47.49 % 48

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.0074999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0154
            [rr_ratio] => -0.49
            [high] => 1.39580000
            [low] => 1.38790000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.54
            [mae_pct] => 1.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-18T22:12:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-19T00:12:39-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0034000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0169
            [rr_ratio] => 0.2
            [high] => 1.39730000
            [low] => 1.37700000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.25
            [mae_pct] => 1.22
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-18T22:12:39-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-19T05:12:39-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.39520000
            [high_after] => 1.39730000
            [low_before] => 1.36310000
            [low_after] => 1.37700000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#56 / n/a OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 18/05/2026 22:00
Signal Confidence
72 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime