Short Trade on SAHARA (CatchTheWave)
With 21181.95 SAHARA at 0.0347$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03396 (2.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0351 (1.09 %)
Short Trade on SAHARA (CatchTheWave)
With 21181.95 SAHARA at 0.0347$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03396 (2.19 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0351 (1.09 %)
Position size of 735.4374 $
Take profit at 0.03396 (2.19 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.0351 (1.09 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.41 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 19/05 02:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.307672 15m : 0.312203 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
18/05 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
75%
|
19/05 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
19/05 01:45 |
| 5m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
68%
|
19/05 02:05 |
Indicators:
76879.6
0.000778147
76939.5
0.307672
76859
0.00104678
76939.5
0.312203
78073.1
-0.0145208
76939.5
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
[1] => 0.03355
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 07:00:00
[1] => 0.03718
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 18:00:00
[1] => 0.03791
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 22:00:00
[1] => 0.03791
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 07:00:00
[1] => 0.0383
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 14:00:00
[1] => 0.03582
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 17:00:00
[1] => 0.03751
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 11:00:00
[1] => 0.03229
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 00:00:00
[1] => 0.03222
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 02:00:00
[1] => 0.03476
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1150747986191
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.7591558038485
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.8833022967101
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 14:15:00
[1] => 0.03268
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 14:30:00
[1] => 0.03322
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 16:30:00
[1] => 0.03301
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 17:00:00
[1] => 0.03258
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 19:15:00
[1] => 0.03247
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 20:30:00
[1] => 0.0332
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 21:30:00
[1] => 0.0325
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 22:30:00
[1] => 0.03288
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 00:00:00
[1] => 0.03222
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 02:00:00
[1] => 0.03476
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1150747986191
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.7591558038485
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.8833022967101
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 20:35:00
[1] => 0.0332
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 21:30:00
[1] => 0.0325
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 21:40:00
[1] => 0.03285
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 22:05:00
[1] => 0.03259
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 22:30:00
[1] => 0.03288
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 23:35:00
[1] => 0.03264
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 00:00:00
[1] => 0.03222
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 01:05:00
[1] => 0.03445
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 01:20:00
[1] => 0.03328
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 02:10:00
[1] => 0.03476
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1150747986191
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3269230769231
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4471153846154
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.03222
197
0.42
0.5292
0.3688
0.2002
0.5067
1
0.425
0.4155
0.2596
0.5414
0.4654
0.2425
0.0385
-0.0519
0.6667
1.4854
0.1198
0.35
0.65
-1
15
1
0.5995
0.187
6.9923
0.7
1.0511
1.8572
0.1198
0.862
0.2788
0.58
-0.0099
0.4629
0.4205
0.68
0.2425
-10.7495
3.4409
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:11 | 0.03472000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:13 | 0.03461000 | -0.317% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 20:35:00 | 0.0332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 21:30:00 | 0.0325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 21:40:00 | 0.03285 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 22:05:00 | 0.03259 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 22:30:00 | 0.03288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 23:35:00 | 0.03264 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 00:00:00 | 0.03222 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 01:05:00 | 0.03445 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 01:20:00 | 0.03328 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 02:10:00 | 0.03476 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 14:15:00 | 0.03268 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 14:30:00 | 0.03322 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 16:30:00 | 0.03301 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 17:00:00 | 0.03258 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 19:15:00 | 0.03247 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 20:30:00 | 0.0332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 21:30:00 | 0.0325 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 22:30:00 | 0.03288 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 00:00:00 | 0.03222 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 02:00:00 | 0.03476 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 06:00:00 | 0.03355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 07:00:00 | 0.03718 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 18:00:00 | 0.03791 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 22:00:00 | 0.03791 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 07:00:00 | 0.0383 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 14:00:00 | 0.03582 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 17:00:00 | 0.03751 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 11:00:00 | 0.03229 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 00:00:00 | 0.03222 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 02:00:00 | 0.03476 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 02:11:31 |
19 May 2026 02:35:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03472 | 0.0351 | 0.03396 | 2 | 0.01388 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0351 - 0.03472 = 0.00038
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03472 - 0.03396 = 0.00076
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00076 / 0.00038 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 735.4374 | 100 | 21181.953 | 7.35 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00038 = 21052.63
Taille de position USD = 21052.63 x 0.03472 = 730.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 21052.63 avec un stoploss a 0.0351
Avec un position size USD de 730.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 21052.63 x 0.00038 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 21052.63 x 0.00076 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.19 % | 16.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.09 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.1 $ | 2.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3168 % | 28.94 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03396
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 02:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03377
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 02:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03358
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 04:05:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03339
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 04:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0332
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 05:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03301
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 02:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03282
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 02:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03263
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 02:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03244
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 04:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.03225
[stop_loss] => 0.0351
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 04:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00137
[max_drawdown] => 0.00011
[rr_ratio] => 12.45
[high] => 0.03483000
[low] => 0.03335000
[mfe_pct] => 3.95
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.45
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T02:11:31-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-19T04:11:31-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0016
[max_drawdown] => 0.00204
[rr_ratio] => 0.78
[high] => 0.03676000
[low] => 0.03312000
[mfe_pct] => 4.61
[mae_pct] => 5.88
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.78
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T02:11:31-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-19T09:11:31-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.03476000
[high_after] => 0.03483000
[low_before] => 0.03222000
[low_after] => 0.03312000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?