Short Trade on MU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.92 MU at 701.27$ per unit. Take profit: 683.899 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 709.9555 (1.24 %)
Short Trade on MU (CatchTheWave)
With 0.92 MU at 701.27$ per unit. Take profit: 683.899 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 709.9555 (1.24 %)
Position size of 645.9214 $
Take profit at 683.899 (2.48 %)
and Stop Loss at 709.9555 (1.24 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.46 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 19/05 12:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.132168 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
69%
|
19/05 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
19/05 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
70%
|
19/05 07:45 |
| 5m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
73%
|
19/05 07:55 |
Indicators:
76736.9
-0.00430607
76406.5
-0.132168
0
0
76406.5
77534.9
-0.0145537
76406.5
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 16:00:00
[1] => 736.3
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 20:00:00
[1] => 700.73
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 22:00:00
[1] => 742.99
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 09:00:00
[1] => 765.51
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 14:00:00
[1] => 664.35
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 19:00:00
[1] => 697.6
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 22:00:00
[1] => 667.49
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 03:00:00
[1] => 689.21
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
[1] => 653.82
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 12:00:00
[1] => 701.79
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074096239615837
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2573491174941
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3368817105625
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 19:00:00
[1] => 697.6
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 20:30:00
[1] => 696.13
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 22:15:00
[1] => 667.49
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 23:30:00
[1] => 680.89
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 01:15:00
[1] => 670.22
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 03:45:00
[1] => 689.21
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 06:15:00
[1] => 667.03
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 09:30:00
[1] => 701.17
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:15:00
[1] => 653.82
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 12:00:00
[1] => 701.79
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074096239615837
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2573491174941
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3368817105625
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 05:30:00
[1] => 670.16
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 05:55:00
[1] => 677.06
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 06:20:00
[1] => 667.03
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 07:00:00
[1] => 675.66
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 08:00:00
[1] => 662.54
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 08:35:00
[1] => 673.72
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 09:25:00
[1] => 661.68
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 09:35:00
[1] => 701.17
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:15:00
[1] => 653.82
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 12:05:00
[1] => 701.79
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.074096239615837
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.2573491174941
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3368817105625
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
653.82
197
0.4272
0.3934
0.3552
0.2465
0.4442
1
0.2636
0.4668
0.2736
0.6078
0.5436
0.3295
0.0067
-0.0374
0.6667
1.0248
0.1908
0.35
0.65
-1
2
1
0.507
0.2686
2.4377
0.5
1.6294
3.0064
0.1908
0.4123
0.3279
0.76
-0.0723
0.4282
0.612
0.7878
0.3295
-6.2254
3.0598
1
1
0
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 05:30:00 | 670.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 05:55:00 | 677.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:20:00 | 667.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 07:00:00 | 675.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 08:00:00 | 662.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 08:35:00 | 673.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:25:00 | 661.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 09:35:00 | 701.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:15:00 | 653.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 12:05:00 | 701.79 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 697.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 20:30:00 | 696.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 22:15:00 | 667.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 23:30:00 | 680.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 01:15:00 | 670.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 03:45:00 | 689.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:15:00 | 667.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 09:30:00 | 701.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:15:00 | 653.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 12:00:00 | 701.79 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 16:00:00 | 736.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 20:00:00 | 700.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 22:00:00 | 742.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 09:00:00 | 765.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 14:00:00 | 664.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 697.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 22:00:00 | 667.49 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 03:00:00 | 689.21 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:00:00 | 653.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 12:00:00 | 701.79 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 12:16:11 |
19 May 2026 12:25:00 |
8 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701.27 | 709.9555 | 683.899 | 2 | 1117.91 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 709.9555 - 701.27 = 8.6855
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 701.27 - 683.899 = 17.371
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 17.371 / 8.6855 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 645.9214 | 100 | 0.9211 | 6.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 8.6855 = 0.92
Taille de position USD = 0.92 x 701.27 = 645.17
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.92 avec un stoploss a 709.9555
Avec un position size USD de 645.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.92 x 8.6855 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.92 x 17.371 = 15.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2919 % | 104.31 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 683.899
[entry_price] => 701.27
[stop_loss] => 710.82405
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 12:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 683.899
[entry_price] => 701.27
[stop_loss] => 711.6926
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 12:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 683.899
[entry_price] => 701.27
[stop_loss] => 712.56115
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 12:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 683.899
[entry_price] => 701.27
[stop_loss] => 714.29825
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 12:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0
[max_drawdown] => 24.44
[rr_ratio] => 0
[high] => 725.71000000
[low] => 701.27000000
[mfe_pct] => 0
[mae_pct] => 3.49
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T12:16:11-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-19T14:16:11-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.62
[max_drawdown] => 24.44
[rr_ratio] => 0.27
[high] => 725.71000000
[low] => 694.65000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.94
[mae_pct] => 3.49
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T12:16:11-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-19T19:16:11-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 703.10000000
[high_after] => 725.71000000
[low_before] => 653.82000000
[low_after] => 694.65000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?