Short Trade on SOXL (CatchTheWave)
With 2.62 SOXL at 154.27$ per unit. Take profit: 148.168 (3.96 %) & Stop Loss: 157.321 (1.98 %)
Short Trade on SOXL (CatchTheWave)
With 2.62 SOXL at 154.27$ per unit. Take profit: 148.168 (3.96 %) & Stop Loss: 157.321 (1.98 %)
Position size of 404.5127 $
Take profit at 148.168 (3.96 %)
and Stop Loss at 157.321 (1.98 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.67 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_low rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 19/05 12:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.634488 15m : 0.498787 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
64%
|
18/05 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
19/05 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
69%
|
19/05 04:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
47%
|
19/05 05:05 |
Indicators:
76710.9
0.000513734
76750.4
0.634488
76738.6
0.000152522
76750.4
0.498787
77541.7
-0.0102052
76750.4
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135.12
197
0.4027
0.5249
0.3139
0.2279
0.3842
1
0.0809
0.5118
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0.8011
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0.3554
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0.0577
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3.6778
0.6
2.9482
4.9233
0.0577
0
0.3035
0.9
0.0916
0.4293
0.521
0.8674
0.3554
-5.5247
3.0463
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:49 | 154.27000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:51 | 154.12000000 | -0.097% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 05:55:00 | 146.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:30:00 | 146.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:35:00 | 143.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 07:00:00 | 146.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 08:00:00 | 142.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 08:50:00 | 145.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:25:00 | 140 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 09:35:00 | 155.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:20:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 12:45:00 | 155.87 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 154.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 22:00:00 | 147.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 23:30:00 | 150.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 01:15:00 | 146.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 03:45:00 | 152.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 05:30:00 | 143.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 07:00:00 | 146.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:30:00 | 155.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:15:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 12:45:00 | 155.87 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 05:00:00 | 162.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 09:00:00 | 165.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 18:00:00 | 165.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 20:00:00 | 154.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 09:00:00 | 175.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 14:00:00 | 142.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 154.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 03:00:00 | 152.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:00:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 12:00:00 | 155.87 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 12:49:40 |
19 May 2026 13:10:00 |
20 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154.27 | 157.321 | 148.168 | 2 | 270.26 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 157.321 - 154.27 = 3.051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 154.27 - 148.168 = 6.102
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.102 / 3.051 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 404.5127 | 100 | 2.6221 | 4.05 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.051 = 2.62
Taille de position USD = 2.62 x 154.27 = 404.19
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.62 avec un stoploss a 157.321
Avec un position size USD de 404.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.62 x 3.051 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.62 x 6.102 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.96 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.98 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3595 % | 119.31 % | 1 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?