Short Trade on SOXL (CatchTheWave)
With 2.88 SOXL at 156.13$ per unit. Take profit: 150.5768 (3.56 %) & Stop Loss: 158.9066 (1.78 %)
Short Trade on SOXL (CatchTheWave)
With 2.88 SOXL at 156.13$ per unit. Take profit: 150.5768 (3.56 %) & Stop Loss: 158.9066 (1.78 %)
Position size of 449.8491 $
Take profit at 150.5768 (3.56 %)
and Stop Loss at 158.9066 (1.78 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.66 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.59 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 19/05 13:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.63545 15m : 0.471153 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
64%
|
18/05 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
19/05 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
69%
|
19/05 04:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
47%
|
19/05 05:05 |
Indicators:
76726.3
0.00188317
76870.8
0.63545
76712.6
0.00206165
76870.8
0.471153
77583.6
-0.00918857
76870.8
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 05:00:00
[1] => 162.19
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 09:00:00
[1] => 165.44
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 18:00:00
[1] => 165.1
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-17 20:00:00
[1] => 154.99
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 09:00:00
[1] => 175.11
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 14:00:00
[1] => 142.92
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 19:00:00
[1] => 154.55
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 03:00:00
[1] => 152.78
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
[1] => 135.12
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 13:00:00
[1] => 156.14
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0064045087741712
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.549141503848
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 15.556542332741
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 19:00:00
[1] => 154.55
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 22:00:00
[1] => 147.25
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-18 23:30:00
[1] => 150.15
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 01:15:00
[1] => 146.79
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 03:45:00
[1] => 152.78
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 05:30:00
[1] => 143.55
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 07:00:00
[1] => 146.42
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 09:30:00
[1] => 155.39
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:15:00
[1] => 135.12
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 13:00:00
[1] => 156.14
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0064045087741712
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.549141503848
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 15.556542332741
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 05:55:00
[1] => 146.2
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 06:30:00
[1] => 146.05
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 06:35:00
[1] => 143.84
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 07:00:00
[1] => 146.42
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 08:00:00
[1] => 142.25
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 08:50:00
[1] => 145.14
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 09:25:00
[1] => 140
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 09:35:00
[1] => 155.39
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 10:20:00
[1] => 135.12
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-19 13:00:00
[1] => 156.14
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0064045087741712
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 15.549141503848
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 32
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 15.556542332741
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
135.12
196
0.4091
0.5249
0.3174
0.2409
0.38
1
0.1053
0.507
0.2697
0.7168
0.5625
0.3899
0.0035
-0.0366
0.6667
1.1506
0.3766
0.45
0.55
-1
3
1
0.5182
0.3729
3.6778
0.6
2.9482
4.9233
0.3766
0
0.2893
0.76
0.0912
0.4396
0.5326
0.7708
0.3899
-5.8751
3.7553
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:02 | 156.13000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:04 | 156.53000000 | +0.256% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 05:55:00 | 146.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:30:00 | 146.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:35:00 | 143.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 07:00:00 | 146.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 08:00:00 | 142.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 08:50:00 | 145.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:25:00 | 140 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 09:35:00 | 155.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:20:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 13:00:00 | 156.14 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 154.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 22:00:00 | 147.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 23:30:00 | 150.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 01:15:00 | 146.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 03:45:00 | 152.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 05:30:00 | 143.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 07:00:00 | 146.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:30:00 | 155.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:15:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 13:00:00 | 156.14 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 05:00:00 | 162.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 09:00:00 | 165.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 18:00:00 | 165.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 20:00:00 | 154.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 09:00:00 | 175.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 14:00:00 | 142.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 154.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 03:00:00 | 152.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:00:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 13:00:00 | 156.14 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 13:02:37 |
19 May 2026 13:15:00 |
12 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 156.13 | 158.9066 | 150.5768 | 2 | 270.26 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 158.9066 - 156.13 = 2.7766
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 156.13 - 150.5768 = 5.5532
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.5532 / 2.7766 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 449.8491 | 100 | 2.8812 | 4.50 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.7766 = 2.88
Taille de position USD = 2.88 x 156.13 = 449.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.88 avec un stoploss a 158.9066
Avec un position size USD de 449.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.88 x 2.7766 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.88 x 5.5532 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.56 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.78 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.819 % | 102.28 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 150.5768
[entry_price] => 156.13
[stop_loss] => 159.18426
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 13:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 150.5768
[entry_price] => 156.13
[stop_loss] => 159.46192
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 13:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 150.5768
[entry_price] => 156.13
[stop_loss] => 159.73958
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 13:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 150.5768
[entry_price] => 156.13
[stop_loss] => 160.2949
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-19 13:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.81
[max_drawdown] => 4.51
[rr_ratio] => 0.62
[high] => 160.64000000
[low] => 153.32000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.8
[mae_pct] => 2.89
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.62
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T13:02:37-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-19T15:02:37-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.98
[max_drawdown] => 4.51
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[high] => 160.64000000
[low] => 150.15000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.83
[mae_pct] => 2.89
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.33
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T13:02:37-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-19T20:02:37-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 156.66000000
[high_after] => 160.64000000
[low_before] => 135.12000000
[low_after] => 150.15000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?