Short Trade on SOXL (CatchTheWave)
With 3.06 SOXL at 158.55$ per unit. Take profit: 153.3216 (3.3 %) & Stop Loss: 161.1642 (1.65 %)
Short Trade on SOXL (CatchTheWave)
With 3.06 SOXL at 158.55$ per unit. Take profit: 153.3216 (3.3 %) & Stop Loss: 161.1642 (1.65 %)
Position size of 485.1963 $
Take profit at 153.3216 (3.3 %)
and Stop Loss at 161.1642 (1.65 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.74 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 19/05 13:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.633762 15m : 0.474424 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
64%
|
18/05 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
64%
|
19/05 04:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
69%
|
19/05 04:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_medium |
47%
|
19/05 05:05 |
Indicators:
76727.9
0.00276199
76939.9
0.633762
76742.9
0.0025667
76939.9
0.474424
77585
-0.00831541
76939.9
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135.12
196
0.4102
0.5249
0.3176
0.2413
0.38
1
0.1378
0.4977
0.2697
0.7946
0.5685
0.4349
0.0111
-0.0314
0.6667
1.4582
0.7491
0.45
0.55
-1
3
1
0.5174
0.3729
3.6778
0.6
2.9482
4.9233
0.7491
0
0.289
0.82
0.1539
0.4595
0.5331
0.7547
0.4349
-5.147
3.9604
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:16 | 158.55000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:25 | 159.13000000 | +0.366% |
| 3 | 13:30 | 158.47000000 | -0.05% |
| 4 | 13:39 | 158.64000000 | +0.057% |
| 5 | 13:44 | 158.43000000 | -0.076% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 05:55:00 | 146.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:30:00 | 146.05 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 06:35:00 | 143.84 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 07:00:00 | 146.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 08:00:00 | 142.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 08:50:00 | 145.14 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:25:00 | 140 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 09:35:00 | 155.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:20:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 13:15:00 | 158.55 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 154.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 22:00:00 | 147.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 23:30:00 | 150.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 01:15:00 | 146.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 03:45:00 | 152.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 05:30:00 | 143.55 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 07:00:00 | 146.42 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 09:30:00 | 155.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:15:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 13:15:00 | 158.55 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 05:00:00 | 162.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-17 09:00:00 | 165.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 18:00:00 | 165.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-17 20:00:00 | 154.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 09:00:00 | 175.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-18 14:00:00 | 142.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-18 19:00:00 | 154.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 03:00:00 | 152.78 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-19 10:00:00 | 135.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-19 13:00:00 | 158.55 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 13:16:14 |
19 May 2026 14:55:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158.55 | 161.1642 | 153.3216 | 2 | 270.26 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 161.1642 - 158.55 = 2.6142
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 158.55 - 153.3216 = 5.2284
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.2284 / 2.6142 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 485.1963 | 100 | 3.0602 | 4.85 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.6142 = 3.06
Taille de position USD = 3.06 x 158.55 = 485.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 3.06 avec un stoploss a 161.1642
Avec un position size USD de 485.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3.06 x 2.6142 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3.06 x 5.2284 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.3 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.65 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 3.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3182 % | 79.95 % | 5 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?