Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 2 TAO at 256.54$ per unit. Take profit: 244.5489 (4.67 %) & Stop Loss: 260.537 (1.56 %)
Short Trade on TAO (WedgePullback)
With 2 TAO at 256.54$ per unit. Take profit: 244.5489 (4.67 %) & Stop Loss: 260.537 (1.56 %)
Position size of 513.461 $
Take profit at 244.5489 (4.67 %)
and Stop Loss at 260.537 (1.56 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 19/05 18:02 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
68%
|
19/05 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
72%
|
19/05 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
73%
|
19/05 14:30 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
50%
|
19/05 14:45 |
Indicators:
260.4
147
0.2623
0.4314
0.4426
0.2604
0.5917
0.5607
0.4549
0.5684
0.2719
0
0.5151
0.0428
-0.0669
-0.0805
0
-1.1075
-2.4452
0.25
0.75
-1
9
1
0.4792
0.2589
3.0593
0.55
0.5607
1.7153
-2.4452
0.4562
0.2339
0
-0.3308
0.4308
0.445
0.8916
0.0428
-25.3956
1.1367
1
0
1
0.986
0.986
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 317.76999468
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 317.77302007
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 317.77604546
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 317.77907085
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 317.78209624
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 317.78512163
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 317.78814702
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 317.7911724
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 317.79419779
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 317.79722318
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 317.80024857
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 317.80327396
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 317.80629935
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 317.80932474
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 317.81235013
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 317.81537552
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 317.8184009
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 317.82142629
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 317.82445168
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 317.82747707
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 317.83050246
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 317.83352785
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 317.83655324
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 317.83957863
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 317.84260401
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 317.8456294
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 317.84865479
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 317.85168018
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 317.85470557
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 317.85773096
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 317.86075635
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 317.86378174
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 317.86680712
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 317.86983251
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 317.8728579
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 317.87588329
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 317.87890868
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 317.88193407
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 317.88495946
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 317.88798485
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 317.89101024
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 317.89403562
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778486400
[value] => 317.89706101
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778500800
[value] => 317.9000864
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778515200
[value] => 317.90311179
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778529600
[value] => 317.90613718
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778544000
[value] => 317.90916257
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778558400
[value] => 317.91218796
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778572800
[value] => 317.91521335
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778587200
[value] => 317.91823873
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778601600
[value] => 317.92126412
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778616000
[value] => 317.92428951
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778630400
[value] => 317.9273149
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778644800
[value] => 317.93034029
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778659200
[value] => 317.93336568
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778673600
[value] => 317.93639107
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778688000
[value] => 317.93941646
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778702400
[value] => 317.94244185
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778716800
[value] => 317.94546723
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778731200
[value] => 317.94849262
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778745600
[value] => 317.95151801
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778760000
[value] => 317.9545434
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778774400
[value] => 317.95756879
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778788800
[value] => 317.96059418
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778803200
[value] => 317.96361957
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778817600
[value] => 317.96664496
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778832000
[value] => 317.96967034
)
[67] => Array
(
[time] => 1778846400
[value] => 317.97269573
)
[68] => Array
(
[time] => 1778860800
[value] => 317.97572112
)
[69] => Array
(
[time] => 1778875200
[value] => 317.97874651
)
[70] => Array
(
[time] => 1778889600
[value] => 317.9817719
)
[71] => Array
(
[time] => 1778904000
[value] => 317.98479729
)
[72] => Array
(
[time] => 1778918400
[value] => 317.98782268
)
[73] => Array
(
[time] => 1778932800
[value] => 317.99084807
)
[74] => Array
(
[time] => 1778947200
[value] => 317.99387345
)
[75] => Array
(
[time] => 1778961600
[value] => 317.99689884
)
[76] => Array
(
[time] => 1778976000
[value] => 317.99992423
)
[77] => Array
(
[time] => 1778990400
[value] => 318.00294962
)
)
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 282.10583968
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 282.32700403
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 282.54816838
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 282.76933274
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 282.99049709
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 283.21166144
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 283.43282579
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 283.65399015
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 283.8751545
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 284.09631885
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 284.31748321
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 284.53864756
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 284.75981191
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 284.98097627
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 285.20214062
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 285.42330497
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 285.64446932
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 285.86563368
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 286.08679803
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 286.30796238
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 286.52912674
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 286.75029109
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 286.97145544
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 287.19261979
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 287.41378415
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 287.6349485
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 287.85611285
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 288.07727721
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 288.29844156
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 288.51960591
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 288.74077026
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 288.96193462
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 289.18309897
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 289.40426332
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 289.62542768
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 289.84659203
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 290.06775638
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 290.28892073
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 290.51008509
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 290.73124944
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 290.95241379
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 291.17357815
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778486400
[value] => 291.3947425
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778500800
[value] => 291.61590685
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778515200
[value] => 291.8370712
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778529600
[value] => 292.05823556
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778544000
[value] => 292.27939991
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778558400
[value] => 292.50056426
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778572800
[value] => 292.72172862
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778587200
[value] => 292.94289297
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778601600
[value] => 293.16405732
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778616000
[value] => 293.38522167
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778630400
[value] => 293.60638603
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778644800
[value] => 293.82755038
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778659200
[value] => 294.04871473
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778673600
[value] => 294.26987909
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778688000
[value] => 294.49104344
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778702400
[value] => 294.71220779
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778716800
[value] => 294.93337215
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778731200
[value] => 295.1545365
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778745600
[value] => 295.37570085
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778760000
[value] => 295.5968652
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778774400
[value] => 295.81802956
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778788800
[value] => 296.03919391
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778803200
[value] => 296.26035826
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778817600
[value] => 296.48152262
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778832000
[value] => 296.70268697
)
[67] => Array
(
[time] => 1778846400
[value] => 296.92385132
)
[68] => Array
(
[time] => 1778860800
[value] => 297.14501567
)
[69] => Array
(
[time] => 1778875200
[value] => 297.36618003
)
[70] => Array
(
[time] => 1778889600
[value] => 297.58734438
)
[71] => Array
(
[time] => 1778904000
[value] => 297.80850873
)
[72] => Array
(
[time] => 1778918400
[value] => 298.02967309
)
[73] => Array
(
[time] => 1778932800
[value] => 298.25083744
)
[74] => Array
(
[time] => 1778947200
[value] => 298.47200179
)
[75] => Array
(
[time] => 1778961600
[value] => 298.69316614
)
[76] => Array
(
[time] => 1778976000
[value] => 298.9143305
)
[77] => Array
(
[time] => 1778990400
[value] => 299.13549485
)
)
Array
(
[time] => 1779004800
[price] => 271.24
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-17 12:00:00
[price] => 267.09
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-19 16:00:00
[price] => 237.25
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-23 20:00:00
[price] => 254.85
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-24 00:00:00
[price] => 243.17
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-27 00:00:00
[price] => 256.98
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-27 08:00:00
[price] => 244.06
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-29 00:00:00
[price] => 266.31
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-30 08:00:00
[price] => 246.8
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-03 16:00:00
[price] => 295.87
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-04 08:00:00
[price] => 276.33
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-05 16:00:00
[price] => 305.25
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-05 20:00:00
[price] => 283.66
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
[price] => 323.68
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
[price] => 296.28
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 12:00:00
[price] => 333.23
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
[price] => 290.51
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 16:00:00
[price] => 309.28
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 16:00:00
[price] => 302.44
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 18:00:00
[price] => 309.28
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 19:00:00
[price] => 303.46
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 21:00:00
[price] => 308.37
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-16 03:00:00
[price] => 267.64
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-16 15:00:00
[price] => 276.33
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-16 22:00:00
[price] => 265.94
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 01:00:00
[price] => 274.82
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 04:00:00
[price] => 269.13
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 08:00:00
[price] => 275
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 19:00:00
[price] => 257.45
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-17 22:00:00
[price] => 264.61
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-18 07:00:00
[price] => 255.84
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-18 08:00:00
[price] => 261.79
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-18 14:00:00
[price] => 254.22
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-18 18:00:00
[price] => 264.85
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-18 19:00:00
[price] => 259.69
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-19 03:00:00
[price] => 264.49
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
[price] => 255.18
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-19 17:00:00
[price] => 260.4
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
255.18
260.4
260.4
255.18
0.3752
0.5306
0.3597
0.2217
0.4726
0.4394
0.7188
0.5344
0.5216
0.0532
0.5196
0.1127
-0.163
-0.1645
0
-1.6123
-4.1006
0.8571
0.1429
-1
38
1
0.5567
0.3172
4.8834
0.55
0.4394
2.1457
-4.1006
0.746
0.2818
0
-0.2202
0.4077
0.4423
0.8543
0.1127
-14.4205
1.8315
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:00 | 256.54000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:10 | 257.09000000 | +0.214% |
| 3 | 19:15 | 256.88000000 | +0.133% |
| 4 | 19:20 | 257.34000000 | +0.312% |
| 5 | 19:27 | 257.34000000 | +0.312% |
| 6 | 19:33 | 257.16000000 | +0.242% |
| 7 | 19:38 | 257.57000000 | +0.401% |
| 8 | 19:42 | 257.57000000 | +0.401% |
| 9 | 19:46 | 257.11000000 | +0.222% |
| 10 | 19:52 | 257.37000000 | +0.324% |
| 11 | 19:57 | 257.37000000 | +0.324% |
| 12 | 20:00 | 257.37000000 | +0.324% |
| 13 | 20:08 | 257.69000000 | +0.448% |
| 14 | 20:17 | 256.69000000 | +0.058% |
| 15 | 20:25 | 256.74000000 | +0.078% |
| 16 | 20:29 | 256.74000000 | +0.078% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 19:00:48 |
20 May 2026 01:30:00 |
6 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 256.54 | 260.537 | 244.5489 | 3 | 196.61 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 260.537 - 256.54 = 3.997
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 256.54 - 244.5489 = 11.9911
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.9911 / 3.997 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 513.461 | 100 | 2.0015 | 5.13 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.997 = 2
Taille de position USD = 2 x 256.54 = 513.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 2 avec un stoploss a 260.537
Avec un position size USD de 513.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2 x 3.997 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2 x 11.9911 = 23.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.67 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6917 % | 108.58 % | 11 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.46000000000004
[max_drawdown] => 1.85
[rr_ratio] => 0.25
[high] => 258.39000000
[low] => 256.08000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.18
[mae_pct] => 0.72
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.25
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T19:00:48-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-19T21:00:48-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.96000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 4.78
[rr_ratio] => 0.2
[high] => 261.32000000
[low] => 255.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.37
[mae_pct] => 1.86
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-19T19:00:48-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-20T02:00:48-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 260.40000000
[high_after] => 258.39000000
[low_before] => 256.52000000
[low_after] => 255.58000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?