Short Trade on XAU

Previous Trade Next Trade

20 May 2026 at 03:37:24

Short Trade on XAU (BosPullback)

With 0.25 XAU at 4482.94$ per unit. Take profit: 4402.9146 (1.79 %) & Stop Loss: 4514.9502 (0.71 %)

Short BosPullback on XAU (20 May 2026 at 03:37:24 to 10:30:00 - 6 hours )

With 0.2499 XAU at 4482.94$ per unit.

Position size of 1120.3792 $
Take profit at 4402.9146 (1.79 %) and Stop Loss at 4514.9502 (0.71 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 6 hours

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.55

Prediction Score:

Prediction 1	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 2	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 20/05 03:03

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

20/05 03:03

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_medium

15m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	Évalué à
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	59%	20/05 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_medium	69%	20/05 01:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	range_low	48%	20/05 01:30
5m	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion_after_compression	range_low	49%	20/05 01:55

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.93
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=4|shallow|bars_since_bos=4|retests=1|break_atr=0.78|prog=0.56|zone=tested
stop_price: 4514.95016311
tp_price: 4402.91459222
atr:
score: 0.93
confidence_pre_ob: 0.93

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.523
trend_strength : -0.24
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -0.3208
low_delta_atr : -1.2928
current_swing_amp_atr : 2.7429
current_swing_speed : 0.9143
current_swing_efficiency : 0.4601
retracement_ratio : 1.7944
extension_ratio : 1.4989
compression_score : 0.7725
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : 0.0122
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.6397
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.2806
pivot_count : 26
swing_count : 25
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: low
last_pivot_price:
```
4458.01
```
last_pivot_index:
```
145
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : early_expansion
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : expansion_after_compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : approaching_support
confidence : 0.519
state : down_early_expansion_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.2785
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.5268
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.29
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.1851
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.3758
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
1
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.3504
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.3813
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.353
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.5836
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.5905
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.1781
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.1369
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.1038
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-0.6796
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-1.9439
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.55
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.45
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
4
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.6297
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.4601
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
2.7429
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.6
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
1.7944
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
3.1034
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-1.9439
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.2506
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.3201
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.46
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
0.1614
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.4031
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.4805
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.9423
```
features_range_position:
```
0.1781
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-5.9701
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
1.2935
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
1
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
0
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0701
obi_top10 : 0.0701
micro_price : 4481.76424413
spread_pct : 0.000223
mid_price : 4481.765
bid_wall_price :
bid_wall_size :
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0598
obi_top5_std : 0.0143
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7058
aggregation_tick : 10
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 10:00:00
    [price] => 4569.92
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
    [price] => 4523.63
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-16 11:00:00
    [price] => 4541.87
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 02:00:00
    [price] => 4530.11
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 11:00:00
    [price] => 4546.34
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 17:00:00
    [price] => 4532.11
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 18:00:00
    [price] => 4559.99
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 20:00:00
    [price] => 4483.11
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 03:00:00
    [price] => 4563.99
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 07:00:00
    [price] => 4535.31
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 09:00:00
    [price] => 4587.36
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 11:00:00
    [price] => 4536.62
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 20:00:00
    [price] => 4593.4
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 01:00:00
    [price] => 4534.15
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 04:00:00
    [price] => 4563.78
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 09:00:00
    [price] => 4471.06
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
    [price] => 4519.03
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 18:00:00
    [price] => 4482.35
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 20:00:00
    [price] => 4512.99
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 23:00:00
    [price] => 4458.01
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 04:00:00
    [price] => 4563.78
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 06:30:00
    [price] => 4531
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 07:00:00
    [price] => 4552.19
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 08:00:00
    [price] => 4533.34
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 08:30:00
    [price] => 4551.6
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 09:30:00
    [price] => 4471.06
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
    [price] => 4519.03
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 12:30:00
    [price] => 4517.65
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 18:30:00
    [price] => 4482.35
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 19:30:00
    [price] => 4500
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 20:00:00
    [price] => 4484.5
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 20:45:00
    [price] => 4512.99
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 21:30:00
    [price] => 4459.28
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 21:45:00
    [price] => 4491.49
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 23:00:00
    [price] => 4458.01
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 01:30:00
    [price] => 4483.49
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 02:30:00
    [price] => 4466.74
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 4482.35
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
4458.01
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-19 23:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
4512.99
```
levels_lh_price:
```
4512.99
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-19 20:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
4458.01
```
demand_zone :
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
4516.45
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
4482.35
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
4499.4
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.7889
```
regimes
1H : bear_medium
15m : range_low

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 52%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.240

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-0.321

Low Δ ATR

-1.293

Current Swing

Amp ATR

2.743

Speed

0.914

Efficiency

0.460

Structure

Retracement

1.794

Extension

1.499

Compression

0.773

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

0.012

Dist High ATR

-1.640

Dist Low ATR

1.281

26 pivots · 25 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 4,458.0100 @ bar 145

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_grind

Confidence 52%

Context

phase early_expansion

structure bearish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion low

momentum grind

volatility expansion_after_compression

risk approaching_support

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.279

Strength Score 0.527

Quality Score 0.290

Cleanliness Score 0.185

Structural Quality 0.376

Pullback Score 1.000

Exhaustion Score 0.350

Continuation Score 0.381

Structure Score 0.353

Volatility Expansion 0.584

Momentum Type Score 0.591

Risk Score 0.178

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.137

Ema50 Slope

-0.104

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-0.680

Price Vs Ema50

-1.944

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.550

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.450

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

4.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.630

Trend Efficiency

0.460

Impulse Strength

2.743

Directional Candle Ratio

0.600

Pullback Depth Ratio

1.794

Pullback Depth Atr

3.103

Extension From Mean

-1.944

Impulse Decay Score

0.251

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.320

Volatility Percentile

0.460

Volatility Delta

0.161

Body Ratio

0.403

Closes Position Ratio

0.481

Slope Consistency

0.942

Range Position

0.178

Distance To Recent High

-5.970

Distance To Recent Low

1.294

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

1.000

Post Break Hl Count

0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7058ms Confidence avant OB : 93% → 93%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.070

avg 0.060 ± 0.014

OBI Top 10 0.070

Microstructure

Mid Price

4,481.7650

Micro Price

4,481.7642

Spread

0.0002%

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
20 May 2026 03:37:24	20 May 2026 10:30:00	6 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4482.94	4514.9502	4402.9146	2.5	4157.13

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4482.94
Stop Loss: 4514.9502
Take Profit: 4402.9146

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4514.9502 - 4482.94 = 32.010200000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4482.94 - 4402.9146 = 80.0254
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 80.0254 / 32.010200000001 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1120.3792	100	0.2499	11.20

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 32.010200000001

Taille de position = 8 / 32.010200000001 = 0.25

Taille de position USD = 0.25 x 4482.94 = 1120.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.25 avec un stoploss a 4514.9502

Avec un position size USD de 1120.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.25 x 32.010200000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.25 x 80.0254 = 20.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$

Résumé

Taille de position 0.25
Taille de position USD 1120.74
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.01
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
1.79 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.71 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.71

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0718 %	150.11 %	14

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.7599999999993
            [max_drawdown] => 11.06
            [rr_ratio] => 0.52
            [high] => 4494.00000000
            [low] => 4477.18000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.52
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-20T03:37:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-20T05:37:24-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 10.839999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 48.05
            [rr_ratio] => 0.23
            [high] => 4530.99000000
            [low] => 4472.10000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.24
            [mae_pct] => 1.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-20T03:37:24-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-20T10:37:24-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4489.99000000
            [high_after] => 4509.47000000
            [low_before] => 4461.43000000
            [low_after] => 4477.18000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank

#52 / n/a OK

seuil : top 15 · score du 20/05/2026 03:00

Signal Confidence

93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime