Short Trade on AAVE

Previous Trade Next Trade

20 May 2026 at 05:12:47

Short Trade on AAVE (BosPullback)

With 7.95 AAVE at 87.34$ per unit. Take profit: 84.8251 (2.88 %) & Stop Loss: 88.346 (1.15 %)

Short BosPullback on AAVE (20 May 2026 at 05:12:47 to 10:45:00 - 5 hours )

With 7.9525 AAVE at 87.34$ per unit.

Position size of 694.5747 $
Take profit at 84.8251 (2.88 %) and Stop Loss at 88.346 (1.15 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 5 hours

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.33

Prediction Score:

Prediction 1	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 2	Probability
	n/a

Prediction 3	Probability
	n/a

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 20/05 05:06

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

20/05 05:06

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	Évalué à
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	70%	20/05 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	72%	20/05 04:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	normal	range_low	47%	20/05 05:00
5m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	normal	range_low	48%	20/05 05:10

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.79
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=2|shallow|bars_since_bos=8|retests=1|break_atr=0.56|prog=0.57|zone=tested
stop_price: 88.34596807
tp_price: 84.82507983
atr:
score: 0.79
confidence_pre_ob: 0.79

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : pullback_down
confidence : 0.683
trend_strength : -0.1063
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -1.3054
low_delta_atr : -1.2122
current_swing_amp_atr : 2.4483
current_swing_speed : 0.48965
current_swing_efficiency : 0.4528
retracement_ratio : 0.6667
extension_ratio : 0.9655
compression_score : 0.8008
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -2.7817
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4763
distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.1344
pivot_count : 24
swing_count : 23
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
88.29
```
last_pivot_index:
```
146
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : transition
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
quality : choppy
strength : moderate
exhaustion : medium
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : approaching_support
confidence : 0.533
state : down_bearish_transition_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.287
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.5351
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.4083
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2892
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5058
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.6667
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.4119
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.3662
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.3164
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.0643
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.5722
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.0824
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.0137
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0519
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-0.7056
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-1.811
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.4
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.6
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
8
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
0.9474
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.4743
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.4528
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
3.4711
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.55
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.6667
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
2.3142
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-1.811
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.5172
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.1861
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
-0.2035
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.4966
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.4098
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.696
```
features_range_position:
```
0.0824
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-15.6803
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
1.4083
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0454
obi_top10 : -0.0155
micro_price : 87.30951965
spread_pct : 0.011455
mid_price : 87.305
bid_wall_price : 87.1
bid_wall_size : 6362.98
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 87.5
ask_wall_size : 6314.3
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.0366
obi_top5_std : 0.005
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7066
aggregation_tick : 0.1
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : pullback_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-15 13:00:00
    [price] => 94.23
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-16 03:00:00
    [price] => 87.97
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-16 04:00:00
    [price] => 89.58
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-16 13:00:00
    [price] => 90.97
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-16 21:00:00
    [price] => 88.98
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 01:00:00
    [price] => 91.1
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 03:00:00
    [price] => 89.94
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 06:00:00
    [price] => 91.63
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 14:00:00
    [price] => 90
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 17:00:00
    [price] => 90.84
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 19:00:00
    [price] => 86.52
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-17 22:00:00
    [price] => 89.32
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 06:00:00
    [price] => 87.78
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 08:00:00
    [price] => 89.93
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 14:00:00
    [price] => 87.03
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-18 20:00:00
    [price] => 90.12
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 10:00:00
    [price] => 87.39
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 13:00:00
    [price] => 89.13
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 21:00:00
    [price] => 86.61
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 02:00:00
    [price] => 88.29
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 04:30:00
    [price] => 89.37
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 06:45:00
    [price] => 87.97
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 07:00:00
    [price] => 88.72
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 08:00:00
    [price] => 87.92
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 09:00:00
    [price] => 88.71
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 09:30:00
    [price] => 88.08
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 10:45:00
    [price] => 87.39
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 13:15:00
    [price] => 89.13
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 15:45:00
    [price] => 87.8
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 17:15:00
    [price] => 88.38
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 18:15:00
    [price] => 87.2
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 19:30:00
    [price] => 87.72
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 21:30:00
    [price] => 86.61
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 21:45:00
    [price] => 87.36
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 22:45:00
    [price] => 86.72
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-19 23:15:00
    [price] => 87.35
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 00:30:00
    [price] => 86.79
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 02:45:00
    [price] => 88.29
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 04:15:00
    [price] => 87.54
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-05-20 04:30:00
    [price] => 88.04
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 87.39
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
86.61
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-19 21:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
88.29
```
levels_lh_price:
```
88.29
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-20 02:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
86.61
```
demand_zone :
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
89.13
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
87.91
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
88.52
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.7421
```
regimes
1H : bear_high
15m : range_low

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down

Confidence 68%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.106

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-1.305

Low Δ ATR

-1.212

Current Swing

Amp ATR

2.448

Speed

0.490

Efficiency

0.453

Structure

Retracement

0.667

Extension

0.966

Compression

0.801

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-2.782

Dist High ATR

-1.476

Dist Low ATR

1.134

24 pivots · 23 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 88.2900 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind

Confidence 53%

Context

phase transition

structure bearish_transition

breakout breakout_confirmed

quality choppy

strength moderate

exhaustion medium

momentum grind

volatility compression

risk approaching_support

htf unknown

Scores

Direction Score 0.287

Strength Score 0.535

Quality Score 0.408

Cleanliness Score 0.289

Structural Quality 0.506

Pullback Score 0.667

Exhaustion Score 0.412

Continuation Score 0.366

Structure Score 0.316

Volatility Expansion 0.064

Momentum Type Score 0.572

Risk Score 0.082

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.014

Ema50 Slope

-0.052

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-0.706

Price Vs Ema50

-1.811

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.400

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.600

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

8.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

0.947

Wick Ratio

0.474

Trend Efficiency

0.453

Impulse Strength

3.471

Directional Candle Ratio

0.550

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.667

Pullback Depth Atr

2.314

Extension From Mean

-1.811

Impulse Decay Score

0.517

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.186

Volatility Percentile

0.000

Volatility Delta

-0.204

Body Ratio

0.497

Closes Position Ratio

0.410

Slope Consistency

0.696

Range Position

0.082

Distance To Recent High

-15.680

Distance To Recent Low

1.408

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7066ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 79%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.045

avg 0.037 ± 0.005

OBI Top 10 -0.016

Microstructure

Mid Price

87.3050

Micro Price

87.3095

Spread

0.0115%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

87.1000

Size

6,362.98

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

87.5000

Size

6,314.30

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
20 May 2026 05:12:47	20 May 2026 10:45:00	5 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
87.34	88.346	84.8251	2.5	85.77

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 87.34
Stop Loss: 88.346
Take Profit: 84.8251

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 88.346 - 87.34 = 1.006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 87.34 - 84.8251 = 2.5149
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5149 / 1.006 = 2.4999

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
694.5747	100	7.9525	6.95

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 1.006

Taille de position = 8 / 1.006 = 7.95

Taille de position USD = 7.95 x 87.34 = 694.35

Donc, tu peux acheter 7.95 avec un stoploss a 88.346

Avec un position size USD de 694.35$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 7.95 x 1.006 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 7.95 x 2.5149 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

Taille de position 7.95
Taille de position USD 694.35
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.88 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.15 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-1.15

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.2022 %	104.38 %	8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 84.8251
            [entry_price] => 87.34
            [stop_loss] => 88.4466
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-20 10:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 84.8251
            [entry_price] => 87.34
            [stop_loss] => 88.5472
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-20 10:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.15000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.72999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.21
            [high] => 88.07000000
            [low] => 87.19000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.17
            [mae_pct] => 0.84
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-20T05:12:47-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-20T07:12:47-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.45
            [max_drawdown] => 1.66
            [rr_ratio] => 0.27
            [high] => 89.00000000
            [low] => 86.89000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 1.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.27
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-20T05:12:47-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-20T12:12:47-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 88.29000000
            [high_after] => 88.59000000
            [low_before] => 87.29000000
            [low_after] => 86.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank

#56 / 62 OK

seuil : top 15 · score du 20/05/2026 05:00

Signal Confidence

79 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime